FinalWin Prob.pScore
3016%90
87
884%103
86
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
94.69298.9
DET logo DET
97.78882.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL87
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
94.4%
86
5.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot87
96.8%
86
3.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)87
85.9%
86
14.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLHoward Layup (19 PTS)86
35.1%
86
64.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)84
9.5%
86
90.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETPISTONS Rebound84
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot84
5.3%
86
94.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
12.0%
86
88.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
12.9%
85
87.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLStrickland Finger Roll (5 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)84
23.9%
84
76.1%
Q4 - 1:01ORLRooks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
15.2%
84
84.8%
Q4 - 1:02DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 282
14.1%
84
85.9%
Q4 - 1:02DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)82
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q4 - 1:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
14.0%
83
86.0%
Q4 - 1:19DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot82
20.3%
83
79.7%
Q4 - 1:27DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
13.8%
83
86.2%
Q4 - 1:30ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot82
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 1:53DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)82
22.7%
83
77.3%
Q4 - 2:10ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
28.6%
81
71.4%
Q4 - 2:10ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)81
27.0%
81
73.0%
Q4 - 2:23DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)80
23.3%
81
76.7%
Q4 - 2:23DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)80
24.1%
80
75.9%
Q4 - 2:46ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
27.9%
79
72.1%
Q4 - 2:53ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q4 - 2:54ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot77
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q4 - 3:15ORLRooks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q4 - 3:18ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q4 - 3:26ORLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q4 - 3:27DETMISS Wallace Layup77
14.1%
79
85.9%
Q4 - 3:44ORLStevenson 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)77
11.7%
79
88.3%
Q4 - 4:03DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 4:03DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 275
8.7%
78
91.3%
Q4 - 4:22ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 4:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q4 - 4:38DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot73
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q4 - 4:57ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 4:57ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 5:14ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 5:16DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 5:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)71
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 5:36ORLWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)71
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 6:02DETHamilton Layup (19 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)71
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 6:03ORLLue Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)71
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q4 - 6:08DETWallace Layup (11 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)71
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q4 - 6:21DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q4 - 6:23ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q4 - 6:30ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
12.2%
74
87.8%
Q4 - 6:32DETMISS Billups 8' Jump Shot71
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q4 - 6:46ORLGooden 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)71
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q4 - 7:07DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q4 - 7:07DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q4 - 7:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)69
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q4 - 7:12ORLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
10.2%
72
89.8%
Q4 - 7:23ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q4 - 7:26DETMISS Wallace 9' Hook Shot69
11.4%
72
88.6%
Q4 - 7:43ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q4 - 7:43ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q4 - 8:03DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)67
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q4 - 8:10DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q4 - 8:12ORLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)67
13.6%
69
86.4%
Q4 - 8:38DETWallace 17' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)67
15.8%
69
84.2%
Q4 - 8:46ORLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)67
19.4%
67
80.6%
Q4 - 8:48ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
23.9%
67
76.1%
Q4 - 8:50ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot67
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q4 - 9:09ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
23.0%
67
77.0%
Q4 - 9:11DETMISS Okur 11' Jump Shot67
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q4 - 9:33ORLRooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q4 - 9:33ORLRooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q4 - 9:49DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)65
15.6%
67
84.4%
Q4 - 9:55ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)65
12.6%
67
87.4%
Q4 - 10:21DETOkur Dunk (6 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)62
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q4 - 10:38ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q4 - 10:38ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q4 - 10:40DETOkur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)60
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q4 - 10:46DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q4 - 10:48DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot60
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q4 - 11:02ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)60
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q4 - 11:05DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)60
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q4 - 11:26ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q4 - 11:26ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q4 - 11:40ORLRooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS Okur 9' Hook Shot58
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET58
4.9%
65
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound58
4.9%
65
95.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Wallace 29' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)58
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMagic Rebound58
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)58
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETHam Tip Shot (6 PTS)58
