Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 10, 2004

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	16	Nuggets	30%	91	97
	13	Nets	70%	97	98

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
DEN	105.4	92	88.0
NJN	102.1	96	100.5

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-12

NJN

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.01 50.5%

NJN

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NJN
Q4 - 0:00.0	NJN		97 0%	98 100%
Q4 - 0:00.0	DEN	Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)	97 0.6%	98 99.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)	94 2.4%	98 97.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0	NJN	MISS Kidd Free Throw 2 of 2	94 2.1%	98 97.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0	NJN	MISS Kidd Free Throw 1 of 2	94 1.1%	98 98.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0	NJN	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	94 0.8%	98 99.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0	DEN	MISS Camby Tip Shot	94 1.1%	98 98.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)	94 2.4%	98 97.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0	DEN	MISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot	94 1.1%	98 98.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0	NJN	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)	94 3.5%	98 96.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0	NJN	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)	94 4.3%	97 95.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0	NJN	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	94 10.0%	96 90.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0	DEN	MISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot	94 12.7%	96 87.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	94 20.0%	96 80.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0	NJN	MISS Kittles 9' Jump Shot	94 16.8%	96 83.2%
Q4 - 1:06	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	94 11.4%	96 88.6%
Q4 - 1:06	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	93 9.7%	96 90.3%
Q4 - 1:14	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)	92 7.6%	96 92.4%
Q4 - 1:15	DEN	MISS Lenard 16' Jump Shot	92 5.0%	96 95.0%
Q4 - 1:36	NJN	Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)	92 8.9%	96 91.1%
Q4 - 1:36	NJN	MISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 2	92 9.8%	95 90.2%
Q4 - 1:39	DEN	Collins STEAL (1 STL)	92 8.6%	95 91.4%
Q4 - 1:48	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	92 14.5%	95 85.5%
Q4 - 1:49	NJN	MISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot	92 12.7%	95 87.3%
Q4 - 2:11	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	92 8.8%	95 91.2%
Q4 - 2:11	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	91 8.1%	95 91.9%
Q4 - 2:12	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	90 6.8%	95 93.2%
Q4 - 2:13	DEN	MISS Anthony Alley Oop Layup	90 4.4%	95 95.6%
Q4 - 2:23	NJN	Kidd Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T20)	90 6.9%	95 93.1%
Q4 - 2:32	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	90 3.6%	95 96.4%
Q4 - 2:32	DEN	Nene Driving Layup (12 PTS)	89 2.3%	95 97.7%
Q4 - 2:44	NJN	Jefferson Alley Oop Layup (25 PTS) (Kidd 13 AST)	87 1.8%	95 98.2%
Q4 - 2:56	DEN	Lenard Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)	87 3.0%	93 97.0%
Q4 - 3:18	NJN	Martin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)	85 2.3%	93 97.7%
Q4 - 3:29	DEN	Anthony Driving Layup (22 PTS)	85 1.3%	93 98.7%
Q4 - 3:38	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)	83 1.6%	93 98.4%
Q4 - 3:39	NJN	MISS Kidd 16' Fadeaway Jumper	83 1.4%	93 98.6%
Q4 - 4:01	DEN	Nene 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)	83 1.0%	93 99.0%
