Final Win Prob. pScore
1622%91
84
678%100
88
ORTG#PossPace
SuperSonics
92.39191.8
SAS logo Spurs
100.08887.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursSuperSonicsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursSuperSonicsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSEASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SEAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)84
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SEARadmanovic P.FOUL (P1.PN)81
86
Q4 - 0:10.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0SEAMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 281
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0SEALewis P.FOUL (P3.PN)81
85
Q4 - 0:30.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0SEAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot81
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)81
85
Q4 - 0:36.0SEASuperSonics Rebound81
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0SEAMISS Murray 13' Jump Shot81
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASParker 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)81
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 1:07SEAMurray 12' Jump Shot (24 PTS)81
12.6%
83
87.4%
Q4 - 1:20SASNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T18)79
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 1:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q4 - 1:39SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot79
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 1:53SEAMurray 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q4 - 2:07SASHorry 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)77
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 2:23SEAMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 2:23SEAMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q4 - 2:23SASParker S.FOUL (P3.PN)75
81
Q4 - 2:38SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 2:38SASSPURS Rebound75
80
Q4 - 2:38SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 275
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q4 - 2:38SEAAllen P.FOUL (P4.PN)75
80
Q4 - 2:48SEASUB: James FOR Potapenko75
80
Q4 - 2:48SEAPotapenko L.B.FOUL (P6.T4)75
80
Q4 - 2:48SASSPURS Rebound75
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 2:49SEAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 2:57SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)75
80
Q4 - 3:05SASParker 2' Layup (13 PTS)75
8.3%
80
91.7%
Q4 - 3:10SEAParker STEAL (6 STL)75
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 3:33SASTurkoglu 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)75
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q4 - 3:49SEAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)75
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q4 - 3:49SASBowen S.FOUL (P3.T4)74
76
Q4 - 3:49SEAAllen 1' Dunk (17 PTS)74
18.5%
76
81.5%
Q4 - 3:52SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)72
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q4 - 4:17SEAMurray 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)72
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q4 - 4:19SEAPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q4 - 4:22SASMISS Turkoglu 6' Jump Shot70
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 4:40SEAMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q4 - 4:40SASSUB: Horry FOR Rose69
76
Q4 - 4:40SEAMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)69
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q4 - 4:40SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T3)68
76
Q4 - 4:59SASParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 5:18SEAParker STEAL (5 STL)68
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q4 - 5:24SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q4 - 5:26SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 5:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q4 - 5:47SEAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
9.0%
73
91.0%
Q4 - 6:00SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T16)68
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q4 - 6:21SEAMurray 1' Dunk (14 PTS)68
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q4 - 6:26SASSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ginobili66
73
Q4 - 6:26SASNesterovic L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)66
73
Q4 - 6:31SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)66
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q4 - 6:52SEAAllen 1' Layup (15 PTS)66
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q4 - 7:03SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Layup64
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q4 - 7:07SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)64
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q4 - 7:09SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot64
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q4 - 7:28SEALewis 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murray 7 AST)64
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q4 - 7:35SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T1)62
73
Q4 - 7:44SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)62
73
Q4 - 7:48SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q4 - 7:48SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q4 - 7:48SEAPotapenko S.FOUL (P5.T3)62
71
Q4 - 8:09SEAAllen Foul Turnover (P5.T18)62
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q4 - 8:09SEAAllen OFF.Foul (P3)62
71
Q4 - 8:23SEAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q4 - 8:25SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Hook Shot62
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q4 - 8:36SEASUB: Lewis FOR Sesay62
71
Q4 - 8:36SEASesay P.FOUL (P1.T2)62
71
Q4 - 8:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q4 - 8:50SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot62
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q4 - 9:10SEANesterovic STEAL (1 STL)62
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q4 - 9:32SASParker Layup (8 PTS)62
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q4 - 9:36SEAParker STEAL (4 STL)62
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q4 - 9:47SASNesterovic 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)62
9.1%
69
90.9%
Q4 - 10:06SASSUB: Parker FOR Hart62
67
Q4 - 10:06SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Willis62
67
Q4 - 10:06SASSUB: Bowen FOR Brown62
67
Q4 - 10:06SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)62
67
Q4 - 10:11SEARadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Murray 6 AST)62
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q4 - 10:17SEASesay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q4 - 10:19SASMISS Hart 2' Layup59
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q4 - 10:33SEAPotapenko P.FOUL (P4.T1)59
67
