FinalWin Prob.pScore
166%101
96
1734%96
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
95.0101103.0
MIA logo MIA
99.0103101.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0SACMISS Peeler 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)96
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0SACMISS Christie 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0SACWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
5.1%
100
94.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 296
4.5%
100
95.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0SACPeeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)96
4.5%
99
95.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)93
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 0:27.0SACMISS Webber 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 0:35.0SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
8.0%
97
92.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 293
7.0%
97
93.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)93
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0SACWebber Dunk (22 PTS) (Christie 6 AST)93
10.3%
96
89.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
6.5%
96
93.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 291
7.4%
95
92.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0SACMISS Christie Free Throw 2 of 291
6.8%
95
93.2%
Q4 - 0:46.0SACChristie Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
10.6%
95
89.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)90
8.0%
95
92.0%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 1:19SACMISS Bibby 6' Hook Shot90
7.9%
95
92.1%
Q4 - 1:22SACKings Rebound90
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 1:23SACHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)90
8.5%
95
91.5%
Q4 - 1:28MIAHEAT Rebound90
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 1:28MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)90
13.5%
95
86.5%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 290
14.9%
94
85.1%
Q4 - 1:48SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
15.6%
94
84.4%
Q4 - 1:48SACWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 2:05MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Odom 11 AST)88
13.0%
94
87.0%
Q4 - 2:29SACMiller 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)88
23.8%
91
76.2%
Q4 - 2:46MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)86
20.3%
91
79.7%
Q4 - 2:46MIAHaslem Layup (13 PTS) (Odom 10 AST)86
28.8%
90
71.2%
Q4 - 3:10SACWebber Layup (18 PTS)86
34.7%
88
65.3%
Q4 - 3:12SACWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
29.5%
88
70.5%
Q4 - 3:13SACOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)84
21.3%
88
78.7%
Q4 - 3:36MIAButler Finger Roll (17 PTS) (Odom 9 AST)84
32.6%
88
67.4%
Q4 - 3:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)84
40.3%
86
59.7%
Q4 - 3:44SACMISS Christie 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
43.1%
86
56.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
49.5%
86
50.5%
Q4 - 3:56MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
50.9%
85
49.1%
Q4 - 4:18SACBibby 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS)84
58.0%
84
42.0%
Q4 - 4:37MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)82
49.0%
84
51.0%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 282
51.1%
83
48.9%
Q4 - 4:55SACOdom STEAL (2 STL)82
48.3%
83
51.7%
Q4 - 5:10SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
60.0%
83
40.0%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 282
58.9%
83
41.1%
Q4 - 5:11MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
53.0%
83
47.0%
Q4 - 5:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
59.7%
82
40.3%
Q4 - 5:19SACMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot82
62.2%
82
37.8%
Q4 - 5:36SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
67.7%
82
32.3%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
65.3%
82
34.7%
Q4 - 6:00SACChristie 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Divac 5 AST)82
59.6%
82
40.4%
Q4 - 6:15MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)79
46.7%
82
53.3%
Q4 - 6:15MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)79
48.3%
81
51.7%
Q4 - 6:33SACBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)79
53.0%
80
47.0%
Q4 - 6:48MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)76
39.0%
80
61.0%
Q4 - 7:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)76
48.6%
78
51.4%
Q4 - 7:06SACMISS Christie 17' Jump Shot76
50.9%
78
49.1%
Q4 - 7:24MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)76
56.2%
78
43.8%
Q4 - 7:47MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)76
48.3%
78
51.7%
Q4 - 7:49SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
50.7%
78
49.3%
Q4 - 8:22MIAAlston Layup (16 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)76
56.4%
78
43.6%
Q4 - 8:26SACAlston STEAL (2 STL)76
62.5%
76
37.5%
Q4 - 8:36SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
68.4%
76
31.6%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
66.6%
76
33.4%
Q4 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
62.5%
76
37.5%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot76
