| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TOR | 107.2 | 83 | 77.4 |
 MIA | 97.7 | 88 | 94.9 |
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
71
+6
-12
77
MIA
77
+16
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.16 57.8%
MIA
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | TOR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 89 100% | 86 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:09.0 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 89 90.8% | 86 9.2% |
| Q4 - 0:09.0 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 88 89.2% | 86 10.8% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | TOR | Palacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 87 78.9% | 86 21.1% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | TOR | MISS Glover 19' Jump Shot | 87 61.8% | 86 38.2% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Jones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11) | 87 72.6% | 86 27.4% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | TOR | Jones STEAL (3 STL) | 87 49.1% | 86 50.9% |
| Q4 - 0:48.0 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 87 67.6% | 86 32.4% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 | 87 65.1% | 86 34.9% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 87 54.5% | 86 45.5% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 87 65.6% | 85 34.4% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 76.0% | 85 24.0% |
| Q4 - 1:06 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 87 61.9% | 85 38.1% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | TOR | MISS Curry 16' Jump Shot | 87 66.2% | 85 33.8% |
| Q4 - 1:25 | MIA | Haslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10) | 87 72.6% | 85 27.4% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 87 57.5% | 85 42.5% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | TOR | MISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 61.7% | 85 38.3% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 87 69.2% | 85 30.8% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | MIA | Haslem Layup (4 PTS) | 87 78.5% | 84 21.5% |
| Q4 - 1:55 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 87 85.2% | 82 14.8% |
| Q4 - 1:56 | MIA | MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 89.3% | 82 10.7% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 87 85.4% | 82 14.6% |
| Q4 - 2:02 | TOR | MISS Carter Driving Finger Roll | 87 85.8% | 82 14.2% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 87 90.5% | 82 9.5% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | MIA | MISS Odom Driving Layup | 87 88.6% | 82 11.4% |
| Q4 - 2:44 | TOR | Marshall 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Palacio 5 AST) | 87 82.4% | 82 17.6% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 85 75.8% | 82 24.2% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | MIA | MISS Haslem Tip Shot | 85 72.4% | 82 27.6% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 85 63.2% | 82 36.8% |
| Q4 - 3:10 | MIA | MISS Odom 7' Hook Shot | 85 72.4% | 82 27.6% |
| Q4 - 3:26 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10) | 85 63.0% | 82 37.0% |
| Q4 - 3:28 | TOR | MISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot | 85 67.4% | 82 32.6% |
| Q4 - 3:51 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 85 70.1% | 82 29.9% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 67.6% | 82 32.4% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 85 61.5% | 82 38.5% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIA | MISS Alston Driving Layup | 85 67.8% | 82 32.2% |
| Q4 - 4:10 | TOR | Carter Traveling Turnover (P3.T12) | 85 61.6% | 82 38.4% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | TOR | Palacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 85 70.7% | 82 29.3% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 85 68.1% | 82 31.9% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 85 61.8% | 82 38.2% |
| Q4 - 4:32 | MIA | MISS Alston 15' Jump Shot | 85 68.1% | 82 31.9% |
| Q4 - 4:51 | TOR | Carter 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 85 61.9% | 82 38.1% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | MIA | Grant Traveling Turnover (P2.T9) | 83 50.2% | 82 49.8% |
| Q4 - 5:12 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 83 41.6% | 82 58.4% |
| Q4 - 5:14 | TOR | MISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 44.2% | 82 55.8% |
| Q4 - 5:35 | MIA | Odom 5' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 83 50.4% | 82 49.6% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | TOR | Carter 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 83 58.4% | 80 41.6% |
| Q4 - 6:13 | MIA | Jones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8) | 81 48.6% | 80 51.4% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 81 40.1% | 80 59.9% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | TOR | MISS Glover 22' Jump Shot | 81 42.7% | 80 57.3% |
| Q4 - 6:53 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 81 48.7% | 80 51.3% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | MIA | MISS Butler Driving Layup | 81 46.1% | 80 53.9% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | TOR | Glover 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 81 39.6% | 80 60.4% |
