FinalWin Prob.pScore
2737%90
92
1863%94
125
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
97.994106.2
MIA logo MIA
127.69887.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)92
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot92
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)92
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)92
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)92
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Coles 20' Jump Shot92
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0ATLCrawford Dunk (21 PTS)92
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAColes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)90
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 1:10ATLN'diaye Tip Shot (15 PTS)90
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 1:11ATLN'diaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 1:12ATLMISS Vaughn Driving Layup88
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 1:19MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Coles 3 AST)88
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 1:30MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot88
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:47MIAWallace Dunk (5 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)88
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 2:03MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 2:05ATLWoods BLOCK (2 BLK)88
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 2:19ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 2:43ATLMISS N'diaye Free Throw 2 of 288
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 2:43ATLN'diaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44ATLN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46ATLMISS N'diaye 8' Hook Shot87
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 3:03ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20ATLN'diaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20ATLN'diaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAWoods Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)85
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAHEAT Rebound85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Butler Layup85
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41ATLCrawford 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Glover 5 AST)85
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Coles 2 AST)83
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13ATLDiaw Layup (6 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)83
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAWoods Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)81
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29ATLMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Woods Tip Shot81
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Haslem 6' Hook Shot81
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07ATLDiaw 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)81
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14ATLN'diaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot79
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32ATLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)79
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 279
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31MIAJump Ball Woods vs. Przybilla: Tip to79
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 179
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)79
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48ATLVaughn 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)79
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIAHaslem 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27ATLJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)77
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35ATLHawks Rebound74
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37ATLMISS Glover 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18ATLN'diaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18ATLN'diaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:28ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Coles 20' Jump Shot72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35MIAColes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55MIAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)70
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01ATLWoods BLOCK (1 BLK)70
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot70
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28ATLN'diaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28ATLN'diaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:36ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38ATLMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:46ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48ATLMISS N'diaye 13' Jump Shot68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMISS Butler 19' Turnaround Jump Shot68
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29ATLN'diaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29ATLN'diaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:33MIAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)66
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:52ATLJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Glover 4 AST)66
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWallace 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 11:27ATLJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)63
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 11:39MIAHaslem 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)63
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWoods STEAL (1 STL)63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWoods 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)63
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLPrzybilla Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLPrzybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLHawks Rebound61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Woods 18' Jump Shot61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLVaughn Layup (2 PTS)61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)59
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T12)59
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 1:16ATLMISS Glover 12' Jump Shot59
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 1:39ATLGlover Free Throw Clear Path (5 PTS)59
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 1:40MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)58
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 1:44ATLAlston STEAL (3 STL)58
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 2:08MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)58
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 2:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 2:18ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 2:29MIAButler Layup (6 PTS)58
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q3 - 2:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 3:05ATLN'diaye Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)58
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 3:26ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)56
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 3:27MIAButler Dunk (4 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)55
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 3:31ATLAlston STEAL (2 STL)55
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 3:58MIAOdom 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 4:07MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 4:08ATLMISS Vaughn Layup55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 4:26MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 4:26MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 4:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 4:39ATLMISS Crawford 22' Jump Shot55
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 4:52MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 5:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 5:11ATLMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot55
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 5:16MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)55
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 5:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 5:29ATLMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot55
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 5:41ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)55
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 5:55MIAJones Layup (24 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)54
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 6:00MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)54
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 6:01ATLMISS Jackson Running Layup54
