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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 23, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Trail Blazers43%9089
21Heat57%9281
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.6
41.6
33.9
20
66%
4
4
2
1
0
2
0
4
5-7
71%
6-10
3-6
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 30.5
37.9
32.5
18
64%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
6-7
86%
0-1
2-6
0%
42%
4-10
40%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
35.3
32.2
22
65%
12
2
2
1
1
1
3
9
0-0
-
11-17
6-13
65%
48%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.9
32.7
26.6
4
40%
7
0
0
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
20.2
26.7
6
38%
1
0
0
1
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 28.6
30.0
18.3
8
46%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-4
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
25.8
27.6
9
46%
2
1
3
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.4
6.4
6.5
2
25%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Omar Cook
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.1
5.2
12.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-0
-
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
5.0
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 34.9
9.0
0
1-1
50%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
3.1
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
41.5
33.1
12
36%
4
5
5
1
1
4
2
2
2-4
50%
5-14
6-12
36%
50%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
41.2
33.1
25
55%
8
4
0
1
1
4
5
3
3-4
75%
11-18
4-9
61%
48%
0-3
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
41.1
23.8
8
50%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
36.2
30.9
11
45%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
2-4
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.9
29.1
23.5
8
40%
7
0
1
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
42%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.6
24.3
22.9
6
38%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
13.4
20.9
9
75%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
13.3
20.2
2
25%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.0
12.3
0
1-3
45%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.7
8.6
0
1-3
44%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.7
7.4
0
1-2
45%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
5.9
0
1-2
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.