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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 8, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies31%9499
4Timberwolves69%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
33.9
31.0
27
77%
6
1
1
0
0
3
2
4
5-8
63%
11-14
6-12
79%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.2
33.0
27.5
11
42%
1
12
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
43%
1-7
14%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.1
32.3
30.8
11
63%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.0
28.3
12.0
13
73%
5
2
2
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.3
23.6
27.8
6
50%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
21.9
17.6
1
35%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
19.6
23.4
10
48%
0
3
3
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
4-8
4-10
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.2
16.4
15.3
14
47%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-4
50%
6-13
3-5
46%
47%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.4
16.0
23.4
4
67%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.7
15.0
19.2
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
5.5
0
1-2
39%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.7
3.6
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.2
39.6
35.3
34
79%
1
11
2
1
1
6
0
1
7-8
88%
12-17
6-12
71%
49%
1-1
100%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.7
39.3
38.6
30
58%
16
5
2
1
2
4
4
12
8-9
89%
11-22
10-20
50%
50%
0-0
-
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.4
37.0
36.2
4
23%
5
1
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-2
0%
2-7
6-14
29%
44%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 24.9
30.3
32.3
8
45%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
0-1
0%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.1
13.5
13.8
4
67%
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
28.8
22.6
10
83%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.0
21.9
17.5
2
25%
5
0
2
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.4
11.5
14.1
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Oliver Miller
C · 6'9" 315 · 33.8
9.5
9.7
2
50%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 32.9
8.4
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 27.9
4.7
0
1-1
43%
Ndudi Ebi
F · 6'9" 195 · 19.6
0.7
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.