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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 26, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Kings48%104103
4Lakers52%105101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.7
41.9
39.3
37
90%
9
1
0
1
0
3
2
7
6-6
100%
5-7
5-11
71%
51%
7-11
64%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.8
41.7
32.2
13
50%
7
2
2
2
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
41.3
38.1
31
65%
8
7
1
1
0
0
0
8
8-9
89%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
5-10
50%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.1
40.5
37.2
5
29%
5
10
2
1
0
2
0
5
1-4
25%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.0
29.8
34.3
4
40%
2
2
2
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.3
23.0
18.5
8
48%
3
0
1
1
1
3
0
3
2-3
67%
3-6
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
8.0
7.4
2
50%
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.6
7.5
8.3
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.0
6.2
10.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.9
11.2
0
2-3
50%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
9.7
0
2-5
45%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26.3
1.8
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
41.5
38.6
35
54%
11
6
1
2
0
4
3
8
9-10
90%
10-22
8-16
45%
46%
2-6
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
41.5
34.8
24
68%
10
3
0
0
2
2
4
6
6-13
46%
9-12
7-14
75%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
30.0
30.8
8
40%
5
6
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
5-10
40%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
16.9
11.3
9
51%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
4-8
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
13.7
23.3
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
28.4
13.4
7
44%
10
4
0
0
0
0
5
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
16.0
15.0
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.5
15.8
17.0
2
17%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
13.3
16.5
4
69%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
10.6
12.7
4
69%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.6
6.5
16.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
5.8
11.4
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.