66.7%
76
33.3%
Q4 - 9:13SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
63.2%
76
36.8%
Q4 - 9:13SACWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
61.5%
76
38.5%
Q4 - 9:27MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)74
57.7%
76
42.3%
Q4 - 9:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)74
51.4%
76
48.6%
Q4 - 9:33SACMISS Webber 17' Jump Shot74
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q4 - 9:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
57.6%
76
42.4%
Q4 - 9:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
58.8%
75
41.2%
Q4 - 10:06SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
63.1%
74
36.9%
Q4 - 10:06SACMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 273
62.6%
74
37.4%
Q4 - 10:11SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
63.5%
74
36.5%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot73
61.8%
74
38.2%
Q4 - 10:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)73
57.7%
74
42.3%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot73
61.8%
74
38.2%
Q4 - 10:42SACBibby 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)73
57.7%
74
42.3%
Q4 - 10:56MIAOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)71
52.5%
74
47.5%
Q4 - 11:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
62.7%
71
37.3%
Q4 - 11:07SACMISS Webber 18' Jump Shot71
64.3%
71
35.7%
Q4 - 11:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
67.9%
71
32.1%
Q4 - 11:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
68.8%
70
31.2%
Q4 - 11:49SACBibby Layup (17 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)71
72.2%
69
27.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC69
67.9%
69
32.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SACDivac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
68.3%
69
31.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot69
66.9%
69
33.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0SACChristie 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)69
63.6%
69
36.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAButler Dunk (15 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)66
53.6%
69
46.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
58.7%
67
41.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0SACMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot66
60.2%
67
39.8%
Q3 - 1:03SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
64.4%
67
35.6%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot66
63.0%
67
37.0%
Q3 - 1:25SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
59.6%
67
40.4%
Q3 - 1:25SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
58.8%
67
41.2%
Q3 - 1:40MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)64
54.9%
67
45.1%
Q3 - 1:55SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)64
64.2%
64
35.8%
Q3 - 1:57SACBibby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
68.7%
64
31.3%
Q3 - 1:59SACMISS Christie 17' Jump Shot64
65.6%
64
34.4%
Q3 - 2:02SACChristie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
68.5%
64
31.5%
Q3 - 2:04SACMISS Divac 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
65.4%
64
34.6%
Q3 - 2:18SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
68.5%
64
31.5%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot64
67.2%
64
32.8%
Q3 - 2:34SACChristie 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)64
64.0%
64
36.0%
Q3 - 2:42SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
60.0%
64
40.0%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Alston 5' Hook Shot62
58.5%
64
41.5%
Q3 - 2:46MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
55.1%
64
44.9%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Alston 5' Running Jump Shot62
58.5%
64
41.5%
Q3 - 3:07SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
55.9%
64
44.1%
Q3 - 3:07SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
55.1%
64
44.9%
Q3 - 3:07SACKings Rebound60
51.7%
64
48.3%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 3:21MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)60
46.9%
64
53.1%
Q3 - 3:23SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
48.3%
64
51.7%
Q3 - 3:37MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)60
51.6%
64
48.4%
Q3 - 4:03SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
56.3%
62
43.7%
Q3 - 4:03SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
55.7%
62
44.3%
Q3 - 4:22MIAButler Dunk (10 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)58
52.7%
62
47.3%
Q3 - 4:26MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)58
56.3%
60
43.7%
Q3 - 4:27SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot58
57.8%
60
42.2%
Q3 - 4:46MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
61.1%
60
38.9%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 258
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 4:50MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)58
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 4:51SACMISS Webber 4' Jump Shot58
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q3 - 5:08SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
65.3%
59
34.7%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot58
64.0%
