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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 22, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks21%83121
7Rockets79%93123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.4
50.4
33.7
27
59%
3
6
2
1
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
6-14
4-8
43%
45%
5-9
56%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
50.3
27.4
19
48%
6
1
3
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
7-15
3-8
47%
42%
1-4
25%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.9
50.0
33.5
24
53%
8
2
2
1
0
2
4
4
5-8
63%
5-10
4-9
50%
46%
3-9
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
35.8
27.8
10
56%
8
4
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
42%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.4
27.5
26.4
5
35%
8
1
1
0
0
1
4
4
3-5
60%
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.9
42.8
7.4
14
45%
5
7
0
0
0
1
1
4
3-6
50%
4-9
1-2
44%
41%
1-4
25%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
27.6
4.2
18
69%
4
1
0
0
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
9-13
1-1
69%
44%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.0
12.2
18.0
0
0%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.3
11.7
21.2
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-6
50%
41%
0-0
-
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.7
6.8
12.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.9
9.8
0
1-2
43%
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 34.1
4.2
0
0-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.5
60.2
39.3
28
62%
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
5-12
42%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.0
58.9
36.1
16
35%
8
9
3
1
0
2
2
6
5-6
83%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
1-10
10%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.4
54.3
37.9
17
57%
3
5
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
5-10
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.4
49.6
29.0
41
77%
16
7
0
0
2
5
4
12
11-13
85%
15-21
6-11
71%
53%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.5
20.6
20.2
4
34%
6
1
3
1
3
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.3
30.1
22.6
2
15%
6
3
0
0
0
4
2
4
2-4
50%
0-5
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.5
25.8
17.3
10
43%
4
0
3
1
1
0
3
1
4-6
67%
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.4
10.3
7.5
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 38.9
4.8
13.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 29.6
0.5
6.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.6
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.