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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat43%97111
29Magic57%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.6
45.0
31.9
23
90%
3
5
4
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
2-5
1-4
40%
42%
5-6
83%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
40.4
28.1
27
68%
10
5
0
1
0
5
6
4
7-9
78%
10-16
5-9
63%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
39.6
38.3
6
22%
8
4
1
1
0
2
0
8
1-1
100%
1-8
4-8
13%
45%
1-5
20%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
36.6
40.3
18
58%
9
6
2
1
2
4
4
5
6-6
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
35.8
23.2
16
62%
12
2
0
1
1
0
2
10
0-0
-
8-13
3-6
62%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
19.0
3.8
12
86%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
42%
2-2
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
18.0
18.3
7
75%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
3-6
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
5.7
23.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-8
100%
43%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.9
26.0
1
3-7
42%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
7.1
0
1-3
45%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.6
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.8
2.1
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
46.1
29.3
24
43%
2
6
1
1
0
3
1
1
4-6
67%
10-20
5-11
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.0
41.0
32.7
22
59%
2
6
1
1
0
3
2
0
6-6
100%
8-16
6-13
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.8
25.8
17.6
10
100%
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
2-2
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.0
18.8
15.4
1
17%
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
16.5
28.2
5
83%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
33.4
30.4
14
62%
5
1
2
1
1
3
1
4
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.4
29.2
19.1
16
69%
6
1
2
1
1
0
2
4
6-8
75%
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.6
21.8
25.2
4
33%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.3
7.0
4.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
0.5
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.9
7.1
0
1-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.