59
36.0%
Q3 - 5:22SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
61.1%
59
38.9%
Q3 - 5:22SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
60.8%
59
39.2%
Q3 - 5:39SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
57.4%
59
42.6%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
56.0%
59
44.0%
Q3 - 6:01SACWebber Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)56
53.8%
59
46.2%
Q3 - 6:01SACWebber 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
49.8%
59
50.2%
Q3 - 6:16MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
46.1%
59
53.9%
Q3 - 6:16MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
46.6%
58
53.4%
Q3 - 6:30MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)53
49.7%
57
50.3%
Q3 - 6:32SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
51.1%
57
48.9%
Q3 - 6:47MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)53
54.0%
57
46.0%
Q3 - 7:04SACWebber 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)53
57.5%
55
42.5%
Q3 - 7:23MIAOdom Layup (23 PTS)51
54.2%
55
45.8%
Q3 - 7:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)51
57.5%
53
42.5%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot51
60.5%
53
39.5%
Q3 - 7:34MIAHEAT Rebound51
57.5%
53
42.5%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot51
60.5%
53
39.5%
Q3 - 7:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
57.5%
53
42.5%
Q3 - 7:45SACMISS Christie 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
58.8%
53
41.2%
Q3 - 7:59MIAAlston 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
61.8%
53
38.2%
Q3 - 8:23SACStojakovic 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Divac 4 AST)51
65.4%
51
34.6%
Q3 - 8:35SACKings Rebound49
62.3%
51
37.7%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
61.1%
51
38.9%
Q3 - 8:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
58.2%
51
41.8%
Q3 - 8:52SACMISS Webber 21' Jump Shot49
59.5%
51
40.5%
Q3 - 9:03MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)49
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q3 - 9:15MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
69.1%
48
30.9%
Q3 - 9:16SACMISS Divac 21' Jump Shot49
70.1%
48
29.9%
Q3 - 9:29MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)49
72.3%
48
27.7%
Q3 - 9:46SACBibby 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Divac 3 AST)49
69.1%
48
30.9%
Q3 - 9:57MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T11)47
66.0%
48
34.0%
Q3 - 9:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
62.5%
48
37.5%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Alston 5' Running Jump Shot47
65.0%
48
35.0%
Q3 - 10:11SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
63.2%
48
36.8%
Q3 - 10:11SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 246
62.7%
48
37.3%
Q3 - 10:14MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)46
63.6%
48
36.4%
Q3 - 10:30SACDivac Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
59.8%
48
40.2%
Q3 - 10:30SACDivac Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
58.8%
48
41.2%
Q3 - 10:41MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)44
56.7%
48
43.3%
Q3 - 11:02SACWebber 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Christie 5 AST)44
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q3 - 11:15SACKings Rebound42
50.9%
48
49.1%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot42
49.8%
48
50.2%
Q3 - 11:32SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
47.2%
48
52.8%
Q3 - 11:32SACStojakovic Layup (8 PTS) (Christie 4 AST)41
43.8%
48
56.2%
Q3 - 11:41MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)39
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAC39
37.1%
48
62.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot39
39.5%
48
60.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
39.2%
48
60.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
38.7%
48
61.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)37
33.1%
48
66.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
33.7%
48
66.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)37
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
33.0%
48
67.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Alston 8' Running Hook Shot37
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0SACDivac Tip Shot (4 PTS)37
32.9%
48
67.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0SACDivac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)35
29.3%
48
70.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0SACMISS Bibby Driving Layup35
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q2 - 1:05MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)35
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q2 - 1:14SACJones STEAL (1 STL)35
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 1:18SACPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot35
38.3%
45
61.7%
Q2 - 1:43SACBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Divac 2 AST)35
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 2:00MIAOdom Driving Layup (21 PTS)32
30.1%
45
69.9%
Q2 - 2:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q2 - 2:21SACMISS Miller 9' Turnaround Jump Shot32
35.6%
43
64.4%
