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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pistons53%9497
15Nuggets47%9366
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.4
36.5
33.5
2
20%
6
13
1
1
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 29.5
31.8
32.4
20
56%
10
3
3
1
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
47%
2-7
29%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.3
31.7
19.3
13
72%
6
8
2
1
1
4
3
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
39%
1-1
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
27.3
35.1
7
48%
9
2
0
2
2
2
5
4
1-3
33%
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.0
22.5
35.2
11
62%
8
3
0
1
2
1
3
5
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
1-1
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.7
27.9
20.9
8
34%
5
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
21.0
9.5
8
82%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
4-4
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.9
14.5
3.3
4
29%
3
2
3
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
14.4
20.6
14
64%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
47%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.7
9.4
4.4
4
40%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
45%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.6
3.1
5.5
6
109%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.1
19.3
1
3-7
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.5
32.5
32.8
5
28%
5
0
4
2
1
5
3
2
1-2
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.8
27.7
35.4
8
22%
4
2
1
1
0
3
4
0
1-2
50%
2-16
7-16
13%
45%
1-1
100%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.8
27.2
29.8
8
45%
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
42%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
26.5
29.7
6
38%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
25.5
13.6
8
39%
10
1
0
1
1
0
4
6
2-3
67%
3-9
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.8
25.8
17.2
8
31%
1
7
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-11
2-5
36%
44%
0-2
0%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
22.5
11.2
8
51%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.6
14.1
15.2
8
67%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.9
12.0
2.6
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
37%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
11.5
14.5
4
69%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.0
11.0
26.8
3
80%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.7
3.6
16.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.