for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 17, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz43%8985
19Heat57%9297
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
36.5
36.8
31
88%
3
3
2
2
1
4
1
2
8-8
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
49%
5-9
56%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.9
35.8
28.4
14
39%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
7-18
4-10
39%
44%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.6
33.1
26.0
8
29%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-12
4-8
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.1
27.6
21.7
5
43%
10
1
1
1
1
0
5
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
40%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.0
20.3
31.6
0
0%
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-2
0%
0-2
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
29.3
23.5
10
42%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.2
27.3
20.5
6
50%
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
14.9
16.5
6
43%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.3
9.7
6.9
3
32%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.2
5.5
13.8
2
33%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
10.1
0
2-3
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
37.6
31.7
31
76%
4
2
1
1
1
5
0
4
14-17
82%
7-10
5-10
70%
48%
1-3
33%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
35.2
27.0
12
86%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
6-7
4-7
86%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
35.0
37.9
10
33%
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
7
3-3
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
1-9
11%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
34.9
38.3
6
51%
9
2
2
1
2
1
2
7
2-2
100%
2-4
5-11
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.9
17.4
19.6
1
10%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.6
32.8
35.4
13
55%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
41%
3-6
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
21.2
9.5
15
74%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-5
60%
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
13.1
18.1
7
83%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
12.8
17.5
2
50%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
5.3
0
1-2
45%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.7
3.4
0
0-1
44%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.8
1.6
0
0-0
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.