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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 20, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Jazz41%9092
22Knicks59%9378
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
44.0
37.0
23
63%
5
4
4
2
0
2
1
4
12-14
86%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.3
42.6
10.3
16
58%
6
0
3
0
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-10
1-3
40%
43%
2-3
67%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.2
25.0
20.8
9
67%
12
1
0
0
0
1
5
7
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.6
24.0
26.9
6
28%
6
3
1
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
1-8
4-9
13%
46%
0-1
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.1
18.9
30.5
2
50%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
39%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.0
29.1
23.7
16
67%
7
3
0
0
2
3
4
3
2-2
100%
7-11
3-5
64%
48%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
22.4
24.7
11
57%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
1-2
50%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
21.4
18.9
2
14%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-6
20%
44%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.2
10.1
10.6
7
60%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
1-4
60%
38%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
2.5
29.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
10.3
0
2-3
49%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
1.8
0
0-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
32.7
35.7
21
49%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
7-12
58%
7-13
5-11
54%
47%
0-3
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.0
32.5
13.0
17
55%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
7-10
70%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
31.4
31.0
11
81%
1
1
4
1
1
3
1
0
3-4
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
2-2
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.4
25.9
31.2
6
30%
3
0
0
1
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.7
21.4
21.2
4
72%
8
0
0
0
4
1
2
6
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.6
27.4
36.0
8
37%
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2-4
50%
3-8
4-10
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
16.8
6.0
2
33%
6
2
0
0
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
15.3
27.6
2
53%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.3
10.7
4.7
5
64%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
9.4
1.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.0
9.1
13.3
2
33%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 23.8
7.4
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.