Q4 - 10:52SEAMurray 2' Finger Roll (12 PTS)59
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q4 - 11:08SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)57
67
Q4 - 11:08SASJump Ball Ginobili vs. Allen: Tip to Radmanovic57
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q4 - 11:29SEARadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murray 5 AST)57
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q4 - 11:42SEAPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q4 - 11:44SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Rose 1' Tip Shot54
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Willis 15' Jump Shot54
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q4 - 12:0054
67
Q3 - 0:00.0SEA54
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0SEAMurray 11' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)54
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0SEAPotapenko 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)52
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0SEASUB: Potapenko FOR James50
63
Q3 - 0:46.0SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0SEAJames L.B.FOUL (P5.PN)50
62
Q3 - 0:46.0SASSPURS Rebound50
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0SEAMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 250
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0SEAMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASWillis S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
62
Q3 - 1:06SASHart 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)49
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 1:11SEATurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)49
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 1:18SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)49
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 1:37SEARadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 1:37SASSUB: Brown FOR Horry48
60
Q3 - 1:37SEARadmanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q3 - 1:37SASHorry S.FOUL (P4.PN)47
60
Q3 - 1:43SASSUB: Willis FOR Nesterovic47
60
Q3 - 1:43SASHorry L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)47
60
Q3 - 1:44SEASuperSonics Rebound47
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 1:45SEAMISS Ridnour 16' Jump Shot47
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 1:55SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 1:55SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
3.7%
59
96.3%
Q3 - 1:55SEAJames L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)47
58
Q3 - 1:55SASSPURS Rebound47
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q3 - 1:55SEAMISS Lewis 6' Jump Shot47
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 2:10SEALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 247
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q3 - 2:12SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker47
58
Q3 - 2:12SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 2:12SEAJames S.FOUL (P3.PN)47
57
Q3 - 2:19SEAMurray P.FOUL (P3.T4)47
57
Q3 - 2:30SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)47
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 2:32SEAMISS James 1' Layup47
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q3 - 2:49SASParker 3' Layup (6 PTS)47
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q3 - 2:58SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q3 - 3:00SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot47
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q3 - 3:20SEASUB: Murray FOR Allen47
55
Q3 - 3:20SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen47
55
Q3 - 3:20SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)47
55
Q3 - 3:24SEALewis 1' Dunk (8 PTS)47
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q3 - 3:27SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)45
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 3:47SEAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)45
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q3 - 3:47SEASUB: James FOR Potapenko44
55
Q3 - 3:47SEASUB: Radmanovic FOR Evans44
55
Q3 - 3:47SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T3)44
55
Q3 - 3:47SEAAllen 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q3 - 4:07SASHorry 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q3 - 4:22SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)42
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q3 - 4:25SEANesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)42
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q3 - 4:45SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q3 - 4:47SASMISS Horry 1' Reverse Layup42
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q3 - 4:52SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q3 - 4:54SEAMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot42
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q3 - 5:11SASHorry Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)42
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q3 - 5:19SASSPURS Rebound42
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q3 - 5:21SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot42
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q3 - 5:28SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q3 - 5:30SEAMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot42
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q3 - 5:33SEAPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q3 - 5:34SEAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot42
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q3 - 5:52SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q3 - 5:52SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q3 - 5:52SEAPotapenko S.FOUL (P3.T3)42
49
Q3 - 6:10SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)42
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q3 - 6:12SEAMISS Potapenko 13' Jump Shot42
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q3 - 6:31SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)42
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q3 - 6:50SEARidnour 2' Layup (6 PTS)42
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q3 - 6:59SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)40
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q3 - 7:16SEAPotapenko Foul Turnover (P3.T14)40
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q3 - 7:16SEAPotapenko OFF.Foul (P2)40
46
Q3 - 7:24SASNesterovic L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)40
46
Q3 - 7:24SEASuperSonics Rebound40
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q3 - 7:24SEAMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot40
12.1%
46
87.9%
Q3 - 7:32SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)40
46
Q3 - 7:45SASHorry 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)40
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q3 - 7:56SEAParker STEAL (3 STL)40
