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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 28, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers69%103122
27Wizards31%97110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
38.5
38.8
25
64%
14
10
2
2
0
2
3
11
7-8
88%
6-12
8-17
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
34.3
36.5
29
76%
2
2
1
1
4
3
0
2
3-5
60%
13-17
8-14
76%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
34.2
29.8
10
50%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
5-10
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
23.9
15.3
14
58%
5
3
2
0
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
7-12
3-6
58%
47%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
21.1
19.4
6
34%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-5
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
18.6
15.3
14
78%
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
2-4
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.6
14.7
16.5
9
77%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
2-4
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
12.9
11.7
9
92%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-2
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.7
12.8
12.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
12.0
13.4
4
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
11.6
19.1
2
35%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
5.5
9.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.0
44.7
34.6
18
62%
10
3
0
1
0
2
6
4
4-8
50%
7-11
5-10
64%
47%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
44.0
36.3
35
69%
9
4
1
2
1
4
1
8
3-5
60%
4-12
4-10
33%
44%
8-11
73%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.3
37.3
25.0
20
52%
5
5
2
1
1
2
2
3
5-5
100%
6-15
3-8
40%
42%
1-2
50%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.4
24.4
26.0
4
29%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.3
21.5
22.0
4
41%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.6
25.4
19.4
10
33%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-15
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
15.5
20.7
7
62%
8
1
0
1
0
3
6
2
5-6
83%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.9
14.4
19.4
6
75%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.3
6.9
15.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.0
6.0
12.4
6
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
2-2
100%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.5
4.4
0
1-1
49%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.