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)54
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 6:33ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)54
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 6:41MIAWade Running Dunk (22 PTS)52
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 6:44ATLButler STEAL (2 STL)52
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 6:48ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot52
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIAHEAT Rebound52
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Butler Layup52
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 7:26ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 7:26ATLMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 251
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 7:33MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)51
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 7:50ATLCrawford Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)51
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 7:57MIAGrant 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)49
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 8:12MIAHEAT Rebound49
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 8:13ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 8:20ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot49
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 8:30MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 8:32ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot49
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 8:51MIAGrant 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 9:09ATLCrawford 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)49
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 9:21MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)47
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 9:38ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)47
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 9:42MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 10:02ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)47
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 10:15MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)44
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 10:26MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 10:27ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)44
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 11:09MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 11:11ATLMISS Crawford 13' Jump Shot44
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 11:26MIAButler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)44
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 11:47ATLJackson Dunk (10 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)44
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL42
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)42
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLDiaw 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)42
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)40
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Jones Layup40
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLMISS Jackson Layup40
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)40
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)40
1.1%
69
98.9%
Q2 - 1:17ATLPrzybilla Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)40
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)40
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q2 - 2:02ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P2.T10)40
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q2 - 2:04ATLHawks Rebound40
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q2 - 2:05ATLOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)40
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q2 - 2:24MIAButler Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)40
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q2 - 2:44ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q2 - 3:03MIAOdom 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)37
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q2 - 3:22ATLCrawford 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)35
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)35
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q2 - 3:45ATLAlston STEAL (1 STL)35
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q2 - 3:57MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)35
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q2 - 4:18ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 4:18ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 4:22ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot33
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 4:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 4:54ATLJackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)33
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 4:58ATLPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot33
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 5:13ATLJackson Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q2 - 5:15ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q2 - 5:17ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot31
2.5%
57
97.5%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)31
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q2 - 5:48ATLTerry Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)31
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 5:58MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 6:10ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)31
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)31
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q2 - 6:45ATLCrawford Layup (9 PTS)31
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 6:47ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 6:49ATLMISS Crawford Reverse Layup29
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 6:52ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 6:54ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)29
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 7:06MIAAllen 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 7:33ATLTerry 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Glover 3 AST)29
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 7:36ATLHawks Rebound27
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 7:37ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot27
5.1%
48
94.9%
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)27
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 8:00ATLMISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot27
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 8:20MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)27
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q2 - 8:28MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 8:30ATLButler BLOCK (1 BLK)27
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 8:32ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
8.3%
44
91.7%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot27
8.0%
44
92.0%
Q2 - 8:42MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 8:44ATLMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)27
8.3%
44
91.7%
Q2 - 9:17ATLN'diaye Dunk (2 PTS) (Glover 2 AST)27
10.2%
41
89.8%
Q2 - 9:35MIAAlston 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
9.4%
41
90.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 9:42ATLMISS Glover 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 9:51ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 9:53ATLMISS N'diaye Layup25
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIAOdom 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)25
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 10:35MIAHEAT Rebound25
10.4%
39
89.6%
Q2 - 10:37ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot25
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 10:54MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)25
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 11:13ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)25
13.7%
36
86.3%
Q2 - 11:19ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
11.6%
36
88.4%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup22
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 11:38ATLTerry 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 11:41ATLHawks Rebound20
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q2 - 11:43ATLAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)20
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot20
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLN'diaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup20
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)20
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Glover Driving Layup20