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q3 - 8:18SASSUB: Horry FOR Rose40
44
Q3 - 8:18SASRose L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)40
44
Q3 - 8:18SEASuperSonics Rebound40
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q3 - 8:19SASMISS Rose 4' Jump Shot40
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q3 - 8:34SEAPotapenko L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)40
44
Q3 - 8:34SASSPURS Rebound40
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q3 - 8:35SEAMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot40
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q3 - 8:49SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q3 - 8:49SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q3 - 8:49SEAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T1)40
42
Q3 - 9:08SEALewis 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)40
19.3%
42
80.7%
Q3 - 9:25SASNesterovic 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)38
17.1%
42
82.9%
Q3 - 9:40SEAAllen Foul Turnover (P4.T12)38
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q3 - 9:40SEAAllen OFF.Foul (P1)38
40
Q3 - 10:06SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)38
21.4%
40
78.6%
Q3 - 10:20SEAEvans 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)38
26.6%
37
73.4%
Q3 - 10:36SEALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q3 - 10:38SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot38
28.6%
37
71.4%
Q3 - 10:51SEAAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)38
26.6%
37
73.4%
Q3 - 11:05SEAPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
29.0%
37
71.0%
Q3 - 11:07SASMISS Bowen 4' Jump Shot38
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q3 - 11:34SEALewis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)38
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q3 - 12:0036
37
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS36
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound36
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hart 28' 3PT Jump Shot36
22.9%
37
77.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0SEAMurray P.FOUL (P2.T3)36
37
Q2 - 0:06.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)36
37
Q2 - 0:06.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0SEAMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 236
21.6%
37
78.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0SEASUB: Sesay FOR Lewis36
37
Q2 - 0:06.0SEAMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASHart P.FOUL (P1.PN)35
37
Q2 - 0:19.0SASHorry L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)35
37
Q2 - 0:19.0SEASuperSonics Rebound35
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot35
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0SEAMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot35
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)35
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 1:06SEALewis 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)35
23.5%
35
76.5%
Q2 - 1:13SASBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)33
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 1:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 1:36SEAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 1:57SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 2:00SASMISS Hart 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 2:20SEASUB: Potapenko FOR James33
35
Q2 - 2:20SEAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T9)33
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 2:20SEAJames OFF.Foul (P2)33
35
Q2 - 2:34SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)33
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 2:34SASNesterovic 1' Layup (6 PTS)33
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 2:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)33
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 2:35SASMISS Nesterovic 1' Tip Shot33
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q2 - 2:37SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)33
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 2:37SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Tip Shot33
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q2 - 2:38SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 2:38SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Tip Shot33
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q2 - 2:40SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup33
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q2 - 2:57SEAMurray 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 3:07SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T3)31
33
Q2 - 3:18SASSUB: Horry FOR Turkoglu31
33
Q2 - 3:18SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)31
33
Q2 - 3:18SASNesterovic P.FOUL (P2.T2)31
33
Q2 - 3:22SEALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 3:24SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot31
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 3:39SEAGinobili STEAL (3 STL)31
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 4:04SASNesterovic 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)31
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 4:19SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 4:21SEAMISS James 12' Jump Shot31
22.6%
31
77.4%
Q2 - 4:40SEAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
24.3%
31
75.7%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot31
23.5%
31
76.5%
Q2 - 5:03SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen31
31
Q2 - 5:03SASSUB: Hart FOR Parker31
31
Q2 - 5:03SEASUB: Lewis FOR Sesay31
31
Q2 - 5:0331
31
Q2 - 5:03SEAJames L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)31
31
Q2 - 5:03SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 5:04SEAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot31
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 5:23SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)31
23.9%
31
76.1%
Q2 - 5:38SEAMurray Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)31
28.6%
28
71.4%
Q2 - 5:44SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26.2%
28
73.8%
Q2 - 5:46SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q2 - 6:03SEAAllen 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)29
23.6%
28
76.4%
Q2 - 6:10SEAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q2 - 6:12SASMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot27
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 6:27SEARadmanovic 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)27
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q2 - 6:43SASNesterovic Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)24
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q2 - 7:00SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 7:02SEAMISS Murray 17' Jump Shot24
15.2%
28
84.8%