Q4 - 4:15	NJN	Collins Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)	81 0.7%	93 99.3%
Q4 - 4:15	NJN	Collins Layup (8 PTS) (Kidd 12 AST)	81 1.0%	92 99.0%
Q4 - 4:25	NJN	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	81 1.5%	90 98.5%
Q4 - 4:26	DEN	MISS Boykins 17' Running Jump Shot	81 1.6%	90 98.4%
Q4 - 4:52	NJN	Collins Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)	81 2.1%	90 97.9%
Q4 - 5:09	DEN	Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Camby 4 AST)	81 4.0%	88 96.0%
Q4 - 5:13	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)	78 2.1%	88 97.9%
Q4 - 5:14	NJN	MISS Martin 8' Hook Shot	78 1.9%	88 98.1%
Q4 - 5:39	DEN	Boykins 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)	78 1.5%	88 98.5%
Q4 - 5:48	NJN	Jefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)	76 1.1%	88 98.9%
Q4 - 6:07	DEN	Boykins Driving Layup (2 PTS)	76 1.1%	88 98.9%
Q4 - 6:32	NJN	Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)	74 0.8%	88 99.2%
Q4 - 6:47	NJN	Scalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	74 1.4%	85 98.6%
Q4 - 6:49	DEN	MISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot	74 1.6%	85 98.4%
Q4 - 6:54	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)	74 2.0%	85 98.0%
Q4 - 6:56	NJN	MISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 1.8%	85 98.2%
Q4 - 7:05	NJN	Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	74 1.9%	85 98.1%
Q4 - 7:07	DEN	Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)	74 2.1%	85 97.9%
Q4 - 7:19	DEN	Lenard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	74 2.6%	85 97.4%
Q4 - 7:20	NJN	MISS Jefferson Alley Oop Layup	74 2.4%	85 97.6%
Q4 - 7:33	NJN	Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	74 1.9%	85 98.1%
Q4 - 7:34	DEN	MISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 2.1%	85 97.9%
Q4 - 7:48	NJN	Scalabrine Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	74 2.6%	85 97.4%
Q4 - 7:48	NJN	Scalabrine Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	74 3.4%	84 96.6%
Q4 - 8:00	NJN	Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	74 4.2%	82 95.8%
Q4 - 8:02	NJN	MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot	74 6.1%	82 93.9%
Q4 - 8:17	NJN	Scalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	74 5.1%	82 94.9%
Q4 - 8:19	DEN	MISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot	74 5.5%	82 94.5%
Q4 - 8:26	DEN	Lenard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	74 6.5%	82 93.5%
Q4 - 8:27	DEN	MISS Doleac 5' Jump Shot	74 5.5%	82 94.5%
Q4 - 8:44	DEN	Lenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	74 6.5%	82 93.5%
Q4 - 8:45	DEN	MISS Camby Alley Oop Dunk	74 5.5%	82 94.5%
Q4 - 8:55	NJN	Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	74 6.5%	82 93.5%
Q4 - 8:55	NJN	Williams Layup (14 PTS)	74 8.2%	81 91.8%
Q4 - 9:05	DEN	Lenard 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	74 10.9%	79 89.1%
Q4 - 9:08	NJN	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)	72 8.9%	79 91.1%
Q4 - 9:12	DEN	Williams STEAL (1 STL)	72 7.0%	79 93.0%
Q4 - 9:29	NJN	Jefferson 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Scalabrine 2 AST)	72 8.8%	79 91.2%
Q4 - 9:41	DEN	Camby Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)	72 10.9%	77 89.1%
Q4 - 9:58	NJN	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)	72 13.6%	77 86.4%
Q4 - 10:10	DEN	Doleac 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)	72 11.5%	77 88.5%
Q4 - 10:39	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	70 9.5%	77 90.5%
Q4 - 10:40	DEN	MISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot	70 8.1%	77 91.9%
Q4 - 10:54	DEN	Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	70 9.5%	77 90.5%
Q4 - 10:56	NJN	MISS Williams 8' Hook Shot	70 8.8%	77 91.2%
