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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 1, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Cavaliers51%9981
29Bulls49%9892
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.4
42.9
35.1
13
44%
9
6
2
1
0
2
5
4
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.2
40.8
38.9
18
46%
3
3
4
2
1
3
0
3
4-6
67%
7-15
8-17
47%
44%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.3
36.2
34.5
12
55%
13
3
1
1
0
2
7
6
0-0
-
6-11
6-12
55%
52%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.7
29.3
36.7
19
61%
10
0
0
1
3
1
2
8
7-8
88%
6-12
7-15
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
21.1
26.8
6
34%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
17.6
17.4
4
29%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
17.4
10.8
3
26%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.1
13.8
9.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.1
11.3
3.7
4
40%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
41%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.2
5.1
10.8
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
4.5
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 23.0
3.0
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
41.1
34.7
11
31%
8
7
1
1
0
6
2
6
0-0
-
1-7
5-10
14%
46%
3-11
27%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.2
37.4
38.3
22
56%
8
7
0
1
0
2
3
5
5-8
63%
4-10
3-7
40%
42%
3-6
50%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
34.9
32.8
18
64%
5
1
2
1
2
0
3
2
6-7
86%
6-11
4-8
55%
42%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 21.2
31.8
36.0
18
57%
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
4-4
100%
7-14
8-15
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.8
28.9
11.1
5
69%
10
2
0
1
0
2
6
4
5-6
83%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.1
26.2
12.5
11
35%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
5-15
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.4
25.0
13.0
2
26%
10
1
0
0
4
0
5
5
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
13.2
1.6
5
63%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.7
1.0
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.9
0.6
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.8
34.2
1
5-12
43%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 25.6
8.0
0
2-3
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.