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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bucks51%101106
24Celtics49%100104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.4
42.6
32.7
21
69%
5
1
1
1
1
3
1
4
5-5
100%
8-12
5-11
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
38.6
33.3
26
57%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
10-11
91%
8-15
6-12
53%
47%
0-3
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
25.5
23.5
8
50%
1
4
3
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
2-4
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.8
21.1
25.8
8
46%
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
7
2-4
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
5.5
30.0
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
4-10
50%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
29.5
25.1
4
20%
8
5
0
1
1
4
2
6
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.4
28.0
17.3
18
91%
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
4-5
80%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.3
23.8
4.7
8
38%
0
6
1
0
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-7
0-1
29%
42%
1-3
33%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.7
14.2
3.2
5
91%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
11.3
17.1
6
75%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
5.2
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.5
42.9
7.1
14
51%
2
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
42%
2-7
29%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.1
39.2
26.6
7
35%
6
2
1
1
0
3
1
5
0-2
0%
2-6
2-6
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.3
34.1
4.7
17
49%
9
1
0
0
0
0
6
3
5-12
42%
6-12
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.2
33.2
27.9
20
70%
10
3
1
1
0
3
3
7
4-5
80%
8-12
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.4
29.4
37.8
21
75%
6
4
2
2
0
4
0
6
5-7
71%
5-8
6-13
63%
46%
2-3
67%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.4
27.4
34.6
9
38%
8
5
2
1
1
2
1
7
3-4
75%
3-8
5-11
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.6
14.8
27.0
11
76%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-5
60%
4-5
4-8
80%
46%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
13.9
25.0
5
36%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.3
5.1
30.0
0
0%
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
9.9
0
1-2
49%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
3.8
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.