Q4 - 11:21	DEN	Anthony 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)	70 8.2%	77 91.8%
Q4 - 11:33	DEN	Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	68 6.8%	77 93.2%
Q4 - 11:34	NJN	MISS Kittles 16' Running Jump Shot	68 6.4%	77 93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NJN		68 5.5%	77 94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NJN	NETS Rebound	68 5.5%	77 94.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0	NJN	MISS Harris 16' Jump Shot	68 6.9%	77 93.1%
Q3 - 0:11.0	DEN	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	68 6.0%	77 94.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0	DEN	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)	67 5.8%	77 94.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0	NJN	Scalabrine 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)	66 4.9%	77 95.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	66 7.3%	74 92.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0	DEN	MISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot	66 7.7%	74 92.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0	NJN	Martin 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Kittles 2 AST)	66 8.8%	74 91.2%
Q3 - 1:19	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	66 11.0%	72 89.0%
Q3 - 1:20	DEN	MISS Doleac Tip Shot	66 11.6%	72 88.4%
Q3 - 1:21	DEN	Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	66 13.2%	72 86.8%
Q3 - 1:22	DEN	MISS Lenard 16' Fadeaway Jumper	66 11.6%	72 88.4%
Q3 - 1:42	NJN	Kidd Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)	66 13.1%	72 86.9%
Q3 - 1:49	NJN	Kittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	66 11.0%	72 89.0%
Q3 - 1:50	DEN	MISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66 11.6%	72 88.4%
Q3 - 2:07	NJN	Jefferson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)	66 13.4%	72 86.6%
Q3 - 2:34	DEN	Anthony 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)	66 15.5%	70 84.5%
Q3 - 2:55	NJN	Martin 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)	64 13.4%	70 86.6%
Q3 - 3:16	DEN	Anthony Finger Roll (16 PTS)	64 16.0%	68 84.0%
Q3 - 3:33	NJN	Kidd Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)	62 13.9%	68 86.1%
Q3 - 3:34	NJN	NETS Rebound	62 11.7%	68 88.3%
Q3 - 3:36	NJN	MISS Kidd Layup	62 13.2%	68 86.8%
Q3 - 3:48	DEN	Camby Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)	62 11.7%	68 88.3%
Q3 - 3:49	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	60 10.1%	68 89.9%
Q3 - 3:50	DEN	MISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot	60 8.9%	68 91.1%
Q3 - 4:00	NJN	Jefferson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)	60 10.1%	68 89.9%
Q3 - 4:22	DEN	Doleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	60 11.8%	66 88.2%
Q3 - 4:41	NJN	Martin Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)	58 10.4%	66 89.6%
Q3 - 4:45	DEN	Lenard Backcourt Turnover (P1.T9)	58 11.8%	64 88.2%
Q3 - 4:52	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	58 14.1%	64 85.9%
Q3 - 4:55	NJN	MISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot	58 13.4%	64 86.6%
Q3 - 5:17	DEN	Lenard 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)	58 12.3%	64 87.7%
Q3 - 5:32	NJN	Martin Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)	56 10.7%	64 89.3%
Q3 - 5:49	DEN	Miller 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)	56 12.2%	62 87.8%
Q3 - 6:15	NJN	Collins Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)	54 11.0%	62 89.0%
Q3 - 6:37	DEN	Lenard Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	54 12.5%	60 87.5%
Q3 - 6:48	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	52 11.0%	60 89.0%
Q3 - 6:50	NJN	MISS Martin 4' Jump Shot	52 10.5%	60 89.5%
