FinalWin Prob.pScore
1151%95
81
2349%94
97
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
91.08982.4
MIA logo MIA
112.88693.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHEAT Rebound81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot81
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENMISS White Free Throw 1 of 181
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENWhite Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10DENMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAHEAT Rebound79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42DENBoykins 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44DENMISS White 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAAlston 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21DENBoykins 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade Reverse Dunk (28 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42DENJones STEAL (1 STL)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DENDoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DENMISS Boykins 21' Jump Shot75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade Driving Dunk (26 PTS)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36DENMiller Driving Layup (15 PTS)75
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 3:50DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:09MIAHEAT Rebound73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 4:11DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 4:24MIAButler Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:48MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)73
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 4:49DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot73
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 4:57DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup73
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 5:12MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 5:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 5:50DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T10)73
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 5:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)73
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 5:57DENMISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot73
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 6:12MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)73
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 6:17DENAlston STEAL (1 STL)73
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 6:30DENNuggets Rebound73
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 6:36MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)73
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 6:37DENMISS Anthony 9' Turnaround Jump Shot73
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 7:02MIAJump Ball Odom vs. Nene: Tip to73
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot73
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 7:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 7:22DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 2 of 273
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 7:22DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 7:24DENLenard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 7:25DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot72
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 7:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)72
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 7:39DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot72
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)72
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 8:19DENAndersen 16' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)72
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 8:38MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (22 PTS)70
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 8:51DENWhite Foul Turnover (P1.T8)70
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 9:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 9:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 9:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMISS Butler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot70
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q4 - 9:27DENAndersen Layup (2 PTS)70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 9:28DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q4 - 9:29DENMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)68
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q4 - 9:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q4 - 9:58DENMISS Boykins 9' Jump Shot68
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q4 - 10:02DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q4 - 10:03DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q4 - 10:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot68
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q4 - 10:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 10:28DENMISS White 8' Jump Shot68
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q4 - 10:49MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)68
8.8%
79
91.2%
Q4 - 11:17DENBoykins 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)68
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 11:37MIAHaslem Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)66
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 11:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
11.6%
75
88.4%
Q4 - 11:45DENMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot66
12.3%
75
87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN66
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)66
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
13.0%
75
87.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0DENOdom BLOCK (2 BLK)66
13.7%
75
