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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs32%94102
1Kings68%10094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.8
45.0
40.7
28
51%
14
4
1
1
4
2
5
9
4-8
50%
12-23
10-20
52%
50%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.9
39.1
28.1
13
58%
6
3
3
1
1
1
2
4
3-5
60%
2-5
2-6
40%
41%
2-4
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.7
36.5
33.4
20
61%
5
7
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-8
50%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
2-6
33%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.6
29.7
30.6
14
70%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
42%
2-5
40%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.7
27.0
21.3
4
29%
9
0
0
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
27.3
26.3
15
61%
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.5
21.2
19.0
5
73%
3
0
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
11.6
13.4
3
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-3
33%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
2.7
12.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.2
9.4
0
1-3
43%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
3.5
0
1-1
41%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.4
1.5
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.7
44.0
37.9
20
48%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
6-6
100%
4-13
5-10
31%
50%
2-5
40%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.0
38.3
29.2
20
72%
6
2
1
1
0
1
3
3
8-9
89%
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.8
38.1
38.7
12
37%
11
4
0
1
2
2
5
6
4-5
80%
4-13
5-10
31%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.7
36.1
33.6
20
69%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
8-10
80%
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
19.0
23.3
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.2
27.9
21.1
12
67%
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
2-4
50%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.9
19.9
24.8
5
24%
4
0
2
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
48%
0-3
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.5
12.6
6.7
5
51%
8
0
0
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.0
4.2
14.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.0
2.0
0
0-1
43%
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 33.1
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.