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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 21, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hornets34%8984
5Nets66%9597
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.9
41.1
36.4
17
36%
3
5
2
2
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-17
5-11
29%
44%
2-6
33%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.7
40.7
28.7
10
42%
2
1
1
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
2-6
33%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
40.6
26.9
14
50%
12
0
0
1
0
4
2
10
6-9
67%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.4
40.5
27.7
9
63%
11
2
1
1
2
1
5
6
5-5
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 31.2
38.5
32.9
28
49%
13
2
1
1
0
2
0
13
6-8
75%
8-22
5-13
36%
41%
2-3
67%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.6
9.9
15.9
4
52%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.1
8.2
19.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
3-6
-
45%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
7.7
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
6.8
19.3
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.9
5.9
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.9
4.6
0
0-1
40%
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 29.4
4.3
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.9
40.6
35.5
11
33%
9
9
3
2
1
3
1
8
3-4
75%
4-13
5-10
31%
44%
0-2
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
40.5
30.6
23
60%
13
2
4
1
4
2
2
11
5-5
100%
9-16
6-11
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.7
39.0
35.5
21
51%
6
3
1
1
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
9-19
5-10
47%
51%
0-0
-
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.7
33.1
34.2
14
45%
9
1
0
2
1
1
2
7
1-1
100%
5-14
4-9
36%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
19.8
21.4
5
66%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.4
28.0
16.5
10
58%
9
3
1
0
3
0
4
5
6-6
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
16.3
16.8
13
60%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.7
11.3
25.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 33.8
7.3
1.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
4.0
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 21.4
7.9
0
1-2
45%
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.7
3.8
0
1-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.