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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 24, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17SuperSonics40%9586
18Jazz60%9899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.9
36.8
23.7
22
71%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
14-15
93%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
36.0
29.3
5
23%
7
2
2
1
1
0
1
6
3-4
75%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-3
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
33.5
35.3
26
69%
3
0
0
1
0
4
1
2
12-13
92%
4-8
5-10
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.9
24.2
20.6
7
81%
7
1
0
0
1
3
2
5
3-3
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
11.4
15.3
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
36.2
29.5
12
51%
11
1
0
1
0
3
5
6
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
2-6
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
23.8
24.7
8
45%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-5
3-8
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.3
14.9
21.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
13.5
7.0
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.0
9.6
20.6
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.8
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.5
2.6
0
0-0
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
40.2
38.5
27
66%
10
3
1
2
4
4
8
2
9-10
90%
9-16
5-9
56%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.6
34.0
24.9
23
51%
9
5
1
1
1
0
1
8
4-4
100%
8-18
4-8
44%
48%
1-3
33%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.2
21.9
24.7
5
73%
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.1
17.0
24.7
1
13%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.3
9.9
20.5
2
25%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.0
29.4
22.7
6
51%
7
3
0
0
2
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
29.0
29.8
23
67%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-7
57%
8-9
4-9
89%
44%
1-5
20%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
16.7
17.8
4
52%
1
9
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.2
16.5
9.7
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
14.1
18.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
47%
0-4
0%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
11.3
1.7
4
52%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
10.3
0
2-3
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.