| Q4 - 7:27 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 79 34.0% | 80 66.0% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | MIA | MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot | 79 31.9% | 80 68.1% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | TOR | Moiso Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 79 27.3% | 80 72.7% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | TOR | MISS Moiso Free Throw 1 of 2 | 78 25.8% | 80 74.2% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 78 28.1% | 80 71.9% |
| Q4 - 7:55 | MIA | MISS Allen 12' Jump Shot | 78 26.2% | 80 73.8% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 78 23.3% | 80 76.7% |
| Q4 - 8:14 | TOR | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 78 24.8% | 80 75.2% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 78 28.3% | 80 71.7% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | MIA | MISS Grant 17' Jump Shot | 78 26.7% | 80 73.3% |
| Q4 - 9:03 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 78 23.7% | 80 76.3% |
| Q4 - 9:07 | TOR | MISS Glover 19' Turnaround Jump Shot | 78 25.1% | 80 74.9% |
| Q4 - 9:20 | TOR | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 78 28.5% | 80 71.5% |
| Q4 - 9:22 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 78 27.0% | 80 73.0% |
| Q4 - 9:31 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 78 23.7% | 80 76.3% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | TOR | MISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 25.1% | 80 74.9% |
| Q4 - 9:54 | TOR | Glover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 78 28.5% | 80 71.5% |
| Q4 - 9:56 | MIA | MISS Butler 21' Jump Shot | 78 27.0% | 80 73.0% |
| Q4 - 10:11 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 78 24.0% | 80 76.0% |
| Q4 - 10:13 | TOR | Grant BLOCK (1 BLK) | 78 25.4% | 80 74.6% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 78 28.8% | 80 71.2% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | MIA | MISS Alston Driving Layup | 78 27.3% | 80 72.7% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 78 24.0% | 80 76.0% |
| Q4 - 10:46 | TOR | MISS Marshall Reverse Layup | 78 25.4% | 80 74.6% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | MIA | Alston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 78 28.8% | 80 71.2% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | TOR | Mason Jr. Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11) | 78 24.6% | 80 75.4% |
| Q4 - 11:30 | MIA | Alston Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 78 29.0% | 80 71.0% |
| Q4 - 11:30 | MIA | Alston Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 78 30.1% | 79 69.9% |
| Q4 - 11:32 | TOR | Alston STEAL (3 STL) | 78 33.5% | 78 66.5% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | MIA | Grant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 78 38.7% | 78 61.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 78 33.5% | 78 66.5% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 78 33.5% | 78 66.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Butler 69' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 37.1% | 78 62.9% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | TOR | Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 8 AST) | 78 33.5% | 78 66.5% |
| Q3 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Grant Dunk (12 PTS) (Odom 3 AST) | 75 25.0% | 78 75.0% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 75 29.1% | 76 70.9% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | TOR | MISS Carter 18' Jump Shot | 75 30.4% | 76 69.6% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Butler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 75 33.5% | 76 66.5% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | TOR | Mason Jr. Driving Layup (7 PTS) | 75 29.1% | 76 70.9% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | TOR | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 73 25.3% | 76 74.7% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | MISS Grant Tip Shot | 73 24.2% | 76 75.8% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 73 21.7% | 76 78.3% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 73 24.2% | 76 75.8% |
| Q3 - 1:46 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 73 21.7% | 76 78.3% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | TOR | MISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot | 73 22.7% | 76 77.3% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS) | 73 25.3% | 76 74.7% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | MIA | Odom Driving Finger Roll (20 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 73 29.0% | 75 71.0% |
| Q3 - 2:26 | TOR | Moiso Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 7 AST) | 73 32.6% | 73 67.4% |
| Q3 - 2:41 | MIA | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 71 29.0% | 73 71.0% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 71 25.0% | 73 75.0% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | MIA | MISS Haslem Driving Layup | 71 27.8% | 73 72.2% |
| Q3 - 2:57 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 71 25.0% | 73 75.0% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | TOR | MISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 26.2% | 73 73.8% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | MIA | Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 6 AST) | 71 29.2% | 73 70.8% |
