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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 22, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers59%102104
21Suns41%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
42.1
34.7
40
70%
7
5
3
2
0
2
4
3
8-8
100%
13-20
6-14
65%
47%
2-5
40%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
33.8
34.7
19
69%
5
1
2
1
4
4
1
4
3-4
75%
8-12
8-14
67%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
33.4
28.5
20
53%
5
5
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
7-15
4-9
47%
48%
2-4
50%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
29.2
23.3
4
50%
7
5
3
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
14.3
19.4
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
46%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.6
28.7
13.2
2
20%
2
2
1
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
18.5
23.1
0
0%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.5
14.6
20.3
4
58%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
14.6
13.6
7
88%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
5.7
9.3
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
2.5
13.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
2.5
14.1
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 25.8
42.1
39.5
22
65%
13
1
0
2
0
1
2
11
2-2
100%
10-13
7-15
77%
46%
0-3
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.3
42.0
32.4
25
50%
12
3
0
1
2
5
4
8
9-11
82%
8-20
7-15
40%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
41.2
41.0
11
31%
1
9
2
1
3
2
0
1
1-2
50%
5-15
6-13
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 28.0
33.2
15.6
4
69%
5
0
0
0
1
4
1
4
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.2
16.9
23.5
8
80%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.2
31.1
23.1
12
64%
3
4
0
1
0
5
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
42%
1-2
50%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
18.8
23.6
8
80%
3
0
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.3
9.0
21.4
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
5.8
5.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
10.8
0
1-3
44%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.5
4.8
0
1-1
44%
Keon Clark
C-F · 6'11" 221 · 28.9
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.