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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 18, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers42%99100
12Warriors58%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
43.6
38.8
35
77%
6
8
2
2
1
5
2
4
13-15
87%
11-15
7-15
73%
45%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
41.2
36.9
31
57%
16
7
1
0
5
7
6
10
1-9
11%
15-23
7-13
65%
55%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
23.9
27.4
3
30%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
23.1
35.0
7
44%
6
5
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
5-11
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
18.8
26.9
6
32%
5
0
1
1
0
0
4
1
2-3
67%
2-8
5-11
25%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
24.1
18.0
3
38%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.5
20.7
18.9
5
43%
2
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
19.9
5.5
5
42%
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.6
16.1
25.3
3
39%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
8.6
11.0
2
53%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Carter
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
3.8
0
0-1
40%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
3.3
0
0-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
41.6
37.8
25
57%
6
3
2
1
0
3
3
3
3-4
75%
8-15
6-13
53%
47%
2-5
40%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.2
38.5
36.1
22
68%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-5
60%
5-10
3-8
50%
42%
3-4
75%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.6
34.0
30.1
2
33%
9
1
0
0
2
0
2
7
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
33.1
33.0
7
34%
5
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-3
33%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 25.8
25.5
35.4
18
54%
3
4
0
2
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
7-15
5-12
47%
45%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
31.2
26.6
8
59%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.2
26.5
6.1
13
55%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
5-8
1-2
63%
44%
0-2
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.9
9.6
7.4
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
13.8
0
1-3
47%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.9
10.7
0
1-3
44%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
2.6
0
0-0
40%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 33.7
0.8
0
0-0
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.