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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 18, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs72%8986
18Raptors28%8282
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.8
40.9
41.6
26
47%
21
2
0
1
4
4
8
13
6-13
46%
10-22
10-19
45%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.7
29.7
32.5
13
70%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
1-1
100%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.9
26.7
29.1
5
36%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
24.5
35.3
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-1
0%
0-4
5-10
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.7
18.1
23.9
2
17%
8
2
0
0
3
5
5
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
26.4
28.1
8
43%
6
2
2
2
0
2
2
4
5-5
100%
0-6
3-6
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
23.5
10.9
12
87%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.2
18.9
4.8
11
75%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
3-3
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.5
14.0
21.7
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
42%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
7.4
2.9
3
28%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
42%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
5.9
5.5
4
82%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.5
4.0
0.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
45.2
35.4
6
29%
7
3
3
1
1
1
0
7
3-3
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
1-7
14%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.5
42.3
33.4
19
56%
5
5
2
1
1
3
0
5
1-2
50%
6-13
3-8
46%
42%
2-3
67%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.8
39.1
38.5
18
52%
11
0
2
1
1
3
5
6
1-1
100%
7-16
5-10
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
29.4
38.3
22
49%
3
6
1
1
1
3
1
2
4-6
67%
6-15
7-17
40%
42%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.9
10.2
29.5
4
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-8
50%
43%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.0
22.8
17.3
2
33%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
38%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
22.4
15.0
6
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.9
15.0
9.1
3
80%
3
0
3
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
37%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.8
7.8
4.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
37%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.1
5.8
5.7
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.7
5.4
0
1-1
42%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.4
3.1
0
0-0
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.