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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 19, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Kings45%10175
4Timberwolves55%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.7
37.1
38.8
15
44%
5
3
4
1
0
1
1
4
3-5
60%
3-12
5-10
25%
50%
2-3
67%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
34.0
33.5
11
37%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.0
33.9
31.4
10
36%
8
6
0
1
1
2
3
5
0-2
0%
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.0
32.6
21.4
12
55%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.8
31.2
33.6
7
47%
4
2
3
2
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.9
19.6
16.2
4
14%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-11
2-5
18%
48%
0-3
0%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.0
15.9
13.1
6
52%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.2
15.5
17.7
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.6
13.6
12.2
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
44%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
6.7
4.5
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
18.8
1
4-9
44%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.9
17.8
0
2-5
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.4
38.3
36.7
13
44%
7
5
0
1
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
4-11
6-13
36%
44%
1-3
33%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.3
35.0
31.4
18
46%
2
5
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
1-5
20%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
34.7
38.7
22
50%
24
4
0
1
1
5
2
22
6-7
86%
8-19
10-20
42%
50%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.0
33.8
32.7
2
50%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.2
16.7
14.0
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.4
18.6
12.9
6
77%
8
1
0
0
0
0
4
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.0
15.7
33.1
6
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 27.9
13.5
13.7
10
64%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Oliver Miller
C · 6'9" 315 · 33.9
12.9
10.0
9
83%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
50%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.1
12.8
17.9
4
53%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
2-4
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
7.2
22.0
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 33.0
0.8
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.