FinalWin Prob.pScore
1443%90
77
1357%92
89
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
87.58891.8
NOH
101.18884.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0IND77
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHMISS Magloire 18' Jump Shot77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Fadeaway Jumper74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21INDJones 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37NOHMagloire 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Armstrong 8 AST)72
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53INDMISS Croshere Layup72
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18NOHMashburn 16' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)72
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 2:40NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)72
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 2:41INDMISS O'Neal 3PT Jump Shot72
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 3:03NOHBrown Dunk (15 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)72
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 3:13INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T8)72
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 3:17INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 3:19NOHMISS Mashburn 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 3:42INDCroshere Layup (7 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)72
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 4:06NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Armstrong 7 AST)70
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 4:29INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)70
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q4 - 4:47NOHBrown 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)67
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 5:08NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)67
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q4 - 5:10INDMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot67
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q4 - 5:17INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q4 - 5:18NOHMISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot67
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q4 - 5:35INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)67
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 5:35INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)66
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 5:44INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 5:46NOHMISS Augmon 37' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 6:10NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 6:12INDMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot65
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 6:23NOHTraylor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)65
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q4 - 6:28NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 6:30NOHMISS Lynch 20' Jump Shot65
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 6:40NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 6:41INDMISS Croshere Layup65
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 6:54NOHBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T13)65
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 7:15INDJones Dunk (8 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)65
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 7:19NOHLynch Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)63
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 7:35INDAnderson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)63
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 7:47NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 8:02INDDavis STEAL (1 STL)61
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 8:18NOHAugmon 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)61
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 8:31NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q4 - 8:33INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q4 - 8:56NOHArmstrong 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Augmon 2 AST)61
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q4 - 9:20INDJones 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q4 - 9:33INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q4 - 9:35NOHMISS Traylor 6' Jump Shot59
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q4 - 9:51INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q4 - 9:51INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q4 - 10:13NOHMashburn 11' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)57
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q4 - 10:32NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q4 - 10:35INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q4 - 10:56NOHArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q4 - 11:04NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q4 - 11:05INDMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot57
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q4 - 11:07INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q4 - 11:09INDMISS Bender 22' Jump Shot57
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q4 - 11:27NOHTraylor Foul Turnover (P1.T9)57
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q4 - 11:39INDPollard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)57
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q4 - 11:39INDPollard Tip Shot (4 PTS)57
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q4 - 11:42INDMISS Pollard Tip Shot55
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q4 - 11:43INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q4 - 11:44INDMISS Jones Layup55
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND55
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot55
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0NOHMagloire Tip Shot (14 PTS)53
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)53
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0NOHMISS Mashburn Tip Shot53
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0NOHMISS Augmon Layup53
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0INDMISS Bender 18' Jump Shot53
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 1:08NOHMashburn Layup (18 PTS)53
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 1:17NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 1:19INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot53
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 1:35NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 1:35NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 1:41NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 1:43INDMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot53
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 1:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 1:52NOHMISS Magloire Layup53
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q3 - 2:07INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 2:07INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
7.9%
64
92.1%
Q3 - 2:07INDPacers Rebound51
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 2:07INDMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot51
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 2:26INDPacers Rebound51
