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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 7, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Knicks44%9176
21Heat56%9364
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
36.0
37.7
16
68%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-7
5-11
29%
46%
3-3
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
32.5
27.9
14
64%
7
1
1
1
3
4
1
6
0-0
-
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
30.4
37.4
10
51%
8
2
3
1
0
4
2
6
4-4
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
47%
0-4
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
30.2
21.8
12
40%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-14
2-5
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.6
12.1
21.6
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.6
32.8
31.2
3
16%
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
6
1-3
33%
1-7
4-9
14%
44%
0-1
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
25.9
14.7
10
51%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
2-4
50%
4-8
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.6
17.5
21.6
2
20%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.0
10.7
4.4
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.3
8.1
1.2
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
40%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
1.9
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 23.8
1.9
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
42.8
34.0
7
35%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-4
40%
40%
1-5
20%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
41.7
37.5
9
27%
1
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
44%
0-5
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
40.4
38.2
18
40%
14
3
1
1
3
2
3
11
6-8
75%
6-17
5-11
35%
47%
0-2
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.9
37.9
35.7
8
30%
7
0
2
1
0
2
4
3
4-10
40%
2-8
4-10
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
29.8
10.7
8
36%
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-11
1-3
36%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
15.8
18.9
2
25%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
14.0
6.6
12
51%
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
1-2
56%
44%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
12.5
32.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.8
5.2
1.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
20.6
1
3-7
46%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.6
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.