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETHam REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETMISS Billups Dunk58
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLBillups STEAL (4 STL)58
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 258
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLGooden 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)58
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 1:19DETWallace Dunk (11 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)56
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 1:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)56
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 1:30ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot56
9.8%
60
90.2%
Q3 - 1:41ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 1:43DETMISS James Tip Shot56
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 1:44DETJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 1:45DETMISS James 7' Jump Shot56
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 2:10ORLGooden 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)56
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q3 - 2:20ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 2:21DETMISS James 22' Jump Shot54
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q3 - 2:34ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 154
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 2:34ORLStevenson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 2:49DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)52
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 3:01ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)52
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 3:17ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
5.8%
60
94.2%
Q3 - 3:18DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 252
5.7%
60
94.3%
Q3 - 3:18DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 3:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 3:27ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot52
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q3 - 3:42DETHamilton Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)52
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q3 - 3:56DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q3 - 3:57ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot52
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 4:20ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
9.6%
57
90.4%
Q3 - 4:22DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot52
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 4:44ORLStevenson Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)52
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 5:00ORLMagic Rebound50
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q3 - 5:02DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot50
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 5:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)50
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 5:12DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot50
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 5:30ORLBillups STEAL (3 STL)50
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 5:47DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)50
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 6:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q3 - 6:01DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot50
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q3 - 6:16ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)50
9.6%
54
90.4%
Q3 - 6:36DETWallace Dunk (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)48
8.4%
54
91.6%
Q3 - 6:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q3 - 6:46ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q3 - 6:54ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q3 - 6:57DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot48
10.7%
52
89.3%
Q3 - 7:17ORLHoward 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)48
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q3 - 7:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 7:40DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot46
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q3 - 8:03DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q3 - 8:05ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot46
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q3 - 8:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 8:16DETMISS Wallace Layup46
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q3 - 8:37ORLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)46
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q3 - 8:53DETBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T7)43
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q3 - 9:16ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)43
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q3 - 9:16ORLMagic Rebound43
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q3 - 9:17ORLMISS Lue 22' Jump Shot43
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q3 - 9:43DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)43
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q3 - 9:49DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q3 - 9:51ORLWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)43
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q3 - 10:13DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)43
7.2%
50
92.8%
Q3 - 10:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
8.1%
48
91.9%
Q3 - 10:28ORLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q3 - 10:47ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q3 - 10:51DETMISS Hamilton 7' Running Jump Shot43
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q3 - 11:21ORLHoward 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)43
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q3 - 11:35ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q3 - 11:38ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot41
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET41
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)41
6.6%
48
93.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLHunter 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)41
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETHamilton 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)39
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 1:07ORLMcGrady Foul Turnover (P3.T7)39
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 1:17DETHam Foul Turnover (P1.T5)39
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 1:33ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 1:33ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 1:49DETHam Dunk (4 PTS)37
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 1:55DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 1:57ORLMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 2:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 2:05DETMISS Wallace Layup37
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 2:11DETHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 2:13DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 2:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 2:30ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 237
