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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 8, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets22%9992
1Kings78%108115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.7
38.0
35.4
24
64%
8
3
3
1
0
1
4
4
3-6
50%
9-14
6-15
64%
43%
1-2
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
36.0
33.7
10
43%
16
2
0
1
4
0
4
12
6-6
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
44%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.7
35.3
26.8
22
50%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-2
0%
8-18
3-7
44%
42%
2-3
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.4
32.5
36.1
6
27%
8
2
0
2
1
4
1
7
0-0
-
3-11
5-9
27%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.9
30.6
34.5
0
0%
3
8
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
5-10
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.5
25.1
15.6
9
77%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.7
16.4
21.3
13
54%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
43%
1-4
25%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.9
15.6
4.1
8
57%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.2
7.4
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.8
2.0
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
1.1
14.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
12.6
0
1-2
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.8
43.3
21.2
13
55%
5
8
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.7
42.4
34.4
30
76%
6
8
1
1
0
2
3
3
4-4
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
6-8
75%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.7
42.1
40.2
35
74%
7
1
1
1
0
3
2
5
6-6
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
52%
7-11
64%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.8
37.4
37.5
18
54%
10
7
2
1
2
1
1
9
2-4
50%
8-14
5-10
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.0
32.5
33.1
7
29%
10
0
0
1
2
0
2
8
1-2
50%
3-11
5-9
27%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.2
17.5
23.7
4
41%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.5
10.2
9.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
7.7
2.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.0
5.9
9.4
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.0
1.1
1.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.9
22.2
1
3-7
49%
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 33.1
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.