Q2 - 7:18SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
16.3%
28
83.7%
Q2 - 7:21SASMISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q2 - 7:35SEARadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
14.7%
28
85.3%
Q2 - 7:35SASSUB: Brown FOR Rose23
28
Q2 - 7:35SEASuperSonics Rebound23
28
Q2 - 7:35SEAMISS Radmanovic Free Throw 1 of 223
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q2 - 7:35SASRose S.FOUL (P3.T1)23
28
Q2 - 7:41SASRose 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)23
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 8:00SEARadmanovic 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)23
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q2 - 8:17SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q2 - 8:25SASSUB: Rose FOR Horry21
24
Q2 - 8:30SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q2 - 8:33SEANesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)21
16.7%
24
83.3%
Q2 - 8:48SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Willis21
24
Q2 - 8:48SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)21
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q2 - 9:03SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)21
24
Q2 - 9:07SEAAllen 1' Dunk (8 PTS)21
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q2 - 9:11SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q2 - 9:13SASMISS Horry 13' Jump Shot19
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q2 - 9:32SEAJames 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q2 - 9:49SASHorry Foul Turnover (P1.T7)17
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q2 - 9:49SASHorry OFF.Foul (P1)17
24
Q2 - 10:01SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili17
24
Q2 - 10:01SEAMurray L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)17
24
Q2 - 10:01SEAGinobili STEAL (2 STL)17
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q2 - 10:04SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q2 - 10:07SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot17
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q2 - 10:31SEAAllen 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)17
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q2 - 10:50SASHorry 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)15
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q2 - 11:18SEAAllen 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q2 - 11:26SASWillis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)13
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q2 - 11:39SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q2 - 11:41SEAMISS James 3' Jump Hook Shot13
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q2 - 12:0013
22
Q1 - 0:00.0SEA13
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SEASuperSonics Rebound13
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SEAMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)13
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0SEAMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot13
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0SEAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASMISS Willis 20' Jump Shot13
10.3%
22
89.7%
Q1 - 1:07SEARidnour 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 1:16SEAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 1:18SASMISS Ward 4' Running Hook Shot11
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q1 - 1:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8.5%
22
91.5%
Q1 - 1:27SEAMISS Sesay 16' Jump Shot11
8.6%
22
91.4%
Q1 - 1:55SASGinobili 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 2:01SASSPURS Rebound11
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 2:01SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup11
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 2:14SEARidnour P.FOUL (P1.T3)11
20
Q1 - 2:15SEAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)11
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 2:28SEASuperSonics Rebound11
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 2:30SASMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup11
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 2:47SEAMurray 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)11
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 2:59SEAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 3:01SASMISS Ward 21' Jump Shot9
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 3:08SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
20
Q1 - 3:08SEASUB: Sesay FOR Lewis9
20
Q1 - 3:08SASSUB: Turkoglu FOR Bowen9
20
Q1 - 3:08SEALewis P.FOUL (P2.T2)9
20
Q1 - 3:18SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
8.5%
20
91.5%
Q1 - 3:20SEAMISS Radmanovic 12' Jump Shot9
8.8%
20
91.2%
Q1 - 3:28SEASUB: James FOR Evans9
20
Q1 - 3:28SEASUB: Murray FOR Allen9
20
Q1 - 3:39SASWillis 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)9
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 3:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 3:48SEAMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 3:55SASSUB: Ward FOR Parker9
18
Q1 - 3:55SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T4)9
18
Q1 - 4:05SEASUB: Radmanovic FOR Potapenko9
18
Q1 - 4:05SASSUB: Willis FOR Rose9
18
Q1 - 4:05SASRose Foul Turnover (P2.T4)9
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 4:05SASRose OFF.Foul (P2)9
18
Q1 - 4:14SEARose STEAL (1 STL)9
18
Q1 - 4:14SASJump Ball Rose vs. Evans: Tip to Ginobili9
11.0%
18
89.0%
Q1 - 4:14SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic9
18
Q1 - 4:14SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 4:16SEAMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot9
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:22SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 4:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Parker 17' Turnaround Jump Shot9
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 4:51SEALewis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)9
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:51SEALewis OFF.Foul (P1)9
18
Q1 - 5:04SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)9
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 5:09SEAParker STEAL (2 STL)9
13.1%
16
86.9%
Q1 - 5:11SEAPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 5:12SEAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot9
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 5:24SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)9
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 5:35SEAEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
13.2%
16
86.8%
Q1 - 5:35SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Turkoglu8
16
Q1 - 5:35SEASuperSonics Rebound8
16
Q1 - 5:35SEAMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 28
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 5:35SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T3)8
16
