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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz39%9693
17SuperSonics61%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
43.6
38.6
24
66%
8
2
1
2
3
2
4
4
5-7
71%
8-11
5-10
73%
50%
1-4
25%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.6
33.0
28.4
16
48%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-6
50%
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
1-2
50%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
31.3
6.5
4
29%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
40%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.2
20.9
23.4
2
100%
4
2
0
0
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.3
13.1
16.2
6
33%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.0
37.4
25.4
5
40%
11
1
0
0
1
1
2
9
1-3
33%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
31.1
29.0
12
55%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
23.4
17.5
8
58%
1
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
19.0
16.8
12
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.2
12.1
12.8
4
40%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.1
21.5
1
2-4
39%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
10.3
0
2-3
51%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
47.6
34.1
40
69%
7
4
0
1
0
5
0
7
8-9
89%
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
6-11
55%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
37.5
31.8
15
40%
8
2
0
1
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
7-14
4-8
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.9
36.3
22.1
4
29%
8
3
1
0
2
3
3
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.9
33.7
28.7
11
69%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
3-5
60%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.8
20.7
3.9
2
43%
6
0
3
0
0
2
4
2
2-3
67%
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
35.3
31.8
10
61%
6
0
0
1
1
1
0
6
5-5
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
17.2
24.2
6
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.3
16.6
18.8
4
53%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.0
12.6
16.3
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
4.7
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.5
2.9
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-1
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
14.0
0
1-3
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.