| Q3 - 3:55 | TOR | Marshall 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Carter 6 AST) | 71 36.9% | 70 63.1% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 68 29.1% | 70 70.9% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 29.9% | 69 70.1% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | TOR | Glover Driving Dunk (11 PTS) | 68 28.6% | 69 71.4% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | TOR | Glover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 66 25.7% | 69 74.3% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | MIA | MISS Odom 10' Running Hook Shot | 66 24.6% | 69 75.4% |
| Q3 - 5:00 | TOR | Raptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 66 22.1% | 69 77.9% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | MIA | Grant 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST) | 66 25.8% | 69 74.2% |
| Q3 - 5:36 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 66 28.8% | 67 71.2% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | TOR | MISS Carter 19' Jump Shot | 66 30.0% | 67 70.0% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | MIA | Haslem 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST) | 66 32.7% | 67 67.3% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | TOR | Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 66 35.8% | 65 64.2% |
| Q3 - 6:35 | MIA | Butler 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 5 AST) | 63 29.0% | 65 71.0% |
| Q3 - 6:54 | TOR | Carter Driving Layup (21 PTS) | 63 32.2% | 63 67.8% |
| Q3 - 7:11 | MIA | Alston 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 61 29.0% | 63 71.0% |
| Q3 - 7:32 | TOR | Carter Tip Shot (19 PTS) | 61 31.8% | 61 68.2% |
| Q3 - 7:34 | TOR | Carter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 59 29.0% | 61 71.0% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | TOR | MISS Glover 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 26.5% | 61 73.5% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MIA | Odom Layup (17 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 59 29.0% | 61 71.0% |
| Q3 - 8:27 | TOR | Marshall 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 5 AST) | 59 31.8% | 59 68.2% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 56 26.0% | 59 74.0% |
| Q3 - 8:43 | MIA | MISS Odom 18' Jump Shot | 56 25.0% | 59 75.0% |
| Q3 - 9:05 | TOR | Marshall 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 4 AST) | 56 22.9% | 59 77.1% |
| Q3 - 9:29 | MIA | Alston 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 54 20.5% | 59 79.5% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | TOR | Alston STEAL (2 STL) | 54 22.9% | 57 77.1% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 54 25.7% | 57 74.3% |
| Q3 - 9:47 | TOR | MISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot | 54 23.7% | 57 76.3% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 54 25.7% | 57 74.3% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | MIA | MISS Butler Layup | 54 24.8% | 57 75.2% |
| Q3 - 10:08 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 54 22.8% | 57 77.2% |
| Q3 - 10:10 | TOR | MISS Carter 16' Jump Shot | 54 23.6% | 57 76.4% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 54 25.7% | 57 74.3% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 54 26.3% | 56 73.7% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 54 25.4% | 56 74.6% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | MIA | MISS Odom Reverse Layup | 54 27.5% | 56 72.5% |
| Q3 - 10:49 | TOR | Glover 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Palacio 4 AST) | 54 25.4% | 56 74.6% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | TOR | Marshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 52 23.0% | 56 77.0% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | TOR | MISS Palacio 19' Jump Shot | 52 21.2% | 56 78.8% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | MIA | Odom Finger Roll (14 PTS) | 52 23.0% | 56 77.0% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 52 25.4% | 54 74.6% |
| Q3 - 11:38 | TOR | MISS Carter 18' Jump Shot | 52 26.2% | 54 73.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 52 28.3% | 54 71.7% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Alston STEAL (1 STL) | 52 25.4% | 54 74.6% |
| Q2 - 0:17.0 | MIA | Jones Driving Dunk (18 PTS) | 52 27.9% | 54 72.1% |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | TOR | Jones STEAL (2 STL) | 52 31.5% | 52 68.5% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Alston Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 52 33.6% | 52 66.4% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | TOR | Butler STEAL (2 STL) | 52 37.5% | 50 62.5% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 52 39.8% | 50 60.2% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 40.5% | 49 59.5% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 52 40.7% | 49 59.3% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | MIA | MISS Odom Driving Layup | 52 42.3% | 49 57.7% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | TOR | Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 3 AST) | 52 40.7% | 49 59.3% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | TOR | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 49 33.3% | 49 66.7% |
