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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 21, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17SuperSonics39%9992
14Warriors61%10294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
27.4
25.8
12
55%
4
2
0
1
2
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
2-3
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
26.6
39.5
8
34%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-8
6-12
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
25.9
18.4
12
58%
9
0
1
0
2
0
3
6
2-3
67%
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.9
25.4
23.9
9
61%
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.9
15.9
22.4
8
54%
5
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-1
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
36.0
24.4
17
59%
1
2
1
1
1
4
0
1
4-8
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
45%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
31.4
28.8
9
50%
8
1
2
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
1-4
25%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.3
20.3
20.4
10
56%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.0
18.4
18.5
7
81%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.8
5.9
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.5
3.5
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-2
0%
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
3.3
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
41.1
38.4
24
51%
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
9-17
7-14
53%
48%
0-3
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
39.9
27.4
21
86%
9
1
1
1
0
1
5
4
12-14
86%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.2
37.5
33.9
14
48%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-6
50%
4-8
3-8
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.6
28.6
32.3
14
44%
16
0
0
0
1
2
8
8
6-9
67%
4-12
4-8
33%
51%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 25.8
8.3
34.1
0
0%
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
5-11
0%
46%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
34.6
27.1
11
46%
5
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-2
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.2
33.4
25.0
8
32%
6
5
0
0
1
3
0
6
4-6
67%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
0-5
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.0
9.1
12.0
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.9
6.8
3.5
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
0.5
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
7.5
0
1-1
48%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 33.7
1.0
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.