Q2 - 2:37SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
37.4%
43
62.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Odom Dunk32
36.6%
43
63.4%
Q2 - 2:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q2 - 2:59SACMISS Buford Tip Shot32
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 3:00SACBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
37.3%
43
62.7%
Q2 - 3:02SACMISS Bibby Driving Layup32
37.3%
43
62.7%
Q2 - 3:12SACPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
39.5%
43
60.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot32
38.5%
43
61.5%
Q2 - 3:37MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)32
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 3:38SACMISS Webber 4' Running Jump Shot32
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 3:43SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
39.3%
43
60.7%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Odom 18' Jump Shot32
38.4%
43
61.6%
Q2 - 3:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)32
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 4:00SACMISS Buford Layup32
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 4:06SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
40.7%
43
59.3%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot32
39.8%
43
60.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
37.9%
43
62.1%
Q2 - 4:16SACMISS Peeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
38.7%
43
61.3%
Q2 - 4:25MIAOdom 4' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)32
40.6%
43
59.4%
Q2 - 4:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q2 - 4:36SACMISS Buford 12' Running Jump Shot32
44.3%
41
55.7%
Q2 - 4:58SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot32
45.4%
41
54.6%
Q2 - 5:12SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
44.1%
41
55.9%
Q2 - 5:12SACMISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 231
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q2 - 5:22MIAButler Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)31
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 5:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
46.9%
39
53.1%
Q2 - 5:29SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot31
47.9%
39
52.1%
Q2 - 5:46MIAAlston 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
50.0%
39
50.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q2 - 5:55SACMISS Buford 18' Jump Shot31
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 6:02SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
56.6%
37
43.4%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
55.6%
37
44.4%
Q2 - 6:25SACPeeler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Buford 1 AST)31
53.2%
37
46.8%
Q2 - 6:42MIAButler Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)29
51.0%
37
49.0%
Q2 - 6:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
53.2%
35
46.8%
Q2 - 6:50SACMISS Peeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
54.2%
35
45.8%
Q2 - 7:01SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q2 - 7:02SACMISS Buford 21' Jump Shot29
55.3%
35
44.7%
Q2 - 7:11SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot29
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 7:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
54.4%
35
45.6%
Q2 - 7:16MIAMISS Butler Layup29
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 7:30SACWebber Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)29
54.4%
35
45.6%
Q2 - 7:41MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
54.4%
35
45.6%
Q2 - 7:45SACMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 229
54.7%
35
45.3%
Q2 - 7:45SACMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 229
56.5%
35
43.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAAlston Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q2 - 8:18MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
59.5%
33
40.5%
Q2 - 8:20SACButler BLOCK (1 BLK)29
60.4%
33
39.6%
Q2 - 8:33MIAOdom Driving Layup (17 PTS)29
62.3%
33
37.7%
Q2 - 8:38SACOdom STEAL (1 STL)29
64.4%
31
35.6%
Q2 - 8:52SACPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
67.0%
31
33.0%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 9:16SACWebber Reverse Layup (6 PTS)29
64.7%
31
35.3%
Q2 - 9:30SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
62.6%
31
37.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
61.8%
31
38.2%
Q2 - 9:58SACWebber Layup (4 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)27
59.9%
31
40.1%
Q2 - 10:18MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)25
57.8%
31
42.2%
Q2 - 10:45SACMiller 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)25
59.9%
29
40.1%
Q2 - 11:11MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)23
58.1%
29
41.9%
Q2 - 11:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
62.7%
26
37.3%
Q2 - 11:30SACMISS Webber 16' Jump Shot23
63.4%
26
36.6%
Q2 - 11:47MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)23
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
69.2%
23
30.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
69.2%
23
30.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
69.8%
23
30.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
70.9%
