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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 10, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Wizards37%9999
28Magic63%103108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
44.3
37.5
40
53%
4
3
2
2
0
4
2
2
8-10
80%
13-28
5-12
46%
45%
2-5
40%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.6
39.6
6.2
13
35%
15
2
2
0
4
5
8
7
5-6
83%
4-15
1-2
27%
50%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
37.6
17.7
10
59%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-1
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
44%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.3
23.6
25.3
5
33%
8
0
2
1
1
1
3
5
3-6
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.4
12.4
34.5
0
0%
1
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
5-10
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
26.2
10.5
8
58%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.9
24.4
21.2
19
58%
11
0
0
0
3
0
5
6
5-8
63%
7-13
3-6
54%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.0
20.0
14.6
2
20%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.1
11.9
10.1
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.0
31.1
1
4-8
49%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.6
26.1
1
3-7
45%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.3
9.2
0
1-3
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.8
45.8
37.3
62
64%
10
5
1
1
0
6
3
7
17-26
65%
15-23
7-15
65%
48%
5-14
36%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.1
43.8
34.4
14
32%
15
4
2
1
0
1
5
10
4-6
67%
5-19
7-15
26%
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
41.0
35.1
10
34%
1
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
1-6
17%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.9
39.3
34.6
8
37%
5
2
2
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.1
25.2
21.3
2
50%
7
0
1
1
2
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
15.7
17.4
7
58%
4
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.5
15.5
16.2
2
35%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
11.4
16.6
3
80%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Britton Johnsen
F · 6'10" 210 · 24.7
2.2
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.5
10.1
0
2-4
47%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
6.2
0
1-1
42%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.1
4.4
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.