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 2:30ORLHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
7.2%
44
92.8%
Q2 - 2:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 2:49DETMISS Hamilton 11' Running Jump Shot36
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 3:03DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 3:05ORLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
6.3%
44
93.7%
Q2 - 3:25DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 3:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 3:31ORLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)36
6.3%
44
93.7%
Q2 - 3:48ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 3:50DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 236
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 3:50DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 4:01ORLHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T6)36
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 4:08ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 4:09DETMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 4:28ORLLue 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 4:40ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 4:43DETMISS Wallace 7' Turnaround Jump Shot34
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 5:04ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 5:04ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)33
5.4%
43
94.6%
Q2 - 5:19DETJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 5:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 5:25ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.6%
43
95.4%
Q2 - 5:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 5:51DETMISS Williamson 6' Hook Shot32
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 6:12ORLHoward Reverse Layup (9 PTS)32
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 6:29DETJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)30
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q2 - 6:54ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)30
5.0%
40
95.0%
Q2 - 6:54ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 6:55ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)30
5.2%
40
94.8%
Q2 - 7:25DETJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
5.8%
40
94.2%
Q2 - 7:35ORLPenigar Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
6.3%
38
93.7%
Q2 - 7:54DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)30
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 8:13ORLStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 8:13ORLMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 229
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 8:23ORLPenigar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 8:25DETMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot29
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 8:28DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 8:30DETMISS Williamson 6' Hook Shot29
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 8:39DETFowlkes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 8:40DETMISS Billups Layup29
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 8:47DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 8:49ORLOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)29
7.3%
36
92.7%
Q2 - 9:07DETJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 9:07DETJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 9:09ORLBillups STEAL (2 STL)29
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 9:29DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)29
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 9:46ORLRooks 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)29
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 9:53DETFowlkes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
9.4%
32
90.6%
Q2 - 9:54DETFowlkes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 9:56ORLMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot27
8.7%
32
91.3%
Q2 - 10:11DETOkur Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)27
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 10:22ORLRooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
10.3%
30
89.7%
Q2 - 10:22ORLRooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
10.1%
30
89.9%
Q2 - 10:22ORLRooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q2 - 10:24ORLMISS McGrady 10' Running Jump Shot25
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q2 - 10:40DETOkur 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)25
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q2 - 10:57DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 10:58ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
10.6%
28
89.4%
Q2 - 11:11ORLMcGrady Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)25
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 11:25ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
10.1%
28
89.9%
Q2 - 11:27DETMISS Okur 19' Jump Shot24
9.9%
28
90.1%
Q2 - 11:46ORLStevenson Dunk (4 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)24
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL22
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound22
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Stevenson 33' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.0%
28
92.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLMISS McGrady Reverse Layup22
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETMISS Billups 12' Running Jump Shot22
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 1:04ORLMcGrady 20' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)22
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 1:22DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)20
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 1:40DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q1 - 1:41ORLMISS Stevenson Layup20
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 1:47ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 1:49DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 2:00ORLStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q1 - 2:06ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
8.5%
24
91.5%
Q1 - 2:08DETMISS Wallace Layup18
8.3%
24
91.7%
Q1 - 2:19ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
7.8%
24
92.2%
Q1 - 2:19ORLHoward 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 2:29ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q1 - 2:32DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
6.4%
24
93.6%
Q1 - 2:40ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)15
6.0%
24
94.0%
Q1 - 2:56DETHam Dunk (2 PTS)15
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q1 - 3:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
7.2%
22
92.8%
Q1 - 3:17ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot15
7.4%
22
92.6%
Q1 - 3:34DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)15
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 3:54ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
8.5%
20
91.5%
Q1 - 3:54ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
8.4%
20
91.6%
Q1 - 4:15DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)13
7.8%
20
92.2%
Q1 - 4:32ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
8.3%
18
91.7%
Q1 - 4:32ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)12
8.2%
18
91.8%
Q1 - 4:39DETWallace Dunk (6 PTS)11
7.8%
18
92.2%
Q1 - 4:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 4:42DETMISS Prince Layup11