| Q2 - 1:39 | MIA | MISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 32.9% | 49 67.1% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | TOR | Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 2 AST) | 49 31.8% | 49 68.2% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 46 25.9% | 49 74.1% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 46 26.4% | 48 73.6% |
| Q2 - 2:35 | TOR | Carter 18' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) | 46 28.6% | 47 71.4% |
| Q2 - 2:51 | MIA | Alston Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 44 25.9% | 47 74.1% |
| Q2 - 3:01 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 44 28.2% | 45 71.8% |
| Q2 - 3:01 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 43 27.8% | 45 72.2% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | TOR | Curry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 26.2% | 45 73.8% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | MIA | MISS Butler 19' Jump Shot | 42 25.4% | 45 74.6% |
| Q2 - 3:39 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 42 23.7% | 45 76.3% |
| Q2 - 3:40 | TOR | MISS Marshall 20' Jump Shot | 42 24.4% | 45 75.6% |
| Q2 - 3:58 | MIA | Jones 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Odom 2 AST) | 42 26.2% | 45 73.8% |
| Q2 - 4:15 | TOR | Carter 20' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) | 42 28.2% | 43 71.8% |
| Q2 - 4:33 | MIA | Alston Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 40 26.0% | 43 74.0% |
| Q2 - 4:50 | TOR | Carter Tip Shot (11 PTS) | 40 28.2% | 41 71.8% |
| Q2 - 4:52 | TOR | Carter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 38 26.0% | 41 74.0% |
| Q2 - 4:54 | TOR | MISS Bosh 6' Running Hook Shot | 38 24.4% | 41 75.6% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | MIA | Butler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 38 26.0% | 41 74.0% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | TOR | Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Curry 3 AST) | 38 23.7% | 41 76.3% |
| Q2 - 5:50 | MIA | Butler 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 1 AST) | 35 20.0% | 41 80.0% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 35 21.8% | 39 78.2% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | TOR | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 34 21.5% | 39 78.5% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 33 20.4% | 39 79.6% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | MIA | MISS Odom Layup | 33 19.7% | 39 80.3% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | TOR | Carter 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 33 18.3% | 39 81.7% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 31 17.0% | 39 83.0% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | MIA | Odom 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 31 18.6% | 38 81.4% |
| Q2 - 7:17 | TOR | Mason Jr. Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 31 20.5% | 36 79.5% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | MIA | Jones 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 29 18.9% | 36 81.1% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | TOR | Marshall 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Curry 2 AST) | 29 20.5% | 34 79.5% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | TOR | Curry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 17.5% | 34 82.5% |
| Q2 - 8:07 | MIA | MISS Butler Layup | 26 17.0% | 34 83.0% |
| Q2 - 8:26 | TOR | Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Curry 1 AST) | 26 15.9% | 34 84.1% |
| Q2 - 8:58 | MIA | Butler 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 23 13.5% | 34 86.5% |
| Q2 - 9:19 | TOR | Moiso 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 23 14.8% | 32 85.2% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | TOR | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 21 13.7% | 32 86.3% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 21 13.3% | 32 86.7% |
| Q2 - 9:52 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 12.4% | 32 87.6% |
| Q2 - 9:53 | TOR | MISS Carter 22' Jump Shot | 21 12.8% | 32 87.2% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | MIA | Allen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 21 13.9% | 32 86.1% |
| Q2 - 10:33 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 21 12.6% | 32 87.4% |
| Q2 - 10:33 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 20 12.3% | 32 87.7% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | TOR | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 20 12.7% | 32 87.3% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | MIA | MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot | 20 12.4% | 32 87.6% |
| Q2 - 11:04 | TOR | Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST) | 20 11.7% | 32 88.3% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | MIA | Allen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 4 AST) | 17 9.9% | 32 90.1% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | TOR | Moiso Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 17 10.8% | 30 89.2% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | TOR | Moiso REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 9.9% | 30 90.1% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | TOR | MISS Carter 8' Jump Shot | 15 9.3% | 30 90.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 15 9.9% | 30 90.1% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 15 9.0% | 30 91.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Alston 42' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 9.6% | 30 90.4% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 15 9.3% | 30 90.7% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | TOR | MISS Palacio 20' Jump Shot | 15 9.5% | 30 90.5% |