23
29.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot23
70.5%
23
29.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0SACChristie Dunk (8 PTS)23
69.4%
23
30.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)21
66.9%
23
33.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0SACMiller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)21
65.2%
23
34.8%
Q1 - 1:04SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
62.7%
23
37.3%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 219
62.4%
23
37.6%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 219
60.8%
23
39.2%
Q1 - 1:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
60.9%
23
39.1%
Q1 - 1:12SACMISS Christie 21' Jump Shot19
61.5%
23
38.5%
Q1 - 1:18SACSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
62.7%
23
37.3%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot19
62.1%
23
37.9%
Q1 - 1:38SACSongaila Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
60.9%
23
39.1%
Q1 - 1:50MIAOdom 10' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)19
62.6%
23
37.4%
Q1 - 2:06MIAHEAT Rebound19
65.5%
21
34.5%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Haslem Layup19
66.9%
21
33.1%
Q1 - 2:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
65.5%
21
34.5%
Q1 - 2:18SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot19
66.1%
21
33.9%
Q1 - 2:33SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
67.5%
21
32.5%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 219
67.2%
21
32.8%
Q1 - 2:38MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)19
65.8%
21
34.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)19
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
68.9%
20
31.1%
Q1 - 2:48MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q1 - 2:50SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 2:56SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
69.5%
20
30.5%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Jones Layup19
68.9%
20
31.1%
Q1 - 3:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
67.6%
20
32.4%
Q1 - 3:04SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q1 - 3:28MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)19
69.8%
20
30.2%
Q1 - 3:28MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
70.2%
19
29.8%
Q1 - 3:44SACChristie 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)19
71.4%
18
28.6%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 117
69.8%
18
30.1%
Q1 - 4:02MIAOdom Layup (10 PTS)17
70.2%
18
29.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Alston 6' Running Jump Shot17
73.1%
16
26.9%
Q1 - 4:20SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q1 - 4:20SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 216
71.3%
16
28.7%
Q1 - 4:35MIAAlston 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
71.9%
16
28.1%
Q1 - 4:50SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)16
73.3%
14
26.7%
Q1 - 5:02SACDivac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 5:04SACMISS Webber 6' Hook Shot13
69.0%
14
31.0%
Q1 - 5:12MIAGrant Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)13
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 5:24SACDivac Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
68.3%
14
31.7%
Q1 - 5:26SACDivac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
66.7%
14
33.3%
Q1 - 5:28SACMISS Stojakovic 14' Jump Shot11
65.2%
14
34.8%
Q1 - 5:50MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
66.7%
14
33.3%
Q1 - 5:50MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
67.0%
13
33.0%
Q1 - 6:06SACDivac Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
68.5%
12
31.5%
Q1 - 6:16MIAButler Dunk (4 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)11
70.3%
12
29.7%
Q1 - 6:22SACAlston STEAL (1 STL)11
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 6:30SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
73.5%
10
26.5%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot11
73.0%
10
27.0%
Q1 - 6:48SACChristie 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 6:54SACBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
70.3%
10
29.7%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Butler Layup9
69.7%
10
30.3%
Q1 - 7:19SACWebber Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)9
68.8%
10
31.2%
Q1 - 7:31MIAOdom Driving Layup (8 PTS)7
67.3%
10
32.7%
Q1 - 7:48SACChristie Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Divac 1 AST)7
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 7:50SACBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
67.3%
8
32.7%
Q1 - 7:52SACMISS Christie 18' Jump Shot5
66.0%
8
34.0%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 15
67.7%
8
32.3%
Q1 - 8:09MIAOdom Layup (6 PTS)5
68.0%
8
32.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)5
69.4%
6
30.6%
Q1 - 8:11MIAMISS Odom 4' Jump Shot5
70.7%
6
29.3%
Q1 - 8:12MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
69.4%
6
30.6%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Alston 23' Jump Shot5
70.7%
6
29.3%
Q1 - 8:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
69.4%
6
30.6%
Q1 - 8:19SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
70.0%
6
30.0%
