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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 22, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Cavaliers39%9492
23Knicks61%9786
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.1
43.8
35.6
22
44%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
8-12
67%
7-20
7-16
35%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.3
42.7
35.7
13
54%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
3-3
100%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.7
42.1
34.1
31
65%
15
1
0
1
2
2
7
8
3-4
75%
14-22
6-13
64%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.3
36.0
31.2
14
51%
17
0
0
1
0
2
3
14
6-6
100%
4-11
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
20.2
16.5
2
20%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
28.3
26.2
5
24%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
0-5
3-6
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
17.2
17.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.2
5.9
10.4
3
47%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
3.8
17.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-6
-
39%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.1
12.5
0
1-3
40%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.1
6.6
0
1-1
42%
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.9
3.0
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
42.7
33.2
30
43%
5
6
0
1
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
11-29
5-11
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.4
35.9
27.5
16
62%
11
1
0
1
1
1
3
8
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.0
35.2
24.7
10
43%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-4
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
34.8
30.5
10
50%
5
4
2
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.7
30.1
20.8
7
36%
11
0
0
0
3
0
5
6
1-4
25%
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.6
28.5
30.2
6
22%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-10
4-9
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
15.1
20.5
5
34%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-3
33%
2-6
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
12.4
13.2
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.0
5.3
10.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.3
8.3
0
1-3
45%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 23.8
7.8
0
1-1
41%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
6.2
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.