FinalWin Prob.pScore
1533%90
92
767%95
117
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
94.897109.2
SAS logo SAS
128.69181.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 7' Jump Shot90
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS White Free Throw 1 of 190
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENWhite 3' Layup (8 PTS)90
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASWillis 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)88
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENBowen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (White 2 AST)88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASHart Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)86
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASHart Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:09DENWhite 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:22SASWillis 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)84
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:26SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:28DENMISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:36DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38DENMISS White 21' Jump Shot84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43DENMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00SASRose 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ward 2 AST)84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12DENDoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12DENDoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27SASWillis 1' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)82
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39DENMISS Tskitishvili Free Throw 2 of 282
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39DENTskitishvili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58SASMISS Brown 2' Alley Oop Layup81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DENMISS White 1' Reverse Layup81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13SASRose 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Ward 1 AST)81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19DENWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03SASWard 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29SASTurkoglu 3' Running Dunk (12 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52DENWhite 2' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54DENMISS Nene 2' Layup78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13SASMISS Ward 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32DENTskitishvili 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18DENMISS Tskitishvili 14' Jump Shot76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31SASTurkoglu 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)76
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 6:39DENWhite 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 6:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50DENMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)74
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 7:02SASNesterovic 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)74
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 7:04SASMISS Rose 3' Driving Layup74
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:26DENMISS White 8' Turnaround Jump Shot74
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:41SASTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)74
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:56SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 7:57DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 274
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 7:57DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 8:11DENBoykins Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)73
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 8:11DENNuggets Rebound72
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 8:12SASMISS Turkoglu 9' Jump Shot72
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:17SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 8:19SASMISS Willis 15' Jump Shot72
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:33DENBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)72
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 8:42SASWillis 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)72
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 8:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 8:48DENMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot72
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 9:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 272
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 9:09SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 9:16SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 9:18DENMISS Nene 4' Jump Shot72
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 9:36DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 9:38SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 9:53DENAndersen 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)72
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 10:15SASWillis 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)70
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 10:33DENWillis STEAL (1 STL)70
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 10:50SASWillis 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 11:06SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 11:07DENMISS Boykins 5' Jump Shot70
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 11:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q4 - 11:16SASMISS Parker 20' Fadeaway Jumper70
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 11:29SASHorry REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)70
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 11:31SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot70
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 11:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 11:46DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN70
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 3 of 370
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)70
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 370
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENMiller Layup (10 PTS)70
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)68
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)68
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot68
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)68
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)68
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASWillis 1' Layup (4 PTS)68
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENMISS Doleac 3' Layup68
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q3 - 1:10SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q3 - 1:10SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q3 - 1:24SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q3 - 1:25DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 268
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q3 - 1:25DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
10.1%
76
89.9%