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q1 - 1:04ATLGlover Layup (4 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)20
11.0%
34
89.0%
Q1 - 1:08MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q1 - 1:30ATLGlover Layup (2 PTS)18
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q1 - 1:32ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q1 - 1:34ATLMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot16
8.0%
34
92.0%
Q1 - 1:56MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q1 - 2:15ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P1.T6)16
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q1 - 2:33MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)16
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q1 - 2:49ATLJackson 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)14
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q1 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)14
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q1 - 3:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 3:11ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot14
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)14
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q1 - 3:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 3:45ATLMISS Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 214
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q1 - 3:45ATLMISS Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 214
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 3:59MIAOdom 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)14
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 4:18ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)14
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJones Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)11
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 4:37ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)11
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 111
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 4:49MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 5:04ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Person 1 AST)11
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 5:19MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 5:21ATLMISS Person 17' Jump Shot9
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAGrant 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
21.3%
16
78.7%
Q1 - 5:47MIAHEAT Rebound9
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Grant 5' Hook Shot9
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 6:07ATLCrawford Finger Roll (5 PTS)9
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 6:13ATLPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 6:14ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
20.5%
14
79.5%
Q1 - 6:36MIAJones Driving Layup (10 PTS)7
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 6:42ATLMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot7
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 7:01ATLPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.6%
12
75.4%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot7
24.2%
12
75.8%
Q1 - 7:28ATLPrzybilla 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)7
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 7:38ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Butler Layup5
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 7:42ATLButler STEAL (1 STL)5
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 7:44ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup5
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 7:52MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 7:54ATLMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot5
20.9%
12
79.1%
Q1 - 8:07ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Odom Dunk5
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 8:22ATLPrzybilla Foul Turnover (P1.T3)5
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 8:30MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 8:57ATLCrawford 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)5
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)3
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 9:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 9:33ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 23
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 9:33ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 9:56MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)2
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 10:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Butler Layup2
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 10:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup2
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 10:14ATLOdom STEAL (1 STL)2
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 10:23ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot2
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 10:47ATLJackson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 10:52MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 10:55ATLGrant STEAL (1 STL)0
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 11:08MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)0
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 11:08MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)0
24.6%
4
75.4%
Q1 - 11:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.9%
3
74.1%
Q1 - 11:15ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot0
26.3%
3
73.7%
Q1 - 11:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
27.2%
3
72.8%
Q1 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Przybilla: Tip to Odom0
30.3%
0
69.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.01 50.5%
MIA
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
26
50%
MIA
15
28
54%
Midrange
ATL
14
35
40%
MIA
23
40
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIA
10
15.0
13
77%
115%
Free Throws
ATL
20
25
80%
MIA
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Crawford2150%10.5 / 21
J. Terry1869%9.0 / 13
S. Jackson1757%8.5 / 15
M. N'diaye1563%7.5 / 12
D. Glover739%3.5 / 9
B. Diaw675%3.0 / 4
J. Przybilla440%2.0 / 5
J. Vaughn420%2.0 / 10
W. Person0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones24109%12.0 / 11
D. Wade2273%11.0 / 15
B. Grant1777%8.5 / 11
R. Butler1365%6.5 / 10
R. Alston1192%5.5 / 6
L. Odom1063%5.0 / 8
U. Haslem938%4.5 / 12
C. Butler840%4.0 / 10
J. Wallace563%2.5 / 4
L. Woods450%2.0 / 4
M. Allen2100%1.0 / 1
B. Coles0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
76
+15
-18
91
MIA
80
+16
-18
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.01 50.5%
MIA
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.7
99.3
ATL 97.9 +29.7
MIA 127.6
Pace
93.1
90.6
ATL 106.2 +18.4
MIA 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.0
ATL 13.6 +2.8
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
46.3%
ATL 45.6%
MIA 65.4% +19.8%
TO %
16.6%
14.4%
ATL 16.7%
MIA 16.6% +0.1%
ORB %
28.7%
27.5%
ATL 25.6%
MIA 40.6% +15.0%
FTrt
30.3
29.8
ATL 31.6 +4.4
MIA 27.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
57.3%
ATL 60.6%
MIA 62.5% +1.9%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
ATL 13.8% +5.6%
MIA 8.2%
BLK %
7.6%
6.3%
ATL 8.8%
MIA 13.1% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.8%
48.3%
ATL 50.5%
MIA 64.4% +13.9%
Rim FG%
54.7%
53.9%
ATL 50.0%
MIA 53.6% +3.6%
Mid FG%
38.5%
36.9%
ATL 40.0%
MIA 57.5% +17.5%
3P %
33.5%
35.7%
ATL 33.3%
MIA 76.9% +43.6%
FT %
77.6%
76.2%
ATL 80.0%
MIA 86.4% +6.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.6%
34.4%
ATL 32.9%
MIA 34.6% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
44.5%
ATL 44.3% +5.1%
MIA 49.4%
3P Att. %
19.1%
21.1%
ATL 22.8% +6.7%
MIA 16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9498
Possession Minutes21.226.8
Points92125
Rebounds3045
Assists2030
Steals138
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals33-7948-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2615-28
Midrange FG14-3523-40
2-Point FG27-6138-68
3-Point FG6-1810-13
Free Throws20-2519-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
35.0
21
50%
4
2
3
0
2
3
2
2
1-2
50%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 26
32.5
17
57%
5
3
1
0
6
2
2
3
3-4
75%
4-10
40%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
30.8
18
69%
2
4
3
1
4
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
C · 7'1" 245 · 24
30.8
4
40%
3
0
0
2
3
3
0
3
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 22
29.9
6
75%
6
2
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25
28.0
7
39%
3
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
26.7
4
20%
2
3
3
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
23.0
15
63%
4
0
2
2
0
3
2
2
9-10
90%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 31
F · 6'7" 220 · 34
C · 7'0" 265 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
51%
30
20
13
6
18
0
11
19
20-25
80%
27-61
44%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.