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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 2, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers65%10193
25Hawks35%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
39.6
29.8
23
52%
10
10
0
1
0
3
1
9
1-3
33%
11-19
4-9
58%
48%
0-2
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
37.0
33.1
23
53%
14
2
0
1
2
4
7
7
1-4
25%
11-20
7-13
55%
56%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
35.0
16.2
14
55%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
3-6
50%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
18.6
18.9
4
67%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
18.1
18.3
8
60%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
6-6
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
29.9
11.0
7
88%
4
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.6
23.5
16.9
7
47%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
22.8
18.4
3
15%
8
0
0
1
0
0
2
6
1-4
25%
1-7
2-4
14%
44%
0-1
0%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.7
11.0
15.9
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
4.5
8.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
35.8
2
7-14
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
14.0
0
2-4
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
39.4
37.8
23
48%
3
5
1
2
0
3
2
1
6-7
86%
7-16
4-9
44%
46%
1-5
20%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
38.2
35.2
13
41%
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
3-10
5-11
30%
47%
2-5
40%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.4
35.5
28.2
4
50%
14
0
0
1
2
0
2
12
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.9
27.7
38.4
17
56%
2
3
1
2
0
1
2
0
5-5
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
47%
2-6
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
21.1
22.7
6
50%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.9
29.9
3.6
15
70%
8
2
0
0
1
1
0
8
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
3-7
43%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.9
27.3
28.6
15
51%
9
4
0
1
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
6-11
3-7
55%
43%
0-2
0%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.7
7.9
12.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.1
7.2
13.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Hiram Fuller
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.8
5.8
7.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
5.9
0
1-2
47%
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.9
3.1
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.