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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 12, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Raptors39%9574
16SuperSonics61%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
42.1
38.1
16
47%
17
4
1
1
2
1
6
11
3-7
43%
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
1-2
50%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
40.5
30.9
6
38%
10
1
2
1
1
1
0
10
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-5
0%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.5
38.5
27.1
20
68%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
35.1
36.7
19
43%
3
7
0
1
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
7-18
8-17
39%
46%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.9
14.5
18.5
0
0%
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.0
22.1
20.5
5
53%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
19.7
20.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.0
12.7
9.3
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.8
10.5
8.3
6
60%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
40%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.4
4.3
2.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.7
11.1
0
1-3
47%
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.9
8.2
0
1-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
38.7
38.7
23
66%
4
4
2
1
0
5
1
3
7-8
88%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
36.2
36.6
22
55%
9
1
1
1
0
0
4
5
1-2
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
47%
5-9
56%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.9
28.3
27.6
8
45%
3
9
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.9
23.1
27.7
11
53%
4
1
2
1
0
0
3
1
3-3
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
45%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
20.7
10.4
4
50%
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
27.3
26.9
7
35%
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.2
23.7
13.9
5
51%
9
0
2
0
0
2
3
6
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
19.9
20.4
4
29%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-4
3-7
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.0
19.7
18.6
8
44%
6
8
2
1
0
3
4
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
42%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.5
1.2
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
1.2
1.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.7
9.4
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.