FinalWin Prob.pScore
1243%97
98
1957%99
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
102.196104.9
MIA logo MIA
105.19991.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)98
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 298
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILMISS Kukoc 8' Fadeaway Jumper98
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)98
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)98
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILMISS Van Horn 6' Running Hook Shot98
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAOdom 8' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)98
9.7%
101
90.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
22.6%
99
77.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
27.6%
99
72.4%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
39.5%
99
60.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 298
42.7%
98
57.3%
Q4 - 1:09MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)98
37.2%
98
62.8%
Q4 - 1:09MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 297
34.0%
98
66.0%
Q4 - 1:15MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
39.4%
98
60.6%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Haslem Layup97
34.9%
98
65.1%
Q4 - 1:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)97
25.6%
98
74.4%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Odom 5' Running Jump Shot97
35.1%
98
64.9%
Q4 - 1:38MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
27.6%
98
72.4%
Q4 - 1:38MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)96
25.6%
98
74.4%
Q4 - 1:38MILBucks Rebound95
19.7%
98
80.3%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot95
17.1%
98
82.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
12.5%
98
87.5%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot95
17.5%
98
82.5%
Q4 - 1:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
12.9%
98
87.1%
Q4 - 2:01MILJones BLOCK (1 BLK)95
15.4%
98
84.6%
Q4 - 2:12MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS)95
22.6%
98
77.4%
Q4 - 2:35MILVan Horn 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)95
27.3%
96
72.7%
Q4 - 2:52MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
23.4%
96
76.6%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
20.4%
96
79.6%
Q4 - 3:24MILVan Horn Layup (20 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)93
14.3%
96
85.7%
Q4 - 3:32MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
13.9%
96
86.1%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot91
12.6%
96
87.4%
Q4 - 3:53MIAHEAT Rebound91
9.5%
96
90.5%
Q4 - 3:54MILMISS Kukoc 18' Jump Shot91
10.6%
96
89.4%
Q4 - 4:12MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Odom 9 AST)91
13.2%
96
86.8%
Q4 - 4:34MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)91
23.9%
93
76.1%
Q4 - 4:34MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)90
23.1%
93
77.0%
Q4 - 4:38MILJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
18.0%
93
82.0%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup89
16.2%
93
83.8%
Q4 - 5:00MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
12.7%
93
87.3%
Q4 - 5:00MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
11.9%
93
88.1%
Q4 - 5:06MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)87
11.5%
93
88.5%
Q4 - 5:26MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
8.3%
93
91.7%
Q4 - 5:26MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 5:26MILBucks Rebound85
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot85
5.6%
93
94.4%
Q4 - 5:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 5:47MILMISS Mason 22' Jump Shot85
4.9%
93
95.1%
Q4 - 5:57MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot85
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q4 - 6:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
5.6%
93
94.4%
Q4 - 6:17MILMISS Redd 8' Running Jump Shot85
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 6:42MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)85
7.7%
93
92.3%
Q4 - 7:00MILStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
12.7%
90
87.3%
Q4 - 7:00MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)84
12.3%
90
87.7%
Q4 - 7:07MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
11.9%
90
88.1%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot83
11.0%
90
89.0%
Q4 - 7:35MILVan Horn 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)83
8.9%
90
91.1%
Q4 - 7:41MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)81
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
6.6%
90
93.4%
Q4 - 8:04MILMISS Van Horn 11' Hook Shot81
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)81
8.3%
90
91.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 8:32MILMISS Van Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
11.1%
88
88.9%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 181
12.6%
88
87.4%
Q4 - 8:53MIAJones Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)81
13.0%
88
87.0%
Q4 - 8:57MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
16.1%
86
83.9%
Q4 - 8:59MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot81
17.3%
86
82.7%
Q4 - 9:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
21.2%
86
78.8%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Grant 4' Hook Shot81
19.9%
86
80.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
17.3%
86
82.7%
Q4 - 9:29MILMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot81
18.4%
86
81.6%
Q4 - 9:42MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
21.1%
86
78.9%
Q4 - 9:45MILMISS Strickland 3PT Jump Shot81
18.4%
86
81.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
22.1%
86
77.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)81
23.0%
85
77.0%
Q4 - 10:13MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
25.9%
84
74.1%
Q4 - 10:14MILMISS Van Horn 22' Jump Shot81
27.4%
84
72.6%
Q4 - 10:23MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
30.9%
84
69.1%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
29.3%
84
70.7%
Q4 - 10:52MILVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)81
25.9%
84
74.1%
Q4 - 11:01MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
19.2%
84
80.8%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot78
18.1%
84
81.9%
Q4 - 11:16MILMason Foul Turnover (P5.T15)78
15.9%
84
84.1%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 178
18.7%
84
81.3%
Q4 - 11:28MIAButler Layup (13 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)78
19.1%
84
80.9%
Q4 - 11:32MILAlston STEAL (4 STL)78
22.5%
82
77.5%
Q4 - 11:37MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)78
26.7%
82
73.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
22.5%
82
77.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
22.5%
82
77.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 70' 3PT Jump Shot78
25.4%