| Q1 - 0:23.0 | TOR | Moiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 10.0% | 30 90.0% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 | 15 9.9% | 30 90.1% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 15 9.3% | 30 90.7% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 15 10.2% | 29 89.8% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | TOR | MISS Palacio 13' Jump Shot | 15 10.4% | 29 89.6% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Odom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 15 10.8% | 29 89.2% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 15 10.1% | 29 89.9% |
| Q1 - 0:55.0 | TOR | MISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 10.3% | 29 89.7% |
| Q1 - 1:04 | TOR | Palacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 10.9% | 29 89.1% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS Grant 21' Jump Shot | 15 10.7% | 29 89.3% |
| Q1 - 1:18 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 10.2% | 29 89.8% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | TOR | MISS Marshall 11' Hook Shot | 15 10.4% | 29 89.6% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 15 10.9% | 29 89.1% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | MIA | Odom Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 15 11.9% | 28 88.1% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 15 13.1% | 26 86.9% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | TOR | MISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot | 15 13.4% | 26 86.6% |
| Q1 - 2:08 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 | 15 14.1% | 26 85.9% |
| Q1 - 2:08 | MIA | Jones 5' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 15 14.3% | 26 85.7% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 15 15.5% | 24 84.5% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | TOR | MISS Carter 13' Jump Shot | 15 15.9% | 24 84.1% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | MIA | Grant 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 15 16.7% | 24 83.3% |
| Q1 - 3:02 | TOR | Glover 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Palacio 3 AST) | 15 18.2% | 22 81.8% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | TOR | Glover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 15.9% | 22 84.1% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | MISS Butler Driving Layup | 12 15.4% | 22 84.6% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 12 14.5% | 22 85.5% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | MISS Butler 21' Jump Shot | 12 15.4% | 22 84.6% |
| Q1 - 3:22 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 12 14.5% | 22 85.5% |
| Q1 - 3:24 | TOR | MISS Carter 16' Jump Shot | 12 14.9% | 22 85.1% |
| Q1 - 3:39 | MIA | Jones 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 12 15.8% | 22 84.2% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | TOR | Glover Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 12 16.9% | 20 83.1% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | TOR | Glover Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 11 16.7% | 20 83.3% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | MIA | Butler Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 10 16.0% | 20 84.0% |
| Q1 - 4:38 | TOR | Glover 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST) | 10 16.9% | 18 83.1% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 8 16.2% | 18 83.8% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 8 16.4% | 17 83.6% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | TOR | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST) | 8 17.2% | 16 82.8% |
| Q1 - 5:50 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST) | 6 16.2% | 16 83.8% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | TOR | Grant STEAL (1 STL) | 6 18.5% | 13 81.5% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | MIA | Odom Dunk (2 PTS) | 6 20.1% | 13 79.9% |
| Q1 - 6:14 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 6 21.3% | 11 78.7% |
| Q1 - 6:15 | MIA | MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 22.3% | 11 77.7% |
| Q1 - 6:24 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 21.3% | 11 78.7% |
| Q1 - 6:26 | TOR | MISS Carter 20' Jump Shot | 6 21.8% | 11 78.2% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | MIA | Jones 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 2 AST) | 6 22.8% | 11 77.2% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | TOR | Odom STEAL (1 STL) | 6 24.2% | 9 75.8% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | TOR | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 25.8% | 9 74.2% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIA | MISS Butler 3' Jump Shot | 6 25.4% | 9 74.6% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | TOR | Bosh 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST) | 6 24.3% | 9 75.7% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 23.0% | 9 77.0% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | MIA | MISS Odom Driving Layup | 4 22.6% | 9 77.4% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | TOR | Carter 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 4 21.6% | 9 78.4% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 2 20.5% | 9 79.5% |
