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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bucks63%106105
29Magic37%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
41.7
35.3
24
63%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
5-5
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
38.0
31.8
25
66%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
8-16
4-9
50%
48%
3-3
100%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
36.4
26.3
9
56%
7
17
0
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.4
35.8
36.6
22
72%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
8-12
67%
7-10
6-12
70%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.8
23.2
22.3
7
52%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
24.8
20.6
12
68%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-2
0%
6-8
3-6
75%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
14.7
5.9
2
25%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.5
13.8
22.5
2
14%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.3
11.6
17.5
2
20%
5
1
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
11.5
0
2-4
47%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.7
3.9
0
0-1
50%
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 32.5
3.1
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.8
41.0
26.3
11
50%
2
10
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.8
38.0
36.4
31
53%
8
4
1
1
0
2
2
6
4-5
80%
6-12
7-16
50%
47%
5-15
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.9
37.5
30.7
11
50%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-10
44%
44%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.1
30.6
22.2
14
50%
6
1
0
0
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
45%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.3
25.4
24.1
8
68%
5
2
0
0
3
0
4
1
0-2
0%
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.4
20.3
22.1
12
40%
7
1
0
1
3
1
3
4
1-2
50%
4-12
4-8
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
20.1
27.4
3
30%
3
0
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.1
15.5
22.5
4
69%
7
0
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Desmond Penigar
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.6
7.5
8.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.5
4.3
20.1
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
41%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.1
8.2
0
1-2
45%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
3.9
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.