82
74.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMason 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)78
23.6%
82
76.4%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
20.0%
82
80.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot76
19.0%
82
81.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
16.9%
82
83.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot76
19.0%
82
81.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
16.9%
82
83.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
16.6%
82
83.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILBucks Rebound74
14.2%
82
85.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot74
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q3 - 1:07MILRedd 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
12.8%
82
87.2%
Q3 - 1:20MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 272
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q3 - 1:30MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
10.7%
81
89.3%
Q3 - 1:30MILMISS Van Horn Free Throw 1 of 271
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q3 - 1:47MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)71
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q3 - 1:47MIAOdom 4' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
12.8%
80
87.2%
Q3 - 1:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
15.1%
78
84.9%
Q3 - 2:00MILMISS Van Horn 19' Jump Shot71
15.9%
78
84.1%
Q3 - 2:17MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q3 - 2:32MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
21.2%
76
78.8%
Q3 - 2:32MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
20.8%
76
79.2%
Q3 - 2:48MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)69
18.5%
76
81.5%
Q3 - 3:02MILSantiago Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q3 - 3:02MILSantiago Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
24.3%
73
75.7%
Q3 - 3:02MILBucks Rebound67
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot67
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q3 - 3:16MILVan Horn Foul Turnover (P2.T13)67
19.1%
73
80.9%
Q3 - 3:30MIAAlston 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q3 - 3:49MILVan Horn Reverse Layup (12 PTS)67
25.2%
71
74.8%
Q3 - 3:51MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q3 - 3:53MILAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)65
19.9%
71
80.1%
Q3 - 4:19MIAButler 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)65
22.7%
71
77.3%
Q3 - 4:42MILJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
25.4%
69
74.6%
Q3 - 4:58MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)62
19.8%
69
80.2%
Q3 - 5:25MILJones 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
23.0%
67
77.0%
Q3 - 5:42MIAButler Layup (17 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)60
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 6:07MILJones 20' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)60
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q3 - 6:09MILJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
20.9%
65
79.1%
Q3 - 6:10MILMISS Van Horn Driving Layup58
19.0%
65
81.0%
Q3 - 6:29MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
20.9%
65
79.1%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot58
20.0%
65
80.0%
Q3 - 6:36MILAlston STEAL (3 STL)58
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 6:59MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)58
20.9%
65
79.1%
Q3 - 7:10MILJones Foul Turnover (P3.T11)58
18.5%
65
81.5%
Q3 - 7:15MILBucks Rebound58
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 7:16MILMISS Mason 10' Turnaround Jump Shot58
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)58
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 8:01MILJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Horn 3 AST)58
27.0%
62
73.0%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)55
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 8:44MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q3 - 8:44MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q3 - 8:56MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q3 - 9:26MILRedd Layup (11 PTS) (Van Horn 2 AST)53
15.2%
62
84.8%
Q3 - 9:37MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T5)51
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 9:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 9:47MILMISS Van Horn 9' Turnaround Jump Shot51
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 10:08MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 10:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 10:19MILMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot51
12.8%
62
87.2%
Q3 - 10:31MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)51
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 10:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q3 - 10:46MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
12.8%
62
87.2%
Q3 - 11:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q3 - 11:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
12.8%
62
87.2%
Q3 - 11:09MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot51
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 11:26MIAOdom Driving Layup (10 PTS)51
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 11:46MILVan Horn 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)51
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
14.5%
60
85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 59' 3PT Jump Shot49
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILVan Horn Layup (8 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)49
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAAlston Driving Layup (14 PTS)47
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILMason 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)47
13.8%
58
86.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)45
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q2 - 1:03MILKukoc Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)45
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q2 - 1:05MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q2 - 1:07MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot43
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAAlston 5' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)43
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q2 - 1:34MIAHEAT Rebound43
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot43
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q2 - 1:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q2 - 1:51MILMISS Van Horn 16' Jump Shot43
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q2 - 2:00MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot43
