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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Raptors43%9070
30Wizards57%9384
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.9
35.9
32.6
6
34%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.8
34.2
36.7
22
56%
10
0
1
1
1
1
5
5
2-4
50%
4-12
5-11
33%
48%
4-6
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
33.6
38.4
16
43%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
6-14
8-18
43%
45%
1-4
25%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.1
30.1
29.1
0
0%
3
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-6
3-7
0%
41%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.4
27.4
23.2
6
28%
2
1
4
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
41%
0-2
0%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.7
22.3
16.7
6
60%
5
0
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
15.7
23.4
2
33%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
14.6
19.5
4
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.5
9.5
22.3
2
25%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-4
25%
39%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.4
9.4
7.9
4
29%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.9
3.6
5.8
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-0
-
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.9
3.6
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.6
41.3
29.6
15
51%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
44%
1-2
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
37.3
40.9
27
58%
4
3
0
2
0
4
0
4
7-7
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.0
25.3
37.1
10
66%
10
2
0
1
0
6
3
7
4-8
50%
3-4
5-9
75%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.3
17.3
19.8
3
31%
8
0
0
0
1
0
3
5
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.4
15.4
22.3
4
25%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
32.6
22.5
5
43%
9
1
0
1
1
0
1
8
3-4
75%
1-4
2-6
25%
43%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.9
28.9
18.3
15
78%
12
0
0
0
4
2
4
8
5-6
83%
5-7
3-5
71%
47%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.5
22.7
3.7
5
46%
9
3
0
0
1
1
0
9
1-1
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.0
10.7
15.8
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
6.7
2.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.1
1.9
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.3
19.4
1
3-6
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.