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 2:27NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Fadeaway Jumper51
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q3 - 2:39NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 2:41INDMISS Bender 8' Jump Shot51
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 2:54NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P2.T8)51
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 3:08INDO'Neal Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)51
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 3:20NOHArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 1 AST)49
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 3:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
7.5%
61
92.5%
Q3 - 3:27NOHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 3:36NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q3 - 3:37INDMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)49
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 3:54INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 3:55NOHMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot49
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 4:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 4:13INDMISS Bender 19' Fadeaway Jumper49
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 4:36NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST)49
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 4:41NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
12.6%
58
87.4%
Q3 - 4:43INDMISS Tinsley 13' Jump Shot49
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 5:05NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q3 - 5:05NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
16.1%
57
83.9%
Q3 - 5:05NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q3 - 5:06NOHMISS Davis Layup49
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q3 - 5:17INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)49
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q3 - 5:40NOHWest Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)49
20.4%
56
79.6%
Q3 - 5:58NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
23.0%
54
77.0%
Q3 - 5:59INDMISS O'Neal Layup49
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q3 - 6:03INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
26.8%
54
73.2%
Q3 - 6:05NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot49
25.8%
54
74.2%
Q3 - 6:18INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)49
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q3 - 6:18INDHarrington Driving Layup (8 PTS)48
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 6:27INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 6:29NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot46
17.7%
54
82.3%
Q3 - 6:51NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 6:53NOHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
17.7%
54
82.3%
Q3 - 7:01INDO'Neal Layup (9 PTS)46
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q3 - 7:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q3 - 7:04INDMISS Foster Layup44
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 7:08NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q3 - 7:18NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
12.5%
54
87.5%
Q3 - 7:20INDMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 7:37NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q3 - 7:37NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q3 - 7:56INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)44
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q3 - 8:09NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)42
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q3 - 8:10NOHHORNETS Rebound42
13.0%
52
87.0%
Q3 - 8:11NOHMISS Armstrong Layup42
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q3 - 8:36INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)42
13.0%
52
87.0%
Q3 - 8:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q3 - 8:45INDMISS Harrington Layup40
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q3 - 8:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q3 - 9:00NOHMISS Mashburn Layup40
11.1%
52
88.9%
Q3 - 9:23INDMiller 15' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q3 - 9:42NOHArmstrong 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
9.2%
52
90.8%
Q3 - 9:52INDFoster 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)38
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q3 - 10:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q3 - 10:08INDMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot38
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q3 - 10:16NOHMagloire 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)38
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q3 - 10:31INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)38
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q3 - 10:39INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
11.0%
48
89.0%
Q3 - 10:41NOHMISS Mashburn 20' Jump Shot35
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q3 - 10:55INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
9.6%
48
90.4%
Q3 - 10:55INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 234
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q3 - 11:04INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q3 - 11:06NOHMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot34
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q3 - 11:18NOHMISS Mashburn Free Throw Technical34
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q3 - 11:23NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q3 - 11:24INDMISS Foster Layup34
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q3 - 11:41NOHMashburn 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)34
10.1%
48
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND34
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0NOHDavis Dunk (12 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)34
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)33
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0NOHMashburn 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)32
13.4%
44
86.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)32
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 1:23INDPacers Rebound32
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 1:25NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 1:53INDTinsley Layup (9 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)32
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 2:12NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)30
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 2:22NOHHORNETS Rebound30
16.4%
40
83.6%
Q2 - 2:22INDMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot30
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 2:49NOHMagloire Driving Dunk (6 PTS)30
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 3:11INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)30
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 3:24NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 3:30NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 3:32INDMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot30
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 3:51NOHMashburn 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)30
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 4:02NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 4:04INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot30