Q1 - 8:39MIAOdom Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)5
71.2%
6
28.8%
Q1 - 8:43SACButler STEAL (1 STL)5
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 8:57MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)5
74.1%
4
25.9%
Q1 - 9:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 9:20SACMISS Webber 6' Hook Shot5
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 9:37SACKings Rebound5
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Odom Layup5
76.5%
2
23.5%
Q1 - 9:42MIAHEAT Rebound5
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Butler Layup5
76.5%
2
23.5%
Q1 - 9:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot5
76.5%
2
23.5%
Q1 - 9:54MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 9:56SACMISS Divac 17' Jump Shot5
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 10:01SACKings Rebound5
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 10:23SACStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)5
75.3%
2
24.7%
Q1 - 10:35SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup2
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 10:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
70.8%
2
29.2%
Q1 - 10:47SACButler BLOCK (1 BLK)2
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 10:55MIAJump Ball Butler vs. Webber: Tip to Christie2
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 10:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
70.8%
2
29.2%
Q1 - 11:01SACMISS Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot2
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 11:16MIAOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
72.5%
2
27.5%
Q1 - 11:32SACBibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
74.0%
0
26.0%
Q1 - 11:36MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
72.5%
0
27.5%
Q1 - 11:43MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.1%
0
28.9%
Q1 - 11:45SACMISS Webber 4' Finger Roll0
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Divac: Tip to Bibby0
72.5%
0
27.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.94 47.1%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
12
22
55%
MIA
20
33
61%
Midrange
SAC
14
39
36%
MIA
7
26
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
SAC
23
30
77%
MIA
27
39
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby2460%12.0 / 20
C. Webber2244%11.0 / 25
D. Christie1757%8.5 / 15
P. Stojakovic1444%7.0 / 16
B. Miller850%4.0 / 8
V. Divac650%3.0 / 6
A. Peeler550%2.5 / 5
R. Buford0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom3060%15.0 / 25
R. Alston2045%10.0 / 22
U. Haslem1765%8.5 / 13
R. Butler1757%8.5 / 15
E. Jones1038%5.0 / 13
C. Butler833%4.0 / 12
B. Grant0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
91
+10
-10
101
MIA
89
+15
-14
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.94 47.1%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
99.3
SAC 95.0
MIA 99.0 +4.0
Pace
95.6
90.6
SAC 103.0 +2.0
MIA 101.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.0
SAC 14.0 +0.3
MIA 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
46.3%
SAC 43.5%
MIA 46.3% +2.8%
TO %
14.1%
14.4%
SAC 9.3% +3.2%
MIA 12.5%
ORB %
26.1%
27.5%
SAC 18.0%
MIA 26.7% +8.7%
FTrt
30.4
29.8
SAC 35.7
MIA 48.1 +12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
69.4%
57.3%
SAC 69.7% +5.0%
MIA 64.7%
STL %
9.0%
7.9%
SAC 8.9% +3.1%
MIA 5.8%
BLK %
5.7%
6.3%
SAC 10.2% +3.6%
MIA 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
48.3%
SAC 47.1%
MIA 49.0% +1.9%
Rim FG%
59.2%
53.9%
SAC 54.5%
MIA 60.6% +6.1%
Mid FG%
40.0%
36.9%
SAC 35.9% +9.0%
MIA 26.9%
3P %
40.1%
35.7%
SAC 30.4%
MIA 31.8% +1.4%
FT %
79.5%
76.2%
SAC 76.7% +7.5%
MIA 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
34.4%
SAC 26.2%
MIA 40.7% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
45.3%
44.5%
SAC 46.4%
MIA 32.1% +14.3%
3P Att. %
22.3%
21.1%
SAC 27.4% +0.2%
MIA 27.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions101103
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points96102
Rebounds4253
Assists2322
Steals96
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (6)41 (3)
Field Goals33-8434-81
At-the-Rim FG12-2220-33
Midrange FG14-397-26
2-Point FG26-6127-59
3-Point FG7-237-22
Free Throws23-3027-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 195 · 26
42.1
24
60%
3
3
2
0
2
1
2
1
8-10
80%
5-10
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'6" 205 · 34
40.4
17
57%
6
6
2
1
2
4
1
5
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 229 · 27
38.7
14
44%
4
3
0
0
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
2-7
29%
F · 6'10" 245 · 31
31.7
22
44%
9
3
4
1
3
5
1
8
6-7
86%
8-20
40%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 260 · 36
26.8
6
50%
4
5
0
1
1
3
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28
32.5
8
50%
11
2
0
2
0
6
1
10
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 34
14.1
5
50%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26
9.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 26
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
F · 6'7" 220 · 22
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
47%
42
23
9
6
10
0
9
33
23-30
77%
26-61
43%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.