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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 17, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Celtics16%95111
1Kings84%107127
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
39.5
26.6
19
65%
5
1
4
1
0
0
0
5
6-6
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
3-7
43%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.3
38.4
34.6
27
56%
5
3
2
2
0
2
0
5
8-9
89%
8-17
5-13
47%
44%
1-3
33%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.2
34.5
31.6
12
36%
7
0
2
1
0
1
2
5
2-4
50%
5-15
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.7
29.6
27.9
8
57%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.1
20.7
26.6
5
29%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-4
25%
2-6
2-6
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.4
35.5
24.7
32
98%
4
6
0
1
1
2
0
4
9-10
90%
10-11
4-9
91%
43%
1-1
100%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.2
18.4
20.2
0
0%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
39%
0-2
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.6
18.3
20.1
6
34%
8
0
1
0
0
0
5
3
2-2
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
44%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
2.1
10.6
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
1.6
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.2
1.4
5.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.3
4.3
0
1-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.7
40.2
39.3
28
80%
7
7
0
1
0
1
1
6
8-8
100%
4-7
6-11
57%
52%
4-7
57%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.0
33.5
29.9
14
68%
11
11
0
1
3
4
1
10
2-3
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.8
33.1
37.6
15
63%
3
5
1
2
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
3-6
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
31.6
38.9
19
56%
7
5
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.0
30.9
6.3
17
72%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
8-11
1-2
73%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.2
19.1
16.2
11
66%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-3
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
3-4
75%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.0
18.6
3.9
2
15%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-4
0%
1-5
1-1
20%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.9
17.9
9.0
12
87%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
3-5
60%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.6
12.9
12.1
9
92%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
2.1
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.8
37.3
1
5-11
51%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
32.6
1
8-17
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.