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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 23, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hornets58%98100
23Cavaliers42%96104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.9
43.3
37.8
34
69%
5
5
3
2
0
8
2
3
6-8
75%
5-9
5-12
56%
46%
6-12
50%
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 31.2
39.9
34.9
23
45%
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
7-19
6-15
37%
43%
2-5
40%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.4
37.9
33.3
13
82%
13
2
0
1
2
1
3
10
1-2
50%
6-7
4-8
86%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
33.3
33.2
7
30%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
2-10
5-9
20%
49%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.6
25.6
13.0
10
87%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.7
27.7
33.7
5
36%
3
3
1
2
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
1-5
20%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
16.9
12.9
6
77%
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
7.8
10.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.1
7.4
13.5
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.9
0.4
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.9
2.9
0
0-0
43%
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 29.4
2.7
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.1
36.6
38.5
21
56%
4
6
2
1
5
1
0
4
6-6
100%
6-11
8-18
55%
44%
1-5
20%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.3
36.0
33.0
24
68%
9
1
0
1
0
1
5
4
10-15
67%
7-11
6-11
64%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.7
33.6
37.0
14
54%
6
3
1
1
3
0
2
4
0-0
-
7-13
7-15
54%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.3
30.3
37.9
14
64%
1
9
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
2-4
50%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
7.5
18.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.1
27.3
4.3
19
106%
5
2
3
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
5-5
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
18.6
17.1
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
17.8
11.5
7
44%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-4
33%
40%
1-2
50%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
16.6
26.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.2
15.8
8.5
3
31%
0
5
4
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.1
5.8
0
1-1
42%
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.9
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.