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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bucks54%10197
21Cavaliers46%100106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
42
38
18
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
7-15
6-12
47%
48%
0-3
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
38
35
13
5
1
0
1
2
4
2
3
2-2
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.8
33
16
15
8
1
0
0
1
0
1
7
5-7
71%
5-11
3-5
45%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
32
30
13
2
10
0
1
0
6
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
1-2
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
28
8
11
12
1
1
0
1
2
3
9
3-3
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.4
21
36
10
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-8
75%
2-7
5-11
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.3
16
9
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
15
21
5
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.5
15
20
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.3
15
1
1-3
42%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
10
0
1-3
46%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.7
10
0
1-2
48%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.2
43
35
24
7
10
4
1
1
2
2
5
2-3
67%
11-21
7-15
52%
45%
0-3
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.8
40
30
29
7
0
1
1
5
0
1
6
7-7
100%
11-17
6-12
65%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.4
39
36
10
3
12
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
1-4
25%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.3
38
34
22
13
1
1
1
0
1
3
10
2-2
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
33
28
11
5
2
2
1
1
4
1
4
3-4
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
17
23
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.0
16
15
6
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.2
10
10
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
14
0
2-5
40%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.1
7
0
1-1
43%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.1
6
0
1-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.