86.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENDoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENMISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot66
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot66
20.5%
73
79.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot66
20.5%
73
79.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 166
18.6%
73
81.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENAnthony 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q3 - 1:13MIAOdom 4' Hook Shot (21 PTS)64
16.7%
73
83.3%
Q3 - 1:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
19.5%
71
80.5%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup64
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 1:19DENWade STEAL (1 STL)64
19.5%
71
80.5%
Q3 - 1:22DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q3 - 1:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
19.5%
71
80.5%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot64
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Odom 8' Turnaround Hook Shot64
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 1:48DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q3 - 1:48DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 1:59DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
16.6%
71
83.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot62
15.8%
71
84.2%
Q3 - 2:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
14.9%
71
85.1%
Q3 - 2:16DENMISS Lenard 15' Jump Shot62
15.7%
71
84.3%
Q3 - 2:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
17.6%
71
82.4%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 262
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q3 - 2:35MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
15.8%
71
84.2%
Q3 - 2:57DENMiller Layup (13 PTS)62
17.3%
70
82.7%
Q3 - 3:20MIAWade Layup (18 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)60
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q3 - 3:24MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q3 - 3:25DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
21.4%
68
78.6%
Q3 - 3:25DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot60
19.3%
68
80.7%
Q3 - 3:27DENMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot60
19.3%
68
80.7%
Q3 - 3:41MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
21.4%
68
78.6%
Q3 - 3:41MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
22.0%
67
78.0%
Q3 - 3:55DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)60
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q3 - 3:55DENNuggets Rebound60
28.0%
66
72.0%
Q3 - 3:56DENWade BLOCK (1 BLK)60
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 3:59DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
28.0%
66
72.0%
Q3 - 4:00DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 4:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
28.9%
66
71.1%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 260
28.3%
66
71.7%
Q3 - 4:19MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q3 - 4:32DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
28.3%
65
71.7%
Q3 - 4:32DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
27.4%
65
72.6%
Q3 - 4:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)58
25.4%
65
74.6%
Q3 - 4:38DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
22.9%
65
77.1%
Q3 - 4:52MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
25.4%
65
74.6%
Q3 - 4:52MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
26.0%
64
74.0%
Q3 - 4:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
28.3%
63
71.7%
Q3 - 4:58DENMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot58
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 5:12MIAOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)58
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 5:31DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
40.5%
60
59.5%
Q3 - 5:31DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 257
39.3%
60
60.7%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)57
40.8%
60
59.2%
Q3 - 5:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
44.5%
58
55.5%
Q3 - 5:57DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup57
45.9%
58
54.1%
Q3 - 6:18MIAOdom Dunk (14 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)57
49.1%
58
50.9%
Q3 - 6:33DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
52.8%
56
47.2%
Q3 - 6:33DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
52.0%
56
48.0%
Q3 - 6:33DENNuggets Rebound55
49.1%
56
50.9%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot55
47.8%
56
52.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound55
44.8%
56
55.2%
Q3 - 6:50DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 2 of 255
45.4%
56
54.6%
Q3 - 6:50DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 7:19MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)54
45.0%
56
55.0%
Q3 - 7:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
52.2%
53
47.8%
Q3 - 7:26DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)54
56.6%
53
43.4%
Q3 - 7:26DENMISS Camby Tip Shot54
53.5%
53
46.5%
Q3 - 7:27DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot54
53.5%
53
46.5%
Q3 - 7:44MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
56.6%
53
43.4%
Q3 - 7:44MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
57.4%
52
42.6%
Q3 - 7:44MIAHEAT Rebound54
59.8%
51
40.2%
Q3 - 7:45DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
61.1%
51
38.9%
Q3 - 8:02MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
63.9%
51
36.1%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 254
64.6%
50
35.4%
Q3 - 8:16DENMiller 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)54
63.4%
50
36.6%
Q3 - 8:23DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
67.3%
50
32.7%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Wade Layup54
66.1%
50
33.9%
Q3 - 8:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
63.4%
50
36.6%
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot54
64.6%
50