Q3 - 7:04	NJN	NETS Rebound	52 9.6%	60 90.4%
Q3 - 7:05	DEN	MISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot	52 10.1%	60 89.9%
Q3 - 7:26	NJN	Martin 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)	52 11.3%	60 88.7%
Q3 - 7:53	DEN	Lenard 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)	52 12.7%	58 87.3%
Q3 - 8:09	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	49 10.1%	58 89.9%
Q3 - 8:10	NJN	MISS Kittles 16' Jump Shot	49 9.6%	58 90.4%
Q3 - 8:17	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	49 8.6%	58 91.4%
Q3 - 8:19	DEN	MISS Anthony Driving Layup	49 9.0%	58 91.0%
Q3 - 8:37	NJN	Jefferson Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)	49 10.0%	58 90.0%
Q3 - 8:53	DEN	Anthony 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	49 11.3%	56 88.7%
Q3 - 9:13	NJN	Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	47 10.1%	56 89.9%
Q3 - 9:13	NJN	Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	47 10.4%	55 89.6%
Q3 - 9:16	DEN	Martin STEAL (2 STL)	47 11.4%	54 88.6%
Q3 - 9:23	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	47 13.0%	54 87.0%
Q3 - 9:25	DEN	Martin BLOCK (2 BLK)	47 11.9%	54 88.1%
Q3 - 9:39	NJN	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	47 13.1%	54 86.9%
Q3 - 9:39	NJN	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	47 13.5%	53 86.5%
Q3 - 10:03	DEN	Nene 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	47 14.7%	52 85.3%
Q3 - 10:23	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	45 13.2%	52 86.8%
Q3 - 10:24	NJN	MISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot	45 12.7%	52 87.3%
Q3 - 10:41	DEN	Anthony Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	45 11.5%	52 88.5%
Q3 - 10:47	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	43 10.3%	52 89.7%
Q3 - 10:48	NJN	MISS Martin 8' Hook Shot	43 9.8%	52 90.2%
Q3 - 11:07	DEN	Anthony Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)	43 9.1%	52 90.9%
Q3 - 11:18	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	41 8.0%	52 92.0%
Q3 - 11:20	NJN	MISS Jefferson 9' Running Jump Shot	41 7.7%	52 92.3%
Q3 - 11:38	NJN	Kittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	41 7.0%	52 93.0%
Q3 - 11:39	DEN	MISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot	41 7.3%	52 92.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NJN		41 8.0%	52 92.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NJN	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 7.0%	52 93.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0	DEN	MISS Camby 22' Jump Shot	41 7.8%	52 92.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0	NJN	Martin Slam Dunk (14 PTS)	41 8.3%	52 91.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0	DEN	Martin STEAL (1 STL)	41 9.7%	50 90.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0	NJN	Kidd Finger Roll (5 PTS)	41 10.5%	50 89.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0	DEN	Andersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	41 12.3%	48 87.7%
Q2 - 1:05	NJN	Williams Dunk (12 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)	41 13.5%	48 86.5%
Q2 - 1:23	DEN	Camby Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)	41 15.9%	46 84.1%
Q2 - 1:26	NJN	Martin Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)	39 13.5%	46 86.5%
Q2 - 1:31	DEN	Kittles STEAL (2 STL)	39 12.7%	46 87.3%
Q2 - 1:55	NJN	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	39 13.5%	46 86.5%
Q2 - 1:55	NJN	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	39 13.9%	45 86.1%
Q2 - 2:09	DEN	Anthony 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	39 15.7%	44 84.3%
Q2 - 2:17	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	37 14.0%	44 86.0%
Q2 - 2:18	NJN	MISS Kidd Layup	37 13.6%	44 86.4%
