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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 18, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bucks35%9198
13Pistons65%96102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.4
41.0
33.3
20
39%
10
1
0
1
0
2
3
7
10-15
67%
5-18
5-10
28%
46%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
37.0
25.9
4
16%
16
2
1
0
2
0
6
10
4-4
100%
0-11
3-8
0%
44%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 20.9
33.6
24.6
9
53%
6
5
1
1
0
4
2
4
1-1
100%
4-8
2-6
50%
38%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
30.2
31.9
23
56%
5
4
0
1
0
4
4
1
5-6
83%
6-15
5-11
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.8
30.1
27.5
13
55%
12
1
1
1
3
4
4
8
3-4
75%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.2
17.2
7.3
16
90%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
4-5
80%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
14.4
22.9
2
23%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-3
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
12.9
19.2
6
75%
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.4
10.9
15.4
4
41%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
8.0
16.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.7
4.5
7.7
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
12.9
0
1-3
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.4
43.3
39.5
11
41%
15
0
3
2
8
1
4
11
3-8
38%
4-10
5-10
40%
46%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.4
39.2
28.4
20
57%
4
7
1
1
0
2
2
2
6-8
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
42%
2-7
29%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.0
31.0
29.5
9
38%
7
1
0
1
1
3
1
6
3-4
75%
0-7
3-6
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.7
25.5
21.7
11
51%
7
1
1
0
5
0
1
6
1-2
50%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.0
23.6
37.8
23
76%
1
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
7-7
100%
8-12
7-16
67%
46%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.2
24.0
20.0
15
54%
6
2
1
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
7-13
4-8
54%
48%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.5
19.6
16.6
2
12%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-4
0%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
17.0
16.2
2
53%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.9
14.0
13.1
9
58%
1
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
0-4
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
1-1
100%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.6
2.9
9.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
6.7
0
1-2
49%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.7
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.