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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 2, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16SuperSonics25%10396
2Mavericks75%112107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
40.1
38.9
25
53%
2
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
9-10
90%
5-11
5-11
45%
46%
2-8
25%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
39.4
35.9
14
41%
11
4
2
1
1
2
0
11
4-7
57%
5-9
5-10
56%
46%
0-5
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.0
25.6
30.4
9
65%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.9
22.0
23.7
6
75%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.8
17.6
11.9
6
61%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
33.8
15.7
19
45%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-15
2-5
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
25.5
27.1
6
38%
8
1
2
1
0
0
7
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.3
17.6
18.6
9
58%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.0
8.6
15.4
2
33%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.5
5.9
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
3.9
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
7.8
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.0
45.3
36.6
35
63%
4
5
1
1
1
2
1
3
6-6
100%
10-17
5-11
59%
47%
3-8
38%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
44.0
7.7
14
44%
9
9
0
0
1
4
2
7
2-2
100%
6-14
1-3
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.7
42.4
35.9
19
44%
12
3
0
1
2
1
3
9
5-6
83%
7-16
6-12
44%
51%
0-3
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
34.3
33.6
6
35%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-6
33%
2-4
5-10
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
11.6
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
30.6
26.0
21
87%
8
0
0
1
0
3
3
5
5-7
71%
8-9
5-9
89%
52%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 35.9
16.4
15.8
7
60%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.9
10.5
9.1
5
56%
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.9
4.9
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.1
31.9
1
4-7
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
18.6
1
3-5
49%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.1
4.6
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.