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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Lakers49%102112
14Nuggets51%103111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
41.1
37.2
35
62%
7
10
3
2
0
3
2
5
5-5
100%
12-22
7-15
55%
46%
2-4
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
36.9
33.8
16
57%
8
4
2
0
4
4
3
5
6-9
67%
5-10
7-14
50%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
32.9
29.9
14
64%
2
8
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
7-8
5-10
88%
47%
0-3
0%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
21.5
25.3
6
43%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
45%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
14.4
17.5
10
63%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
15.7
9.2
2
100%
5
5
4
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.5
15.1
18.0
4
33%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-3
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
15.1
14.2
8
80%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-2
100%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
14.7
7.8
10
63%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
39%
2-4
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
14.4
6.6
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.6
14.3
19.4
3
61%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
3.9
21.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.7
39.7
35.4
35
64%
4
1
0
1
1
7
3
1
5-5
100%
12-22
7-16
55%
45%
2-3
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.5
36.0
33.2
10
65%
6
8
3
2
0
2
1
5
2-6
33%
4-5
4-8
80%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.9
33.9
31.8
21
58%
5
3
4
1
0
4
1
4
5-9
56%
8-13
5-10
62%
47%
0-1
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.8
30.4
31.9
8
45%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
26.3
34.6
10
68%
4
4
0
1
4
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-6
4-9
67%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.7
19.3
8.7
4
50%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.7
17.6
18.2
8
57%
1
4
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-6
57%
45%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.6
14.3
13.7
7
72%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
14.0
13.7
6
80%
7
0
0
0
0
1
0
7
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
8.3
9.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.3
2.8
0
0-0
47%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.9
2.2
0
0-1
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.