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q2 - 2:23MILMason 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)43
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q2 - 2:42MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q2 - 2:42MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q2 - 2:57MILVan Horn Layup (6 PTS) (Santiago 1 AST)41
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 3:12MIAButler 3' Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q2 - 3:25MILSantiago Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 3:25MILSantiago Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q2 - 3:42MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)37
11.3%
52
88.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)37
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 3:49MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 3:51MILOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)37
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q2 - 4:08MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 237
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)37
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 4:25MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 4:25MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q2 - 4:30MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
13.1%
49
86.9%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Butler Dunk35
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 4:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
11.8%
49
88.2%
Q2 - 4:38MILMISS Van Horn Driving Layup35
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)35
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q2 - 5:19MILMason 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)35
14.7%
47
85.3%
Q2 - 5:35MIAOdom Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)33
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 5:43MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 5:45MILMISS Santiago 18' Jump Shot33
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAButler Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)33
16.9%
45
83.1%
Q2 - 6:21MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)33
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 6:33MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot33
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 7:05MILKukoc 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)33
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 7:23MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot31
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 7:39MILMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot31
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 7:45MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
17.0%
43
83.0%
Q2 - 8:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 8:16MILHaislip Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 8:16MILHaislip Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 8:35MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 8:52MILMISS Haislip Free Throw 1 of 129
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 8:52MILHaislip Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)29
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 9:00MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T1)27
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 9:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 9:05MILMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot27
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 9:13MILBucks Rebound27
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 9:14MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 9:23MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot27
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 9:37MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
11.7%
43
88.3%
Q2 - 9:39MILMISS Kukoc 8' Jump Shot27
12.0%
43
88.0%
Q2 - 9:52MIAHaslem Tip Shot (3 PTS)27
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Butler Layup27
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 9:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot27
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 10:18MILHaislip 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 10:41MIAJones Reverse Layup (7 PTS)25
13.2%
41
86.8%
Q2 - 10:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q2 - 10:59MILHaslem STEAL (2 STL)25
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 11:19MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Butler Layup25
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 11:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot25
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 11:47MILKukoc 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)25
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL23
13.4%
39
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAOdom 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
13.4%
39
86.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILButler STEAL (1 STL)23
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAButler Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)23
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)23
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)23
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q1 - 1:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 223
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q1 - 1:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot23
24.8%
31
75.2%
Q1 - 1:29MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q1 - 1:29MILStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q1 - 1:44MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot20
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q1 - 2:03MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q1 - 2:03MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q1 - 2:20MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)18
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q1 - 2:40MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)18
20.7%
28
79.3%
Q1 - 2:51MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q1 - 2:51MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
19.4%
27
80.6%
Q1 - 3:12MILGadzuric 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q1 - 3:19MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
19.8%
26
80.2%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Grant Layup14
19.3%
26
80.7%
Q1 - 3:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 3:28MILMISS Gadzuric 17' Jump Shot14
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 3:45MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot14
19.3%
26
80.7%
Q1 - 3:58MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 3:58MILRedd 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 4:10MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)11