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 4:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 4:46DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 4:59ORLHoward 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)11
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 5:13DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)9
7.7%
16
92.3%
Q1 - 5:32ORLGooden 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)9
8.3%
14
91.7%
Q1 - 5:47ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
7.7%
14
92.3%
Q1 - 5:48DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 27
7.6%
14
92.4%
Q1 - 5:48DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)7
7.4%
14
92.6%
Q1 - 5:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
7.6%
13
92.4%
Q1 - 5:50DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 27
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 5:50DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 27
7.8%
13
92.2%
Q1 - 6:11ORLStevenson Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)7
7.7%
13
92.3%
Q1 - 6:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
7.2%
13
92.8%
Q1 - 6:18DETMISS Hamilton Layup5
7.0%
13
93.0%
Q1 - 6:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6.6%
13
93.4%
Q1 - 6:24ORLMISS Strickland Layup5
6.8%
13
93.2%
Q1 - 6:29DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
7.2%
13
92.8%
Q1 - 6:40DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
6.6%
13
93.4%
Q1 - 6:41DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
7.0%
13
93.0%
Q1 - 7:02DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
6.7%
13
93.3%
Q1 - 7:04ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
6.9%
13
93.1%
Q1 - 7:19ORLMagic Rebound5
7.3%
13
92.7%
Q1 - 7:20ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot5
6.9%
13
93.1%
Q1 - 7:25ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
7.3%
13
92.7%
Q1 - 7:27DETMISS Hamilton 7' Running Jump Shot5
7.1%
13
92.9%
Q1 - 7:43ORLHoward 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
6.7%
13
93.3%
Q1 - 8:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
6.2%
13
93.8%
Q1 - 8:04DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot3
6.1%
13
93.9%
Q1 - 8:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)3
5.7%
13
94.3%
Q1 - 8:23ORLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot3
5.9%
13
94.1%
Q1 - 8:41DETPrince Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)3
6.2%
13
93.8%
Q1 - 8:44DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
6.6%
11
93.4%
Q1 - 8:46ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
6.8%
11
93.2%
Q1 - 9:01DETWallace 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)3
7.1%
11
92.9%
Q1 - 9:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
8.0%
8
92.0%
Q1 - 9:22ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 23
8.1%
8
91.9%
Q1 - 9:22ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 9:36DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
8.2%
8
91.8%
Q1 - 9:39DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
8.6%
6
91.4%
Q1 - 9:41DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot2
9.2%
6
90.8%
Q1 - 9:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
8.6%
6
91.4%
Q1 - 9:56ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot2
8.9%
6
91.1%
Q1 - 10:09DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
9.3%
6
90.7%
Q1 - 10:09DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 22
9.6%
5
90.4%
Q1 - 10:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.2%
5
90.8%
Q1 - 10:12ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)2
9.5%
5
90.5%
Q1 - 10:23ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.0%
5
90.0%
Q1 - 10:26DETMISS Wallace 10' Fadeaway Jumper2
9.8%
5
90.2%
Q1 - 10:42ORLMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
9.2%
5
90.8%
Q1 - 11:00DETPrince 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
10.0%
5
90.0%
Q1 - 11:27ORLHunter Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)2
10.6%
3
89.4%
Q1 - 11:45DETWallace 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
9.9%
3
90.1%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Hunter: Tip to Billups0
11.3%
0
88.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 48.9%
DET
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
9
14
64%
DET
16
25
64%
Midrange
ORL
16
38
42%
DET
11
38
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
DET
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
ORL
28
32
88%
DET
17
26
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2053%10.0 / 19
T. McGrady1937%9.5 / 26
D. Gooden1488%7.0 / 8
D. Stevenson1056%5.0 / 9
S. Rooks6100%3.0 / 3
T. Lue536%2.5 / 7
S. Hunter583%2.5 / 3
R. Strickland542%2.5 / 6
K. Bogans350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2364%11.5 / 18
C. Billups1554%7.5 / 14
R. Wallace1435%7.0 / 20
B. Wallace1155%5.5 / 10
M. James744%3.5 / 8
D. Ham6100%3.0 / 3
M. Okur650%3.0 / 6
T. Prince422%2.0 / 9
C. Williamson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+10
-13
89
DET
76
+16
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 48.9%
DET
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.3
99.1
ORL 94.6
DET 97.7 +3.2
Pace
93.1
90.5
ORL 98.9 +16.4
DET 82.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.9
ORL 14.6 +2.9
DET 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
46.1%
ORL 44.0%
DET 44.8% +0.8%
TO %
13.8%
15.8%
ORL 16.5%
DET 11.9% +4.6%
ORB %
28.1%
30.2%
ORL 16.2%
DET 31.3% +15.1%
FTrt
29.6
32.8
ORL 47.8 +14.0
DET 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.5%
62.0%
ORL 60.7%
DET 75.0% +14.3%
STL %
7.1%
8.9%
ORL 6.5% +0.8%
DET 5.7%
BLK %
5.6%
11.0%
ORL 3.2%
DET 15.4% +12.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.1%
48.5%
ORL 48.9% +2.2%
DET 46.7%
Rim FG%
52.9%
54.7%
ORL 64.3% +0.3%
DET 64.0%
Mid FG%
40.2%
37.6%
ORL 42.1% +13.2%
DET 28.9%
3P %
34.4%
34.4%
ORL 20.0%
DET 35.7% +15.7%
FT %
73.7%
75.3%
ORL 87.5% +22.1%
DET 65.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.7%
37.4%
ORL 20.9%
DET 32.5% +11.6%
Mid Att. %
51.8%
47.3%
ORL 56.7%
DET 49.4% +7.4%
3P Att. %
18.4%
15.3%
ORL 22.4% +4.2%
DET 18.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions9288
Possession Minutes22.325.6
Points8786
Rebounds3946
Assists1724
Steals65
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)13 (3)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals28-6732-77
At-the-Rim FG9-1416-25
Midrange FG16-3811-38
2-Point FG25-5227-63
3-Point FG3-155-14
Free Throws28-3217-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 25
46.3
19
37%
5
8
3
0
5
1
0
5
12-13
92%
2-13
15%
1-7
14%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
39.7
20
53%
8
2
0
1
2
4
0
8
4-4
100%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 27
24.0
5
36%
1
1
1
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
F · 6'5" 215 · 24
20.8
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
17.8
5
83%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 23
26.3
10
56%
2
0
2
0
0
4
1
1
0-1
0%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 38
24.0
5
42%
1
6
0
0
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 22
22.3
14
88%
9
0
0
1
1
4
1
8
6-6
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 34
16.1
6
100%
4
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 23
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 20
G · 6'6" 205 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
49%
39
17
6
2
13
0
6
33
28-32
88%
25-52
48%
3-15
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.