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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks43%9894
21Clippers57%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
44.9
39.1
28
60%
4
9
3
1
0
4
1
3
9-10
90%
8-13
7-14
62%
47%
1-6
17%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.0
39.1
22.2
22
55%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
9-9
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
47%
1-4
25%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
25.0
15.9
6
104%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
23.1
32.4
12
61%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.4
16.2
34.3
4
29%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
6-12
29%
48%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.6
29.3
28.8
10
51%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
23.2
18.3
5
36%
12
2
1
1
1
0
5
7
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.3
16.6
10.8
2
33%
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.7
13.4
14.5
5
87%
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 23.8
9.2
8.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
6.8
0
1-1
40%
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.0
4.5
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 23.9
40.3
33.0
23
53%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
4-6
67%
5-11
4-10
45%
43%
3-8
38%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
39.3
33.2
19
45%
12
3
1
1
2
2
4
8
3-3
100%
8-20
6-12
40%
51%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 25.2
37.5
21.5
13
65%
2
7
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
3-6
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
34.1
33.9
16
57%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
8-9
89%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
0-3
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
11.6
13.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
32.0
23.5
9
45%
8
0
2
0
0
3
3
5
5-7
71%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
21.6
23.7
12
61%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
10.5
22.9
2
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.3
7.4
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 25.8
5.7
10.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.8
15.1
1
2-4
40%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.0
8.5
0
1-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.