35.4%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)54
67.3%
50
32.7%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)54
68.0%
49
32.0%
Q3 - 9:02DENNene Dunk (9 PTS)54
69.6%
48
30.4%
Q3 - 9:21MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
66.5%
48
33.5%
Q3 - 9:37DENLenard 19' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)52
69.6%
46
30.4%
Q3 - 9:46DENLenard Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)50
66.6%
46
33.4%
Q3 - 10:03MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q3 - 10:03MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
63.7%
45
36.3%
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Haslem Layup49
68.4%
44
31.6%
Q3 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade Layup49
68.4%
44
31.6%
Q3 - 10:13MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q3 - 10:14DENMISS Camby Dunk49
67.1%
44
32.9%
Q3 - 10:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
69.5%
44
30.5%
Q3 - 10:18DENMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot49
67.1%
44
32.9%
Q3 - 10:29MIAJones Driving Layup (7 PTS)49
69.5%
44
30.5%
Q3 - 10:47DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
72.1%
42
27.9%
Q3 - 10:47DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
71.7%
42
28.3%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)47
69.4%
42
30.6%
Q3 - 11:20DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
71.8%
40
28.2%
Q3 - 11:20DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
71.2%
40
28.8%
Q3 - 11:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
69.1%
40
30.9%
Q3 - 11:21DENMISS Lenard Layup45
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q3 - 11:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
69.1%
40
30.9%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot45
68.1%
40
31.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN45
65.9%
40
34.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound45
69.1%
40
30.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 28' 3PT Jump Shot45
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
68.0%
40
32.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
66.0%
40
34.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)45
66.6%
40
33.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)45
68.1%
40
31.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot45
66.6%
40
33.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Lenard: Tip to Nene45
68.1%
40
31.9%
Q2 - 1:01DENLenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
65.8%
40
34.2%
Q2 - 1:07DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
58.3%
40
41.7%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Haslem Layup42
57.8%
40
42.2%
Q2 - 1:21DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)42
56.7%
40
43.3%
Q2 - 1:21DENNuggets Rebound42
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Miller Layup42
57.2%
40
42.8%
Q2 - 1:23DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q2 - 1:24DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot42
57.2%
40
42.8%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWade Reverse Dunk (12 PTS)42
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q2 - 2:01DENHaslem STEAL (1 STL)42
61.9%
38
38.1%
Q2 - 2:10DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
64.6%
38
35.4%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
63.8%
38
36.2%
Q2 - 2:25DENMiller 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)42
61.9%
38
38.1%
Q2 - 2:42DENNuggets Rebound40
58.7%
38
41.3%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 240
58.3%
38
41.7%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 240
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 3:02DENMiller 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 3:06MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
52.8%
38
47.2%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
49.5%
38
50.5%
Q2 - 3:10DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot38
50.5%
38
49.5%
Q2 - 3:24MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P4.T5)38
52.8%
38
47.2%
Q2 - 3:30DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)38
49.5%
38
50.5%
Q2 - 3:30DENMiller 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
46.5%
38
53.5%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q2 - 4:09DENMiller 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
46.8%
36
53.2%
Q2 - 4:16MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)33
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 4:37MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
41.1%
36
58.9%
Q2 - 4:38DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 233
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 4:38DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
43.1%
36
56.9%
Q2 - 4:55MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
41.1%
36
58.9%
Q2 - 5:16MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
46.8%
33
53.2%
Q2 - 5:17DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
47.8%
33
52.2%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)32
49.9%
33
50.1%
Q2 - 5:54DENAnthony Driving Layup (10 PTS)32
55.3%
30
44.7%
Q2 - 6:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot30
51.9%
30
48.1%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical30
49.6%
30
50.4%
Q2 - 6:36DENDoleac 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)30
49.6%
30
50.4%
Q2 - 6:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
47.4%
30
52.6%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot28
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 6:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q2 - 6:53DENMISS Anthony 6' Running Jump Shot28
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q2 - 7:05DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
47.6%
30
52.4%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot28
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
44.8%
30
55.2%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 7:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