Q2 - 2:30	DEN	Nene Foul Turnover (P3.T4)	37 12.7%	44 87.3%
Q2 - 2:51	NJN	Martin Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)	37 14.0%	44 86.0%
Q2 - 2:56	DEN	Scalabrine STEAL (1 STL)	37 15.8%	42 84.2%
Q2 - 3:10	DEN	Lenard Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	37 17.6%	42 82.4%
Q2 - 3:12	NJN	Kidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	36 15.9%	42 84.1%
Q2 - 3:18	DEN	Kittles STEAL (1 STL)	36 14.2%	42 85.8%
Q2 - 3:36	NJN	Martin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)	36 15.9%	42 84.1%
Q2 - 3:40	NJN	Scalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	36 14.2%	42 85.8%
Q2 - 3:41	DEN	MISS Nene Layup	36 14.7%	42 85.3%
Q2 - 4:02	NJN	Martin 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Kittles 1 AST)	36 15.9%	42 84.1%
Q2 - 4:19	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	36 17.5%	40 82.5%
Q2 - 4:19	DEN	MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2	35 17.2%	40 82.8%
Q2 - 4:25	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 17.5%	40 82.5%
Q2 - 4:27	NJN	MISS Kittles 18' Jump Shot	35 17.0%	40 83.0%
Q2 - 4:33	NJN	Kittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 15.9%	40 84.1%
Q2 - 4:34	DEN	MISS Anthony Layup	35 16.4%	40 83.6%
Q2 - 4:44	NJN	Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	35 17.5%	40 82.5%
Q2 - 4:44	NJN	MISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 2	35 17.9%	39 82.1%
Q2 - 4:54	NJN	Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 17.5%	39 82.5%
Q2 - 4:56	DEN	Martin BLOCK (1 BLK)	35 18.0%	39 82.0%
Q2 - 4:57	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	35 19.2%	39 80.8%
Q2 - 4:59	DEN	MISS Anthony Tip Shot	35 18.0%	39 82.0%
Q2 - 5:00	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	35 19.2%	39 80.8%
Q2 - 5:02	DEN	MISS Anthony Layup	35 18.0%	39 82.0%
Q2 - 5:16	NJN	Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	35 19.3%	39 80.7%
Q2 - 5:16	NJN	Williams Finger Roll (9 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)	35 21.1%	38 78.9%
Q2 - 5:32	DEN	Miller 4' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)	35 22.9%	36 77.1%
Q2 - 5:53	NJN	Armstrong Foul Turnover (P1.T10)	33 21.1%	36 78.9%
Q2 - 6:03	NJN	Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 19.1%	36 80.9%
Q2 - 6:05	DEN	MISS Nene 6' Jump Bank Shot	33 19.7%	36 80.3%
Q2 - 6:29	NJN	Williams Dunk (7 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)	33 21.2%	36 78.8%
Q2 - 6:51	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	33 22.7%	34 77.3%
Q2 - 6:51	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	32 22.2%	34 77.8%
Q2 - 7:07	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	31 21.2%	34 78.8%
Q2 - 7:09	NJN	MISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot	31 20.7%	34 79.3%
Q2 - 7:25	NJN	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 19.4%	34 80.6%
Q2 - 7:27	DEN	MISS White 21' Jump Shot	31 20.0%	34 80.0%
Q2 - 7:36	NJN	Williams Layup (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)	31 21.2%	34 78.8%
Q2 - 7:42	NJN	Scalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 22.9%	32 77.1%
Q2 - 7:43	DEN	MISS Boykins Layup	31 23.5%	32 76.5%
Q2 - 8:12	NJN	Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)	31 24.9%	32 75.1%
Q2 - 8:25	NJN	NETS Rebound	31 28.7%	29 71.3%
Q2 - 8:27	DEN	MISS Barry 20' Jump Shot	31 29.5%	29 70.5%
Q2 - 8:41	NJN	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	31 31.2%	29 68.8%
Q2 - 9:01	DEN	Barry 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)	31 28.4%	29 71.6%
Q2 - 9:12	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 26.6%	29 73.4%
Q2 - 9:14	NJN	MISS Scalabrine 19' Jump Shot	29 26.0%	29 74.0%
Q2 - 9:28	NJN	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	29 24.5%	29 75.5%
