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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 8, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers48%9683
20Jazz52%9788
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
43.0
36.7
21
47%
6
7
1
1
0
4
0
6
8-10
80%
5-16
5-11
31%
47%
1-2
50%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
41.5
27.3
12
55%
4
1
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
2-4
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
37.4
16.3
7
39%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
28.3
37.0
16
48%
10
4
0
1
2
4
5
5
6-11
55%
5-12
8-15
42%
55%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
17.0
20.6
2
33%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.6
22.5
20.0
13
56%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
4-7
2-5
57%
41%
0-2
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
20.8
12.9
6
50%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
16.4
19.1
0
0%
2
0
1
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
13.0
8.0
6
61%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
38%
1-1
100%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
21.7
1
4-8
45%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
16.0
1
3-6
46%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.7
6.3
0
1-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
40.2
37.0
15
44%
14
2
1
2
5
4
3
11
7-9
78%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
0-2
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.6
18.9
26.7
1
7%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-5
4-9
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
15.1
18.3
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
41%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.3
10.2
22.8
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.3
6.0
14.9
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
34.2
9.3
21
53%
6
2
4
0
0
3
1
5
6-6
100%
6-15
1-3
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
33.4
28.6
13
56%
2
3
3
1
2
5
0
2
5-6
83%
4-7
4-10
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.0
29.4
26.3
7
61%
10
0
0
0
1
2
2
8
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
26.7
20.1
17
70%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
7-7
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.2
10.1
18.4
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
41%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.1
8.3
8.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 28.3
7.5
9.7
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.