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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 21, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Celtics39%9384
16Trail Blazers61%96105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.6
36.9
24.4
15
52%
7
0
0
1
2
2
4
3
3-3
100%
6-13
3-7
46%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.3
36.2
18.3
10
43%
1
7
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
4-9
2-4
44%
41%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.4
34.1
39.2
11
37%
2
3
2
2
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
6-13
29%
46%
1-6
17%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.4
26.8
33.7
12
47%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
46%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.2
21.7
29.4
4
23%
6
0
0
1
0
3
4
2
2-2
100%
1-8
4-8
13%
52%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.1
29.0
32.1
7
48%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
21.3
26.4
5
28%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-8
13%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
17.7
7.6
9
77%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.2
9.5
2.9
10
74%
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
6
4-4
100%
3-5
0-1
60%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
6.8
3.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.5
17.4
1
1-3
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
37.6
30.2
27
61%
15
2
2
1
0
2
1
14
5-7
71%
11-19
6-13
58%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
33.7
23.9
13
62%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
7-8
88%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.8
31.1
25.3
6
60%
5
0
1
1
6
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 30.5
26.2
36.6
16
102%
2
7
1
1
0
4
2
0
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
43%
2-2
100%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.6
25.5
39.4
10
45%
6
6
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-5
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
1-6
17%
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
22.5
3.2
16
59%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
6-10
0-1
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
21.9
31.1
9
67%
5
2
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
3-5
6-12
60%
47%
0-0
-
Omar Cook
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.1
15.9
10.5
2
50%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.4
14.5
2.6
2
20%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 28.6
11.1
22.5
4
67%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 34.9
12.5
0
1-2
50%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.