Q3 - 1:25DENLenard Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)67
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q3 - 1:42SASHorry 1' Dunk (6 PTS)66
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 1:44SASHorry REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q3 - 1:45SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot66
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 2:11DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 4 AST)66
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 2:32SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)64
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 2:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 2:42DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot64
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q3 - 2:50DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 2:52SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot64
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 3:19DENLenard 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q3 - 3:47SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
9.7%
71
90.3%
Q3 - 3:47SASNesterovic 2' Tip Shot (18 PTS)62
9.7%
71
90.3%
Q3 - 3:49SASMISS Horry 21' Jump Shot62
12.6%
69
87.4%
Q3 - 4:05DENLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)62
11.4%
69
88.6%
Q3 - 4:30SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)62
13.6%
69
86.4%
Q3 - 4:54DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)62
17.9%
66
82.1%
Q3 - 4:54DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)61
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q3 - 5:15SASNesterovic 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)60
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 5:38DENNene 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)60
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 5:44DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
16.1%
64
83.9%
Q3 - 5:46SASMISS Bowen 4' Layup58
15.4%
64
84.6%
Q3 - 5:58SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
13.8%
64
86.2%
Q3 - 6:01DENRose BLOCK (1 BLK)58
14.8%
64
85.2%
Q3 - 6:24SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)58
16.4%
64
83.6%
Q3 - 6:39DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)58
21.0%
61
79.0%
Q3 - 6:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
24.0%
61
76.0%
Q3 - 6:43SASMISS Ginobili 3' Running Jump Shot58
23.1%
61
76.9%
Q3 - 6:58DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)58
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 257
20.6%
61
79.4%
Q3 - 7:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 7:04SASMISS Parker 2' Running Layup57
20.5%
61
79.5%
Q3 - 7:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
18.5%
61
81.5%
Q3 - 7:10DENMISS Lenard 13' Fadeaway Jumper57
19.4%
61
80.6%
Q3 - 7:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 7:27SASMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot57
20.5%
61
79.5%
Q3 - 7:42DENAnthony 2' Driving Dunk (24 PTS)57
18.5%
61
81.5%
Q3 - 7:58SASRose 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
16.6%
61
83.4%
Q3 - 8:14DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T7)55
18.8%
59
81.2%
Q3 - 8:29SASRose 3' Layup (8 PTS)55
21.5%
59
78.5%
Q3 - 8:47DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)55
23.8%
57
76.2%
Q3 - 9:10SASParker 3' Running Layup (19 PTS)53
21.2%
57
78.8%
Q3 - 9:17DENLenard 2' Layup (6 PTS)53
23.7%
55
76.3%
Q3 - 9:36SASParker 3' Layup (17 PTS)51
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q3 - 9:41SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q3 - 9:43SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot51
25.7%
53
74.3%
Q3 - 9:57DENMiller 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)51
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q3 - 10:08DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q3 - 10:10SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q3 - 10:17SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q3 - 10:19DENMISS Lenard 3' Layup49
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q3 - 10:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q3 - 10:34SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q3 - 10:34SASMISS Rose Tip Shot49
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q3 - 10:35SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup49
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q3 - 10:54DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q3 - 10:54DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q3 - 10:58DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
16.9%
53
83.1%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot47
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q3 - 11:15SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q3 - 11:17DENMISS Lenard 16' Jump Shot47
15.5%
53
84.5%
Q3 - 11:39DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
16.9%
53
83.1%
Q3 - 11:41SASMISS Rose 4' Jump Shot47
16.3%
53
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN47
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound47
16.9%
53
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Barry 41' 3PT Jump Shot47
15.5%
53
84.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASNesterovic 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)47
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENParker STEAL (1 STL)47
19.6%
51
80.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)47
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENBrown STEAL (1 STL)47
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASMISS Horry 4' Jump Shot47
20.6%
51
79.4%
Q2 - 1:00DENAnthony 1' Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)47
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q2 - 1:32SASGinobili 1' Finger Roll (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)45
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q2 - 1:34SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)45
20.0%
49
80.0%
Q2 - 1:37DENHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)45
20.4%
49
79.6%
Q2 - 1:48SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)45
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q2 - 1:51SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
20.0%
49
80.0%
Q2 - 1:53DENMISS Boykins 10' Jump Shot45
20.4%
49
79.6%
Q2 - 2:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
21.7%
49
78.3%
Q2 - 2:14SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 245
21.5%
49
78.5%
Q2 - 2:14SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)45
20.1%
49
79.9%
Q2 - 2:23SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)45
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 2:26DENMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot45
22.5%
48
77.5%
Q2 - 2:38SASHorry 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)45
23.9%
48
76.1%
Q2 - 2:59DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q2 - 3:11SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 3:11SASNesterovic 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)42
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 3:14SASMISS Horry 7' Jump Shot42
25.6%
44
74.4%
Q2 - 3:20SASSPURS Rebound42
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q2 - 3:20SASMISS Horry Layup42
25.6%
44
74.4%