44.8%
30
55.2%
Q2 - 7:20DENMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot28
45.6%
30
54.4%
Q2 - 7:34DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
47.6%
30
52.4%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot28
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 7:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
44.7%
30
55.3%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot28
45.6%
30
54.4%
Q2 - 8:23MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
47.5%
30
52.5%
Q2 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q2 - 8:30DENMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot28
53.3%
27
46.7%
Q2 - 8:40MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)28
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q2 - 9:00DENBarry Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
57.5%
25
42.5%
Q2 - 9:21MIAOdom 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)28
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot28
64.0%
23
36.0%
Q2 - 9:49DENDoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q2 - 9:49DENDoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
61.8%
23
38.2%
Q2 - 10:08MIAOdom 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
59.8%
23
40.2%
Q2 - 10:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
61.9%
21
38.1%
Q2 - 10:17DENMISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot26
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q2 - 10:28MIAAlston 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
64.5%
21
35.5%
Q2 - 10:46DENBarry 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q2 - 10:49DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q2 - 10:50DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot24
62.7%
19
37.3%
Q2 - 10:52DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q2 - 10:53DENMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot24
62.7%
19
37.3%
Q2 - 11:13MIAOdom Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)24
63.9%
19
36.1%
Q2 - 11:25MIAHEAT Rebound24
61.6%
19
38.4%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot24
63.2%
19
36.8%
Q2 - 11:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
61.7%
19
38.3%
Q2 - 11:34DENButler BLOCK (1 BLK)24
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q2 - 11:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
63.9%
19
36.1%
Q2 - 11:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
66.1%
17
33.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.3%
17
31.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
67.6%
17
32.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENDoleac 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)24
65.9%
17
34.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAOdom Reverse Layup (5 PTS)22
63.3%
17
36.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot22
67.1%
15
32.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
65.5%
15
34.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
63.3%
15
36.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
61.5%
15
38.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot20
62.7%
15
37.3%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Butler Layup20
62.8%
15
37.2%
Q1 - 1:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
61.5%
15
38.5%
Q1 - 1:14DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot20
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 1:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 1:18DENMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot20
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 1:42MIAWade Dunk (6 PTS)20
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
65.9%
13
34.1%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup20
67.0%
13
33.0%
Q1 - 1:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
65.9%
13
34.1%
Q1 - 1:50DENOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)20
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 1:51DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
67.5%
13
32.5%
Q1 - 1:54DENMISS Anthony 5' Running Jump Shot20
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 2:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup20
67.1%
13
32.9%
Q1 - 2:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
65.8%
13
34.2%
Q1 - 2:28DENMISS Camby 13' Jump Shot20
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 2:45MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 220
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 2:59DENCamby 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)20
67.9%
12
32.1%
Q1 - 3:17MIAOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
65.2%
12
34.8%
Q1 - 3:46DENNene Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)18
67.0%
10
33.0%
Q1 - 3:50MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)16
65.3%
10
34.7%
Q1 - 4:05DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
62.6%
10
37.4%
Q1 - 4:05DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
62.2%
10
37.8%
Q1 - 4:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)14
60.9%
10
39.1%
Q1 - 4:10DENMISS Camby 12' Jump Shot14
59.1%
10
40.9%
Q1 - 4:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
60.9%
10
39.1%
Q1 - 4:15DENGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)14
59.1%
10
40.9%
Q1 - 4:17DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
60.9%
10
39.1%
Q1 - 4:18DENMISS Anthony 7' Running Jump Shot14
59.1%
10
40.9%
Q1 - 4:32MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
60.9%
10
39.1%
Q1 - 4:32MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
61.3%
9
38.7%
Q1 - 4:53DENCamby Dunk (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)14
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 5:11DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
59.6%
8
40.4%
Q1 - 5:21DENGrant STEAL (1 STL)12
58.1%
8
41.9%
Q1 - 5:38DENNuggets Rebound12
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 6:08DENLenard 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)12