26.0%
36
74.0%
Q2 - 4:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 4:11INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
26.0%
36
74.0%
Q2 - 4:21NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 4:21NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 4:38NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
30.0%
34
70.0%
Q2 - 4:40INDMISS Bender 16' Jump Shot30
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 4:56INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
32.4%
34
67.6%
Q2 - 4:57NOHMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 230
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 4:57NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 5:18INDBender Layup (6 PTS)30
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q2 - 5:32INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q2 - 5:34NOHMISS Magloire Layup28
29.4%
33
70.6%
Q2 - 5:35NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
27.7%
33
72.3%
Q2 - 5:37NOHMISS Brown Layup28
29.4%
33
70.6%
Q2 - 5:50INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
27.7%
33
72.3%
Q2 - 5:50INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
27.2%
33
72.8%
Q2 - 6:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 6:06NOHMISS Magloire Layup26
25.5%
33
74.5%
Q2 - 6:17NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
23.7%
33
76.3%
Q2 - 6:19NOHMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot26
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q2 - 6:42NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
23.7%
33
76.3%
Q2 - 6:44INDMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 6:51NOHAugmon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 7:09INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)26
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 7:24NOHBrown Layup (9 PTS)24
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 7:44INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 7:44INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 223
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q2 - 7:57INDPacers Rebound23
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q2 - 7:58NOHMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
24.0%
31
76.0%
Q2 - 8:12INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 8:12INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 222
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 8:13INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
23.0%
31
77.0%
Q2 - 8:15INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot22
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 8:33NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
23.0%
31
77.0%
Q2 - 8:52INDJones 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)22
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 9:12NOHMashburn 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)20
25.1%
28
74.9%
Q2 - 9:25NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q2 - 9:27INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot20
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q2 - 9:46NOHTraylor 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q2 - 9:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q2 - 9:59NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot20
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q2 - 10:19NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q2 - 10:20INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 2 of 220
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q2 - 10:20INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 1 of 220
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q2 - 10:23INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
33.5%
24
66.5%
Q2 - 10:25INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 220
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q2 - 10:25INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q2 - 10:47INDPacers Rebound19
31.3%
24
68.7%
Q2 - 10:48NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot19
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q2 - 11:09INDBender Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q2 - 11:12NOHArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q2 - 11:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q2 - 11:21INDMISS Pollard Layup17
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q2 - 11:40NOHMashburn 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)17
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH17
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 1 of 117
30.8%
22
69.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHTraylor Dunk (3 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)17
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0INDMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot17
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0INDPacers Rebound17
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0INDMISS Bender 15' Jump Shot17
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 1:09NOHMashburn 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)17
35.3%
20
64.7%
Q1 - 1:14NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 1:15INDMISS Pollard Tip Shot17
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 1:16INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 1:17INDMISS Johnson Layup17
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 1:27NOHTraylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 1:27NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 1 of 217
40.5%
17
59.5%
Q1 - 1:27NOHHORNETS Rebound17
40.2%
17
59.8%
Q1 - 1:27NOHMISS Mashburn 10' Jump Shot17
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 1:46INDPollard Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
40.2%
17
59.8%
Q1 - 1:55INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
37.4%
17
62.6%
Q1 - 1:58NOHMISS Davis Reverse Layup15
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 2:03NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.7%
17
64.3%
Q1 - 2:04INDMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot15
36.4%
17
63.6%
Q1 - 2:12INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 2:14NOHMISS Traylor 12' Jump Shot15
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 2:17NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
35.7%
17
64.3%
Q1 - 2:18NOHMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot15
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 2:25NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
35.7%
17
64.3%
Q1 - 2:27INDDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)15
36.4%
17
63.6%
Q1 - 2:46NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 2:46NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
38.1%
16
61.9%
Q1 - 2:46NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 2:47NOHMISS Davis Layup15
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 2:59NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 3:01INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot15
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 3:24NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 3:24NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 3:24NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
44.2%
13
55.8%
Q1 - 3:26NOHMISS Magloire Layup15
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 3:36NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
44.2%
13
55.8%
Q1 - 3:37INDMISS Pollard Layup15