Q2 - 3:36DENBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 3:36DENBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
23.6%
44
76.4%
Q2 - 4:00SASParker 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)40
22.0%
44
78.0%
Q2 - 4:23DENBoykins 1' Layup (11 PTS)40
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 4:27SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)38
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 4:39SASSPURS Rebound38
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 4:39DENNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)38
20.5%
42
79.5%
Q2 - 4:56SASJump Ball Horry vs. Barry: Tip to Anthony38
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 4:56SASHorry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)38
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 4:56SASMISS Horry 3' Layup38
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 4:57SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot38
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 5:19DENAnthony 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)38
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 5:33SASWard Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)36
18.3%
42
81.7%
Q2 - 5:41SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
19.9%
40
80.1%
Q2 - 5:43DENMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.5%
40
79.5%
Q2 - 5:58SASHorry 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)36
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 6:07SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)36
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 6:09SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot36
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 6:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 6:29SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 6:43DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 6:43DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
21.8%
38
78.2%
Q2 - 7:03DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
20.5%
38
79.5%
Q2 - 7:03SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 233
20.3%
38
79.7%
Q2 - 7:03SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 7:19DENBoykins 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 7:36SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T1)31
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 7:59DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)31
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 8:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q2 - 8:15SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 229
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 8:15SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 8:23SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 8:25DENMISS White 9' Jump Shot29
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 8:42DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q2 - 8:45SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot29
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 9:00DENNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)29
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 9:05DENDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q2 - 9:07SASMISS Ward 14' Jump Shot29
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 9:16SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 9:18SASMISS Bowen 8' Jump Shot29
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 9:21SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 9:22SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup29
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 9:36DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 9:36DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 9:53SASNesterovic 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)27
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 10:12DENBoykins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
16.1%
34
83.9%
Q2 - 10:30DENDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.9%
34
85.1%
Q2 - 10:34SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot25
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 10:54DENDoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (White 1 AST)25
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 11:04SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)23
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 11:20SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q2 - 11:22DENMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot23
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 11:48SASGinobili 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)23
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
16.1%
30
83.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0SASParker 1' Finger Roll (12 PTS)23
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)23
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)22
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASGinobili 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q1 - 1:05DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)20
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 1:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q1 - 1:12SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q1 - 1:25DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 1:25DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 216
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 1:40DENNuggets Rebound16
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 1:40SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot16
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q1 - 2:03DENDoleac Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)16
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q1 - 2:20SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 2:20SASWillis 2' Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)16
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 2:23SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot16
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 2:41DENLenard 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)16
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 2:57SASParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 3:10DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
15.3%
22
84.7%
Q1 - 3:29SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)12
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 3:36SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 3:39DENMISS Doleac 2' Layup12
17.0%
19
83.0%
Q1 - 3:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 3:47SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 3:50SASSPURS Rebound12
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 3:51SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot12
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 4:09DENMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T2)12
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 4:09DENLenard Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)12
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 4:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 4:20SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot11