Q2 - 9:30	NJN	MISS Harris 16' Jump Shot	29 26.0%	29 74.0%
Q2 - 9:53	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	29 24.5%	29 75.5%
Q2 - 9:55	DEN	MISS Camby 23' Jump Shot	29 25.1%	29 74.9%
Q2 - 10:16	DEN	Boykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	29 26.7%	29 73.3%
Q2 - 10:18	DEN	MISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot	29 25.2%	29 74.8%
Q2 - 10:22	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	29 26.7%	29 73.3%
Q2 - 10:23	NJN	MISS Martin 14' Jump Shot	29 26.0%	29 74.0%
Q2 - 10:38	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	29 24.5%	29 75.5%
Q2 - 10:40	DEN	MISS White 20' Jump Shot	29 25.2%	29 74.8%
Q2 - 10:59	NJN	Scalabrine Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)	29 26.7%	29 73.3%
Q2 - 11:17	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	29 28.0%	27 72.0%
Q2 - 11:19	DEN	MISS Miller 5' Jump Shot	29 28.6%	27 71.4%
Q2 - 11:30	NJN	Harris 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)	29 30.1%	27 69.9%
Q2 - 11:43	DEN	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	29 32.2%	25 67.8%
Q2 - 11:43	DEN	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	28 31.8%	25 68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN		27 30.1%	25 69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	27 30.1%	25 69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot	27 28.7%	25 71.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0	NJN	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	27 29.5%	25 70.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0	DEN	Miller Layup (14 PTS)	27 28.0%	25 72.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0	NJN	Jefferson Layup (9 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)	25 25.7%	25 74.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0	DEN	Anthony Layup (5 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)	25 28.0%	23 72.0%
Q1 - 1:05	NJN	Jefferson 8' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)	23 25.7%	23 74.3%
Q1 - 1:21	DEN	Miller Layup (12 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	23 28.0%	21 72.0%
Q1 - 1:25	NJN	Kidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	21 25.7%	21 74.3%
Q1 - 1:32	NJN	Kittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 24.4%	21 75.6%
Q1 - 1:34	DEN	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	21 24.8%	21 75.2%
Q1 - 1:51	NJN	Kittles Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)	21 25.7%	21 74.3%
Q1 - 1:55	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	21 24.4%	21 75.6%
Q1 - 1:57	DEN	MISS Miller Layup	21 24.8%	21 75.2%
Q1 - 2:18	NJN	Martin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	21 25.9%	21 74.1%
Q1 - 2:29	DEN	Miller 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)	21 24.2%	21 75.8%
Q1 - 2:41	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 22.4%	21 77.6%
Q1 - 2:43	NJN	MISS Kittles 26' 3PT Jump Shot	19 22.0%	21 78.0%
Q1 - 3:05	DEN	Nene Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	19 20.7%	21 79.3%
Q1 - 3:25	NJN	Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	19 22.5%	21 77.5%
Q1 - 3:25	NJN	Jefferson Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	19 24.1%	20 75.9%
Q1 - 3:42	DEN	Miller Layup (8 PTS)	19 25.6%	18 74.4%
Q1 - 3:45	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	17 24.1%	18 75.9%
Q1 - 3:47	NJN	MISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot	17 23.5%	18 76.5%
Q1 - 4:12	DEN	Miller Layup (6 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)	17 22.0%	18 78.0%
Q1 - 4:24	NJN	Kidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	15 20.8%	18 79.2%
Q1 - 4:38	DEN	Camby 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)	15 19.1%	18 80.9%