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 4:16MILJones STEAL (1 STL)11
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q1 - 4:39MILBucks Rebound11
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot11
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 4:55MILRedd 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q1 - 5:11MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)9
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 5:11MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)9
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 5:25MILRedd Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)9
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 5:31MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot9
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 5:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 5:47MILMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot9
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 6:05MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)9
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 6:31MILVan Horn Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q1 - 6:47MIAAlston 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q1 - 6:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
22.4%
17
77.6%
Q1 - 7:00MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
22.8%
17
77.2%
Q1 - 7:11MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot7
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q1 - 7:18MILOdom STEAL (2 STL)7
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 7:37MIAButler Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)7
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q1 - 7:45MILMISS Van Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 7:55MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)7
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 8:00MILAlston STEAL (2 STL)7
29.0%
13
71.0%
Q1 - 8:22MIAButler Dunk (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)7
30.9%
13
69.1%
Q1 - 8:27MILOdom STEAL (1 STL)7
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 8:43MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
34.3%
11
65.7%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Butler 7' Running Jump Shot7
33.7%
11
66.3%
Q1 - 9:05MILJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 9:19MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)4
29.3%
11
70.7%
Q1 - 9:36MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
30.5%
9
69.5%
Q1 - 9:36MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
30.2%
9
69.8%
Q1 - 9:45MILBucks Rebound2
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot2
28.7%
9
71.3%
Q1 - 10:00MILJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 10:09MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 10:09MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)0
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 10:23MILAlston STEAL (1 STL)0
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 10:36MIAAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 10:41MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 10:42MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 11:03MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)0
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 11:27MIAHEAT Rebound0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 11:29MILMISS Van Horn 12' Jump Shot0
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:48MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Santiago: Tip to Butler0
39.2%
0
60.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
10
14
71%
MIA
20
31
65%
Midrange
MIL
17
40
43%
MIA
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
MIA
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIL
32
35
91%
MIA
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Van Horn2250%11.0 / 22
M. Redd2155%10.5 / 19
D. Mason1667%8.0 / 12
D. Jones1583%7.5 / 9
T. Kukoc735%3.5 / 10
M. Haislip675%3.0 / 4
E. Strickland542%2.5 / 6
D. Santiago467%2.0 / 3
D. Gadzuric250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Alston23105%11.5 / 11
C. Butler2150%10.5 / 21
R. Butler2063%10.0 / 16
L. Odom1647%8.0 / 17
E. Jones1338%6.5 / 17
B. Grant840%4.0 / 10
U. Haslem325%1.5 / 6
S. Walker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+7
-15
88
MIA
89
+13
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
99.3
MIL 102.1
MIA 105.1 +3.0
Pace
94.2
90.6
MIL 104.9 +13.6
MIA 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.0
MIL 13.7 +2.0
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
46.3%
MIL 47.8%
MIA 50.6% +2.8%
TO %
13.7%
14.4%
MIL 15.1%
MIA 9.5% +5.6%
ORB %
27.6%
27.5%
MIL 14.3%
MIA 25.0% +10.7%
FTrt
33.0
29.8
MIL 50.7 +19.7
MIA 31.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.0%
57.3%
MIL 54.8%
MIA 56.4% +1.6%
STL %
7.1%
7.9%
MIL 6.3%
MIA 10.1% +3.8%
BLK %
7.1%
6.3%
MIL 4.5%
MIA 5.6% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
48.3%
MIL 55.1% +4.1%
MIA 51.0%
Rim FG%
55.7%
53.9%
MIL 71.4% +6.9%
MIA 64.5%
Mid FG%
39.4%
36.9%
MIL 42.5% +9.2%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
35.0%
35.7%
MIL 26.7%
MIA 41.2% +14.5%
FT %
77.5%
76.2%
MIL 91.4% +18.3%
MIA 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.8%
34.4%
MIL 20.3%
MIA 36.9% +16.6%
Mid Att. %
46.0%
44.5%
MIL 58.0%
MIA 42.9% +15.1%
3P Att. %
17.2%
21.1%
MIL 21.7% +1.5%
MIA 20.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9699
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points98104
Rebounds3540
Assists1722
Steals610
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (6)30 (2)
Field Goals31-6939-84
At-the-Rim FG10-1420-31
Midrange FG17-4012-36
2-Point FG27-5432-67
3-Point FG4-157-17
Free Throws32-3519-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
40.6
21
55%
6
1
3
0
1
1
0
6
11-11
100%
5-9
56%
0-4
0%
F · 6'5" 222 · 26
39.6
16
67%
4
0
0
0
5
4
0
4
8-8
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 28
39.5
22
50%
7
3
0
1
2
6
1
6
3-4
75%
8-17
47%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
31.7
15
83%
4
3
0
0
3
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
C · 7'0" 256 · 28
20.6
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 35
23.2
7
35%
6
4
2
0
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
18.7
2
50%
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 30
16.3
5
42%
4
5
1
0
1
2
0
4
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
9.8
6
75%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 28
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29
G · 6'2" 182 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
55%
35
17
6
3
15
0
5
30
32-35
91%
27-54
50%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.