| Q1 - 8:24 | MIA | MISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot | 2 20.0% | 9 80.0% |
| Q1 - 8:30 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 19.1% | 9 80.9% |
| Q1 - 8:31 | TOR | MISS Marshall 15' Jump Shot | 2 19.5% | 9 80.5% |
| Q1 - 8:45 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 20.5% | 9 79.5% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | MIA | MISS Butler 22' Jump Shot | 2 20.0% | 9 80.0% |
| Q1 - 9:00 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 19.1% | 9 80.9% |
| Q1 - 9:01 | TOR | Jones BLOCK (1 BLK) | 2 19.3% | 9 80.7% |
| Q1 - 9:16 | MIA | Grant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 2 20.4% | 9 79.6% |
| Q1 - 9:33 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 21.3% | 7 78.7% |
| Q1 - 9:35 | MIA | MISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 22.5% | 7 77.5% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 21.3% | 7 78.7% |
| Q1 - 9:45 | TOR | MISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 21.8% | 7 78.2% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | MIA | Grant Layup (4 PTS) | 2 22.9% | 7 77.1% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | TOR | Jones STEAL (1 STL) | 2 24.0% | 5 76.0% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST) | 2 25.6% | 5 74.4% |
| Q1 - 10:55 | TOR | Butler STEAL (1 STL) | 2 28.3% | 2 71.7% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 29.9% | 2 70.1% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIA | MISS Odom Driving Layup | 2 29.4% | 2 70.6% |
| Q1 - 11:19 | TOR | Marshall 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 28.5% | 2 71.5% |
| Q1 - 11:37 | MIA | Grant 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 0 26.9% | 2 73.1% |
| Q1 - 11:38 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 28.5% | 0 71.5% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | MIA | MISS Butler 7' Running Jump Shot | 0 29.4% | 0 70.6% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Grant vs. Bosh: Tip to Alston | 0 28.5% | 0 71.5% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.16 57.8%
MIA
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
9
12
75%
MIA
19
35
54%
Midrange
TOR
14
38
37%
MIA
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
11
16.5
20
55%
83%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
TOR
10
12
83%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Carter | 27 | 50% | 13.5 / 27 | |
| D. Marshall | 24 | 75% | 12.0 / 16 | |
| D. Glover | 13 | 59% | 6.5 / 11 | |
| R. Mason Jr. | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| J. Moiso | 7 | 88% | 3.5 / 4 | |
| C. Bosh | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| M. Peterson | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| M. Palacio | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 | |
| M. Curry | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Odom | 23 | 44% | 11.5 / 26 | |
| E. Jones | 18 | 64% | 9.0 / 14 | |
| R. Alston | 15 | 58% | 7.5 / 13 | |
| B. Grant | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| C. Butler | 10 | 29% | 5.0 / 17 | |
| U. Haslem | 6 | 30% | 3.0 / 10 | |
| M. Allen | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
71
+6
-12
77
MIA
77
+16
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.16 57.8%
MIA
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 94.5 99.3 | TOR 107.2 MIA 97.7 +9.5 |
| Pace | 89.2 90.6 | TOR 77.4 MIA 94.9 +17.4 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.7 16.0 | TOR 18.6 MIA 15.2 +3.4 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 45.4% 46.3% | TOR 56.4% +10.9% MIA 45.5% |
| TO % | 14.7% 14.4% | TOR 14.7% MIA 11.2% +3.5% |
| ORB % | 23.9% 27.5% | TOR 18.2% MIA 27.0% +8.8% |
| FTrt | 26.0 29.8 | TOR 17.1 MIA 26.9 +9.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 59.3% 57.3% | TOR 52.9% +2.9% MIA 50.0% |
| STL % | 8.1% 7.9% | TOR 8.4% MIA 11.4% +3.0% |
| BLK % | 7.3% 6.3% | TOR 6.1% +2.1% MIA 4.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 47.0% 48.3% | TOR 57.8% +12.5% MIA 45.3% |
| Rim FG% | 56.0% 53.9% | TOR 75.0% +20.7% MIA 54.3% |
| Mid FG% | 36.6% 36.9% | TOR 36.8% MIA 38.7% +1.9% |
| 3P % | 35.6% 35.7% | TOR 55.0% +30.0% MIA 25.0% |
| FT % | 75.0% 76.2% | TOR 83.3% +11.9% MIA 71.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 28.0% 34.4% | TOR 17.1% MIA 44.9% +27.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 51.6% 44.5% | TOR 54.3% MIA 39.7% +14.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 20.4% 21.1% | TOR 28.6% +13.2% MIA 15.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | TOR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 83 | 88 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.7 | 22.3 |
| Points | 89 | 86 |
| Rebounds | 33 | 37 |
| Assists | 18 | 17 |
| Steals | 7 | 10 |
| Blocks | 4 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (1) | 11 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 6 (0) | 10 (6) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (4) | 27 (3) |
| Field Goals | 34-70 | 34-78 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 9-12 | 19-35 |
| Midrange FG | 14-38 | 12-31 |
| 2-Point FG | 23-50 | 31-66 |
| 3-Point FG | 11-20 | 3-12 |
| Free Throws | 10-12 | 15-21 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.