Q1 - 5:01	NJN	Martin Dunk (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)	13 17.9%	18 82.1%
Q1 - 5:18	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	13 19.1%	16 80.9%
Q1 - 5:18	DEN	MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2	12 18.8%	16 81.2%
Q1 - 5:23	NJN	Kittles Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	12 19.2%	16 80.8%
Q1 - 5:38	NJN	NETS Rebound	12 17.8%	16 82.2%
Q1 - 5:40	DEN	MISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 18.2%	16 81.8%
Q1 - 5:45	NJN	Williams Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)	12 19.2%	16 80.8%
Q1 - 5:51	NJN	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 20.4%	14 79.6%
Q1 - 5:53	DEN	MISS Miller Reverse Layup	12 20.9%	14 79.1%
Q1 - 6:06	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 21.8%	14 78.2%
Q1 - 6:08	NJN	MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2	12 21.6%	14 78.4%
Q1 - 6:08	NJN	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	12 20.8%	14 79.2%
Q1 - 6:10	NJN	NETS Rebound	12 21.7%	13 78.3%
Q1 - 6:11	NJN	MISS Martin Tip Shot	12 22.8%	13 77.2%
Q1 - 6:12	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 21.7%	13 78.3%
Q1 - 6:14	NJN	MISS Williams 6' Jump Shot	12 22.8%	13 77.2%
Q1 - 6:29	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	12 21.7%	13 78.3%
Q1 - 6:29	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	11 21.3%	13 78.7%
Q1 - 6:43	NJN	Collins Layup (2 PTS)	10 20.5%	13 79.5%
Q1 - 6:44	NJN	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 21.7%	11 78.3%
Q1 - 6:46	NJN	MISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot	10 22.8%	11 77.2%
Q1 - 7:03	NJN	NETS Rebound	10 21.6%	11 78.4%
Q1 - 7:05	DEN	MISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot	10 22.0%	11 78.0%
Q1 - 7:19	NJN	Jefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	10 23.1%	11 76.9%
Q1 - 7:30	DEN	Miller Layup (4 PTS)	10 21.6%	11 78.4%
Q1 - 7:43	NJN	Martin 4' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)	8 20.5%	11 79.5%
Q1 - 8:01	DEN	Camby 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	8 21.5%	9 78.5%
Q1 - 8:19	NJN	Kittles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	6 20.4%	9 79.6%
Q1 - 8:31	DEN	Nene Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	6 19.0%	9 81.0%
Q1 - 8:38	NJN	Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 18.0%	9 82.0%
Q1 - 8:38	NJN	Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 18.3%	8 81.7%
Q1 - 9:01	NJN	NETS Rebound	4 18.8%	7 81.2%
Q1 - 9:03	DEN	MISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot	4 19.2%	7 80.8%
Q1 - 9:25	NJN	Kittles Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)	4 20.3%	7 79.7%
Q1 - 9:31	NJN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 21.2%	5 78.8%
Q1 - 9:33	DEN	MISS Nene 11' Jump Shot	4 21.7%	5 78.3%
Q1 - 9:46	NJN	Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)	4 22.9%	5 77.1%
Q1 - 10:02	DEN	Miller Layup (2 PTS)	4 25.2%	2 74.8%
Q1 - 10:03	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 24.0%	2 76.0%
Q1 - 10:05	DEN	MISS Miller Layup	2 23.0%	2 77.0%
Q1 - 10:20	DEN	Lenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 24.0%	2 76.0%
Q1 - 10:22	NJN	MISS Kittles 17' Jump Shot	2 23.6%	2 76.4%
Q1 - 10:42	DEN	Anthony 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)	2 22.5%	2 77.5%
Q1 - 10:53	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	0 21.4%	2 78.6%
Q1 - 10:54	DEN	MISS Miller 6' Jump Shot	0 20.4%	2 79.6%
Q1 - 11:14	DEN	Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 21.2%	2 78.8%
Q1 - 11:16	DEN	MISS Lenard 16' Fadeaway Jumper	0 20.5%	2 79.5%
Q1 - 11:41	NJN	Martin Layup (2 PTS)	0 21.3%	2 78.7%
Q1 - 12:00	NJN	Jump Ball Collins vs. Camby: Tip to	0 22.6%	0 77.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.01 50.5%