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 4:34DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 4:34DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 4:52SASNesterovic 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)9
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 5:11DENMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 5:25SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 5:25SASParker 3' Layup (4 PTS)9
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 5:41DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 19
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 5:41DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 5:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 5:50SASMISS Turkoglu 2' Running Finger Roll7
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 6:06SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
17.0%
14
83.0%
Q1 - 6:07DENMISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot7
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 6:25SASParker 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 6:36SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
19.4%
12
80.6%
Q1 - 6:38DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot7
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 6:43DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 6:45DENMISS Lenard 3' Layup7
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 7:01SASTurkoglu 1' Layup (2 PTS)7
20.9%
12
79.1%
Q1 - 7:07SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 7:09DENMISS Nene 3' Layup7
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 7:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 7:35SASNesterovic 1' Layup (4 PTS)7
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 7:36SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Running Jump Shot7
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 7:48SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 7:50DENNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)7
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 7:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 8:00SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Shot7
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 8:17DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot7
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 8:27DENLenard Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 8:41SASRose 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)6
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 8:59DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 16
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 8:59DENMiller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)6
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 9:03DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 9:06SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 9:23DENAnthony 3' Layup (2 PTS)4
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 9:49SASRose Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 9:58DENNene 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)2
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 10:28SASBowen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
22.0%
4
78.0%
Q1 - 10:42SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 10:45DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot0
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 11:08SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:19SASSPURS Rebound0
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 11:20DENMISS Camby 6' Jump Shot0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:31SASMISS Parker 2' Layup0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 11:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 11:39DENMISS Camby 1' Layup0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Camby: Tip to Lenard0
27.3%
0
72.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
31
58%
SAS
32
46
70%
Midrange
DEN
13
33
39%
SAS
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
SAS
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
DEN
24
33
73%
SAS
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2665%13.0 / 20
E. Boykins1563%7.5 / 12
A. Miller1063%5.0 / 8
R. White1050%5.0 / 10
V. Lenard956%4.5 / 8
Nene739%3.5 / 9
M. Doleac440%2.0 / 5
N. Tskitishvili330%1.5 / 5
M. Camby233%1.0 / 3
J. Barry225%1.0 / 4
C. Andersen233%1.0 / 3
R. Bowen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2969%14.5 / 21
R. Nesterovic2056%10.0 / 18
M. Rose1761%8.5 / 14
K. Willis1794%8.5 / 9
H. Turkoglu1246%6.0 / 13
M. Ginobili840%4.0 / 10
R. Horry633%3.0 / 9
C. Ward450%2.0 / 4
B. Bowen225%1.0 / 4
J. Hart2100%1.0 / 1
D. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+8
-14
91
SAS
86
+19
-5
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
100.0
DEN 94.8 +33.7
SAS 128.6
Pace
95.7
91.3
DEN 109.2 +27.4
SAS 81.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
DEN 13.2 +4.4
SAS 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
47.3%
DEN 47.9%
SAS 53.2% +5.3%
TO %
15.3%
15.4%
DEN 14.1%
SAS 4.6% +9.5%
ORB %
30.5%
29.5%
DEN 17.1%
SAS 36.2% +19.1%
FTrt
31.9
32.2
DEN 46.5 +23.3
SAS 23.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
59.0%
DEN 36.4%
SAS 52.1% +15.7%
STL %
9.5%
8.8%
DEN 3.1%
SAS 6.6% +3.5%
BLK %
9.3%
9.9%
DEN 5.0%
SAS 7.8% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
48.6%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 54.7% +4.7%
Rim FG%
57.8%
57.6%
DEN 58.1%
SAS 69.6% +11.5%
Mid FG%
37.0%
37.0%
DEN 39.4% +7.0%
SAS 32.4%
3P %
33.6%
35.8%
DEN 28.6%
SAS 33.3% +4.7%
FT %
76.7%
68.1%
DEN 72.7%
SAS 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
35.9%
DEN 43.7%
SAS 48.4% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
48.0%
46.4%
DEN 46.5%
SAS 35.8% +10.7%
3P Att. %
14.6%
17.7%
DEN 9.9%
SAS 15.8% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9791
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points92117
Rebounds3751
Assists1225
Steals36
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals33-7148-95
At-the-Rim FG18-3132-46
Midrange FG13-3311-34
2-Point FG31-6443-80
3-Point FG2-75-15
Free Throws24-3316-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 21
35.8
7
39%
8
1
1
0
2
3
1
7
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 20
34.6
26
65%
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
4
5-6
83%
9-15
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 215 · 31
22.6
9
56%
2
4
0
1
2
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
22.3
10
63%
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
2
4-7
57%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
20.7
2
33%
5
1
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 28
25.7
15
63%
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 35
19.4
2
25%
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 27
18.1
4
40%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
16.6
10
50%
2
2
0
0
0
3
2
0
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26
14.1
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 225 · 21
6.5
3
30%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 218 · 28
3.7
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
37
12
3
4
14
0
7
30
24-33
73%
31-64
48%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.