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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 1, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons49%8986
18Jazz51%9094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
41.9
34.9
9
52%
16
2
4
1
5
2
4
12
5-6
83%
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 29.5
40.1
30.7
27
54%
6
0
1
1
4
2
1
5
8-9
89%
8-15
5-10
53%
46%
1-6
17%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.4
35.5
35.6
17
57%
3
3
0
1
1
3
0
3
8-9
89%
3-6
3-8
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.0
31.7
32.5
7
40%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
2-4
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.0
18.5
35.6
10
64%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
6-13
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.2
26.4
8.1
4
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
38%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.2
16.3
22.6
2
26%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.7
15.6
18.3
5
43%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.6
14.0
4.9
5
32%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
2-7
1-2
29%
42%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
6.1
0
0-1
46%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.7
5.1
0
1-2
44%
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.9
2.7
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.6
34.3
27.3
13
55%
4
8
2
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
32.1
39.8
11
56%
8
1
4
2
6
6
3
5
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.2
28.4
19.8
10
63%
8
4
0
0
1
0
2
6
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-0
-
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
18.6
15.2
2
50%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.3
17.1
17.2
15
77%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
6-8
2-4
75%
42%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.0
35.5
26.6
10
59%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
8-8
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
32.5
15.9
24
71%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
6-13
2-4
46%
44%
4-4
100%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
21.7
25.9
9
38%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
3-8
29%
43%
1-4
25%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
13.7
18.8
0
0%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.2
4.1
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
39%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.1
1.9
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
10.0
0
2-3
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.