57.7%
8
42.3%
Q1 - 6:27MIAWade Running Dunk (4 PTS)10
55.8%
8
44.2%
Q1 - 6:43DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
57.7%
6
42.3%
Q1 - 6:43DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 29
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 6:50DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
57.8%
6
42.2%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Jones 8' Fadeaway Jumper9
57.2%
6
42.8%
Q1 - 7:13DENLenard 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
55.4%
6
44.6%
Q1 - 7:17DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
53.7%
6
46.3%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Odom Layup7
53.1%
6
46.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
51.6%
6
48.4%
Q1 - 7:33DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot7
52.3%
6
47.7%
Q1 - 7:57MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
53.7%
6
46.3%
Q1 - 8:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 8:04DENMISS Lenard Driving Layup7
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 8:19DENNuggets Rebound7
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup7
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 8:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 8:37DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot7
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 8:57DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Odom 6' Jump Shot7
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 9:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 9:11DENMISS Miller 15' Fadeaway Jumper7
56.1%
4
43.9%
Q1 - 9:40DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot7
57.0%
4
43.0%
Q1 - 9:59DENNene Layup (4 PTS)7
55.4%
4
44.6%
Q1 - 10:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
53.7%
4
46.3%
Q1 - 10:02DENMISS Anthony 5' Running Jump Shot5
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 10:28MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 10:46DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 10:56MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 11:12DENNene 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 11:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 11:15DENGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)0
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 11:39MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 11:48MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 11:49DENMISS Miller Driving Layup0
50.5%
0
49.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Camby: Tip to Lenard0
51.7%
0
48.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.72 36.2%
MIA
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
11
28
39%
MIA
16
30
53%
Midrange
DEN
15
49
31%
MIA
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
DEN
23
30
77%
MIA
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony1631%8.0 / 26
A. Miller1539%7.5 / 19
V. Lenard1447%7.0 / 15
Nene1063%5.0 / 8
M. Camby630%3.0 / 10
E. Boykins633%3.0 / 9
M. Doleac643%3.0 / 7
C. Andersen450%2.0 / 4
J. Barry225%1.0 / 4
R. White225%1.0 / 4
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2856%14.0 / 25
L. Odom2158%10.5 / 18
U. Haslem1260%6.0 / 10
E. Jones1155%5.5 / 10
R. Alston1045%5.0 / 11
C. Butler660%3.0 / 5
R. Butler450%2.0 / 4
S. Walker350%1.5 / 3
B. Grant233%1.0 / 3
J. Wallace0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+28
-9
108
MIA
75
+15
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.72 36.2%
MIA
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
99.3
DEN 91.0 +21.8
MIA 112.8
Pace
95.7
90.6
DEN 82.4
MIA 93.5 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
DEN 17.5
MIA 15.4 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
46.3%
DEN 31.9%
MIA 48.7% +16.8%
TO %
15.3%
14.4%
DEN 9.5% +2.3%
MIA 11.8%
ORB %
30.5%
27.5%
DEN 40.3% +8.9%
MIA 31.4%
FTrt
31.9
29.8
DEN 33.0
MIA 37.7 +4.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
57.3%
DEN 25.0%
MIA 31.4% +6.4%
STL %
9.5%
7.9%
DEN 5.6%
MIA 5.8% +0.2%
BLK %
9.3%
6.3%
DEN 14.5% +5.4%
MIA 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
48.3%
DEN 36.2%
MIA 52.2% +16.0%
Rim FG%
57.8%
53.9%
DEN 39.3%
MIA 53.3% +14.0%
Mid FG%
37.0%
36.9%
DEN 30.6%
MIA 43.8% +13.2%
3P %
33.6%
35.7%
DEN 14.3%
MIA 33.3% +19.0%
FT %
76.7%
76.2%
DEN 76.7% +0.8%
MIA 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
34.4%
DEN 30.8%
MIA 39.0% +8.2%
Mid Att. %
48.0%
44.5%
DEN 53.8%
MIA 41.6% +12.3%
3P Att. %
14.6%
21.1%
DEN 15.4%
MIA 19.5% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions8986
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points8197
Rebounds4948
Assists711
Steals55
Blocks97
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (6)37 (3)
Field Goals28-9135-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2816-30
Midrange FG15-4914-32
2-Point FG26-7730-62
3-Point FG2-145-15
Free Throws23-3022-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 20
36.5
16
31%
7
2
1
0
0
1
2
5
9-11
82%
2-15
13%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 215 · 31
34.6
14
47%
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
5-7
71%
3-7
43%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
32.0
15
39%
3
2
0
1
2
4
1
2
3-3
100%
6-17
35%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 21
31.1
10
63%
9
1
1
1
2
5
7
2
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
27.6
6
30%
8
0
2
5
1
3
5
3
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26
20.4
4
50%
10
0
0
0
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 28
16.0
6
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
13.9
6
43%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 35
13.3
2
25%
0
1
0
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
7.7
2
25%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 218 · 28
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 225 · 21
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
36%
49
7
5
9
9
0
25
24
23-30
77%
26-77
34%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.