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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 28, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hornets35%9392
8Grizzlies65%9897
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.9
43.6
38.4
24
45%
6
10
4
2
0
6
2
4
0-1
0%
9-17
5-11
53%
44%
2-9
22%
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 31.2
37.8
37.9
21
42%
9
4
2
1
0
3
2
7
2-2
100%
8-20
7-17
40%
41%
1-4
25%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.4
32.6
33.4
12
68%
10
1
0
1
2
0
6
4
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
30.7
34.1
14
50%
10
0
0
1
1
0
2
8
2-2
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
47%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.6
27.2
19.3
8
50%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.7
27.1
32.7
4
24%
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-4
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
20.1
16.7
0
0%
10
1
0
0
0
0
6
4
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.9
13.0
3.1
8
133%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
2-2
100%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
7.8
7.8
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.1
10.1
0
1-3
46%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.9
2.1
0
0-0
39%
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 29.4
1.9
0
0-0
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
37.0
30.5
14
55%
8
1
2
1
1
4
2
6
6-6
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
46%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
31.8
29.7
18
51%
9
2
1
0
3
2
0
9
4-6
67%
7-15
6-12
47%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.3
31.8
27.3
15
66%
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
2-4
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.1
31.0
33.2
24
65%
5
1
2
2
0
3
1
4
5-8
63%
8-11
3-7
73%
50%
1-4
25%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.3
27.8
27.4
8
44%
7
3
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.5
33.7
26.0
8
68%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.7
16.2
16.6
6
52%
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
16.2
15.0
2
50%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.3
14.5
17.1
2
25%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Troy Bell
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.3
5.2
0
1-1
41%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.7
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.