for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 9, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets56%100117
30Wizards44%9887
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.8
37.0
35.0
26
53%
6
7
1
1
0
2
4
2
6-8
75%
10-19
8-17
53%
46%
0-2
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.8
32.4
26.8
27
72%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
10-12
3-8
83%
44%
1-5
20%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
30.7
29.9
8
67%
5
9
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-9
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.5
29.9
32.7
15
78%
7
0
2
2
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
5-7
4-7
71%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
28.2
24.1
4
40%
8
0
0
1
0
4
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.8
20.1
21.7
12
55%
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
2-3
67%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
14.3
9.0
5
43%
8
0
1
0
3
0
4
4
1-4
25%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
12.3
17.1
8
80%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.6
11.6
9.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.7
10.6
8.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.0
7.3
19.1
4
41%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.9
5.8
5.4
6
77%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
38%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.4
40.2
31.9
19
49%
5
3
0
2
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
44%
0-5
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
34.1
41.0
23
45%
1
7
2
2
0
2
1
0
5-8
63%
3-13
6-12
23%
45%
4-9
44%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.3
32.0
21.0
10
64%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.0
31.8
31.1
13
54%
10
2
0
1
1
4
8
2
5-7
71%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.6
19.4
30.8
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.0
23.2
8.3
4
25%
4
4
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
40%
0-3
0%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
21.0
2.7
2
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.1
17.4
3.8
10
85%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.9
16.0
24.8
6
48%
5
1
0
1
2
1
1
4
2-5
40%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
4.8
26.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.3
9.8
0
1-3
43%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.6
8.4
0
1-2
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.