45.0%
13
55.0%
Q1 - 3:57NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 3:57NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
47.1%
12
52.9%
Q1 - 4:14NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 4:16INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot15
49.1%
11
50.9%
Q1 - 4:36NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 4:36NOHBrown Layup (2 PTS)15
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 4:36NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 4:37NOHMISS Mashburn Layup15
56.7%
8
43.3%
Q1 - 4:57INDMiller Finger Roll (2 PTS)15
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 5:07INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 5:09NOHMISS Armstrong 11' Jump Shot13
51.5%
8
48.5%
Q1 - 5:25INDTinsley Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)13
50.0%
8
50.0%
Q1 - 5:35NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
48.1%
8
51.9%
Q1 - 6:02INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)11
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 6:10INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
43.5%
8
56.5%
Q1 - 6:12NOHMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot9
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 6:19NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 6:21INDMISS Harrington 8' Jump Shot9
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 6:43NOHDavis 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
43.5%
8
56.5%
Q1 - 6:51INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
45.4%
6
54.6%
Q1 - 6:57NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)9
47.5%
6
52.5%
Q1 - 6:57NOHHORNETS Rebound9
45.4%
6
54.6%
Q1 - 6:57NOHMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot9
46.9%
6
53.1%
Q1 - 7:21NOHHORNETS Rebound9
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 7:23INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 7:29INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 7:30NOHMISS Mashburn 21' Jump Shot9
46.4%
6
53.6%
Q1 - 7:57INDTinsley 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 8:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 8:07NOHMISS Magloire 13' Jump Shot7
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 8:20NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 8:22INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot7
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 8:38INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 8:39NOHMISS Mashburn 19' Jump Shot7
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 8:56INDTinsley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)7
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 9:15NOHMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)4
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 9:20INDMashburn STEAL (1 STL)4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 9:28INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 9:30NOHMISS Magloire 15' Jump Shot4
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:42NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 9:44NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot4
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:04NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 10:06INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot4
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 10:14INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 10:16NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot4
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 10:39INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:51NOHMashburn Layup (2 PTS)2
37.7%
4
62.3%
Q1 - 11:01NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 11:02INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot2
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 11:20NOHDavis Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 11:41INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)2
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. O'Neal: Tip to Foster0
41.1%
0
58.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.82 41.0%
NOH
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
25
48%
NOH
13
26
50%
Midrange
IND
12
39
31%
NOH
16
43
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
NOH
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
IND
17
23
74%
NOH
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal1544%7.5 / 17
J. Tinsley1478%7.0 / 9
F. Jones1056%5.0 / 9
A. Harrington941%4.5 / 11
J. Bender840%4.0 / 10
A. Croshere750%3.5 / 7
R. Miller425%2.0 / 8
S. Pollard429%2.0 / 7
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
K. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
J. Foster117%0.5 / 3
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn2237%11.0 / 30
B. Davis1853%9.0 / 17
P. Brown1777%8.5 / 11
J. Magloire1653%8.0 / 15
D. Armstrong750%3.5 / 7
R. Traylor542%2.5 / 6
S. Augmon233%1.0 / 3
D. West2100%1.0 / 1
G. Lynch0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
81
+13
-7
94
NOH
76
+18
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.82 41.0%
NOH
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.1
99.8
IND 87.5 +13.6
NOH 101.1
Pace
89.9
91.4
IND 91.8 +6.9
NOH 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.5
IND 15.7 +1.3
NOH 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
46.0%
IND 38.5%
NOH 44.3% +5.8%
TO %
15.0%
15.3%
IND 8.3% +5.3%
NOH 13.6%
ORB %
28.5%
30.6%
IND 21.3%
NOH 36.6% +15.3%
FTrt
31.9
29.3
IND 29.5 +0.4
NOH 29.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
61.9%
IND 67.9% +13.4%
NOH 54.5%
STL %
9.8%
9.4%
IND 9.1% +6.8%
NOH 2.3%
BLK %
8.0%
6.7%
IND 5.8% +2.7%
NOH 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
48.1%
IND 41.0%
NOH 47.3% +6.3%
Rim FG%
55.2%
54.9%
IND 48.0%
NOH 50.0% +2.0%
Mid FG%
38.5%
37.9%
IND 30.8%
NOH 37.2% +6.4%
3P %
35.1%
31.9%
IND 28.6%
NOH 40.0% +11.4%
FT %
76.4%
75.1%
IND 73.9%
NOH 82.6% +8.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
32.8%
IND 32.1%
NOH 32.9% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
42.0%
IND 50.0% +4.4%
NOH 54.4%
3P Att. %
20.3%
25.2%
IND 17.9% +5.3%
NOH 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDNOH
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes23.024.9
Points7789
Rebounds3652
Assists1918
Steals82
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)37 (2)
Field Goals28-7833-79
At-the-Rim FG12-2513-26
Midrange FG12-3916-43
2-Point FG24-6429-69
3-Point FG4-144-10
Free Throws17-2319-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 255 · 25
34.6
15
44%
8
3
1
2
1
1
1
7
5-6
83%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 24
31.4
9
41%
4
1
0
0
2
3
1
3
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 39
26.4
4
25%
4
3
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
21.9
14
78%
4
3
2
0
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
15.4
1
17%
2
0
1
0
1
5
2
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 225 · 25
21.6
10
56%
2
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
21.5
7
50%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 230 · 23
20.4
8
40%
1
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29
17.1
4
29%
7
0
0
0
0
2
4
3
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
16.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 168 · 33
9.8
2
33%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23
3.7
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
41%
36
19
8
4
7
0
10
26
17-23
74%
24-64
38%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.