Q1 - 5:44SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 5:47SASMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot8
13.1%
16
86.9%
Q1 - 5:55SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.6%
16
87.4%
Q1 - 5:57SEABowen BLOCK (1 BLK)8
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 6:16SASTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)8
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 6:30SEARidnour 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)8
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 6:56SASTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 7:13SEAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 7:24SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
14.8%
11
85.2%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot4
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 7:44SEAEvans 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)4
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 7:50SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
13.8%
11
86.2%
Q1 - 8:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 8:05SEAMISS Lewis 8' Turnaround Jump Shot2
13.5%
11
86.5%
Q1 - 8:24SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
11
Q1 - 8:25SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)2
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 8:33SEAParker STEAL (1 STL)2
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 8:45SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 8:49SASMISS Rose 2' Layup2
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 8:57SEABowen STEAL (1 STL)2
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 9:04SASTurkoglu L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)2
8
Q1 - 9:04SEASuperSonics Rebound2
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 9:04SEAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.6%
8
83.4%
Q1 - 9:18SASRose P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
8
Q1 - 9:32SASRose 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 9:39SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 9:41SEAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
18.4%
6
81.6%
Q1 - 9:59SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 10:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 10:17SEAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot2
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 10:35SASBowen 4' Layup (2 PTS)2
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 10:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 10:38SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot2
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:55SEAPotapenko 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)2
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:09SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:10SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot0
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:17SEAEvans P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:19SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:21SEAMISS Lewis 5' Running Jump Shot0
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 11:39SASNesterovic 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Lewis: Tip to Turkoglu0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSEASAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SEA
1.05 52.5%
SAS
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SEA
16
22
73%
SAS
18
33
55%
Midrange
SEA
14
34
41%
SAS
8
27
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SEA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
SAS
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
SEA
12
16
75%
SAS
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SuperSonics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Murray2467%12.0 / 18
R. Allen2150%10.5 / 21
V. Radmanovic14100%7.0 / 7
R. Lewis1038%5.0 / 13
L. Ridnour643%3.0 / 7
V. Potapenko467%2.0 / 3
R. Evans350%1.5 / 3
J. James220%1.0 / 5
A. Sesay0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu1882%9.0 / 11
T. Parker1757%8.5 / 15
B. Bowen1478%7.0 / 9
R. Horry1478%7.0 / 9
R. Nesterovic1240%6.0 / 15
M. Rose429%2.0 / 7
K. Willis450%2.0 / 4
M. Ginobili325%1.5 / 6
J. Hart225%1.0 / 4
D. Brown0-0.0 / 2
C. Ward0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SEA
71
+8
-20
79
SAS
70
+15
-18
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SEA
1.05 52.5%
SAS
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
3
104.2
14
100.0
SEA 92.3
SAS 100.0 +7.7
Pace
15
92.7
20
91.3
SEA 91.8 +4.6
SAS 87.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15
15.5
8
16.0
SEA 15.7 −0.8
SAS 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
2
50.1%
14
47.3%
SEA 52.2% +4.2%
SAS 48.0%
TO %
9
14.8%
17
15.4%
SEA 20.8%
SAS 17.7% −3.1%
ORB %
22
27.2%
11
29.5%
SEA 10.7%
SAS 30.8% +20.1%
FTrt
24
27.0
9
32.2
SEA 23.2
SAS 23.7 +0.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
15
60.6%
20
59.0%
SEA 50.0%
SAS 57.6% +7.6%
STL %
14
8.7%
11
8.8%
SEA 11.0%
SAS 14.8% +3.8%
BLK %
14
7.4%
4
9.9%
SEA 10.0% +4.6%
SAS 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
3
51.4%
18
48.6%
SEA 52.5% +1.9%
SAS 50.6%
Rim FG%
5
58.4%
7
57.6%
SEA 72.7% +18.2%
SAS 54.5%
Mid FG%
10
39.0%
24
37.0%
SEA 41.2% +11.6%
SAS 29.6%
3P %
2
37.3%
6
35.8%
SEA 30.8%
SAS 43.8% +13.0%
FT %
10
76.5%
29
68.1%
SEA 75.0%
SAS 83.3% +8.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
24
31.3%
11
35.9%
SEA 31.9%
SAS 43.4% +11.5%
Mid Att. %
1
39.3%
14
46.4%
SEA 49.3%
SAS 35.5% −13.7%
3P Att. %
1
29.4%
17
17.7%
SEA 18.8%
SAS 21.1% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.78 and 2.78.
Game TotalsSEASAS
Possessions9188
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points8488
Rebounds3037
Assists1719
Steals1013
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (5)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)25 (4)
Field Goals34-6933-76
At-the-Rim FG16-2218-33
Midrange FG14-348-27
2-Point FG30-5626-60
3-Point FG4-137-16
Free Throws12-1615-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
41.2
21
50%
3
4
2
1
5
4
0
3
2-2
100%
8-15
53%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
34.4
10
38%
3
2
2
1
4
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 285 · 29
28.4
4
67%
5
0
0
0
3
6
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
24.0
6
43%
0
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 245 · 24
16.8
3
50%
6
2
0
1
2
1
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
31.9
14
100%
6
0
0
1
2
1
0
6
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
30.8
24
67%
4
7
2
0
2
3
0
4
6-8
75%
9-13
69%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 285 · 28
18.9
2
20%
2
0
1
2
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
13.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 29
C · 6'11" 230 · 28
G · 6'5" 202 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
53%
30
17
10
6
20
0
3
27
12-16
75%
30-56
54%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.