NJN

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

54%

NJN

82%

Midrange

DEN

38%

NJN

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

4.5

38%

56%

NJN

6.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

DEN

89%

NJN

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	24	43%	12.0 / 28
A. Miller	22	65%	11.0 / 17
V. Lenard	15	50%	7.5 / 15
Nene	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Camby	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. Boykins	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Doleac	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Barry	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. White	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Martin	28	74%	14.0 / 19
R. Jefferson	26	68%	13.0 / 19
A. Williams	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Collins	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Kidd	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Scalabrine	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Kittles	2	13%	1.0 / 8
L. Harris	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Armstrong	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-12

NJN

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.01 50.5%

NJN

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	101.4 97.9	DEN 105.4 +3.4 NJN 102.1
Pace	95.7 92.2	DEN 88.0 NJN 100.5 +12.5
Avg. Poss. Time	14.9 15.2	DEN 16.4 NJN 14.3 +2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	46.7% 47.1%	DEN 47.1% NJN 59.7% +12.6%
TO %	15.3% 15.3%	DEN 11.3% +9.3% NJN 20.6%
ORB %	30.5% 26.0%	DEN 33.3% +18.5% NJN 14.8%
FTrt	31.9 29.1	DEN 20.9 NJN 34.3 +13.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.9% 71.4%	DEN 53.8% NJN 71.1% +17.3%
STL %	9.5% 9.4%	DEN 13.0% +5.7% NJN 7.3%
BLK %	9.3% 6.3%	DEN 6.8% +3.0% NJN 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	49.0% 48.9%	DEN 50.5% NJN 58.3% +7.8%
Rim FG%	57.8% 57.5%	DEN 53.8% NJN 82.1% +28.3%
Mid FG%	37.0% 37.9%	DEN 38.5% +3.0% NJN 35.5%
3P %	33.6% 33.6%	DEN 37.5% NJN 50.0% +12.5%
FT %	76.7% 75.3%	DEN 88.9% +10.6% NJN 78.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	37.4% 35.8%	DEN 45.3% +3.6% NJN 41.8%
Mid Att. %	48.0% 46.6%	DEN 45.3% +0.9% NJN 46.3%
3P Att. %	14.6% 17.6%	DEN 9.3% NJN 11.9% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	NJN
Possessions	92	96
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	97	98
Rebounds	36	30
Assists	21	27
Steals	12	7
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (1)	26 (5)
Field Goals	39-86	38-67
At-the-Rim FG	21-39	23-28
Midrange FG	15-39	11-31
2-Point FG	36-78	34-59
3-Point FG	3-8	4-8
Free Throws	16-18	18-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 30	45.6	8	50%	18	4	2	3	1	3	5	13	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 20	42.7	24	43%	3	3	4	0	4	2	3	0	4-6	67%	10-23	43%	0-2	0%
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 31	40.7	15	50%	4	1	2	1	2	3	2	2	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-5	40%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 28	38.0	22	65%	2	6	1	0	1	2	1	1	4-4	100%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 21	30.7	15	63%	4	3	3	0	3	4	0	4	7-7	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 28	12.6	7	50%	1	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Michael Doleac C · 6'11" 262 · 27	10.3	4	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28	7.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rodney White F · 6'9" 230 · 24	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jon Barry G · 6'5" 210 · 35	4.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili F · 7'0" 225 · 21
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	36	21	12	4	12	0	13	23	16-18	89%	36-78	46%	3-8	38%

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16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 30	45.6	8	50%	18	4	2	3	1	3	5	13	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 20	42.7	24	43%	3	3	4	0	4	2	3	0	4-6	67%	10-23	43%	0-2	0%
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 31	40.7	15	50%	4	1	2	1	2	3	2	2	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	2-5	40%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 28	38.0	22	65%	2	6	1	0	1	2	1	1	4-4	100%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 21	30.7	15	63%	4	3	3	0	3	4	0	4	7-7	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 28	12.6	7	50%	1	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Michael Doleac C · 6'11" 262 · 27	10.3	4	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28	7.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rodney White F · 6'9" 230 · 24	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jon Barry G · 6'5" 210 · 35	4.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili F · 7'0" 225 · 21
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	36	21	12	4	12	0	13	23	16-18	89%	36-78	46%	3-8	38%

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13 New Jersey Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 26	40.3	28	74%	9	3	2	2	4	3	1	8	6-6	100%	11-16	69%	0-0	-
Jason Kidd G · 6'4" 210 · 31	39.3	8	44%	4	13	0	0	6	0	0	4	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 24	38.1	26	68%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	7-9	78%	8-13	62%	1-1	100%
Kerry Kittles G · 6'5" 185 · 30	35.9	2	13%	4	2	2	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-2	0%
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 25	23.4	9	90%	2	0	1	0	0	5	1	1	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Aaron Williams C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32	24.5	15	63%	3	2	1	1	4	1	1	2	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 26	17.6	8	80%	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Lucious Harris G · 6'5" 205 · 33	14.7	2	33%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Brandon Armstrong G · 6'5" 185 · 24	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rodney Rogers F · 6'7" 270 · 33
Zoran Planinic · 6'7" 195 · 21
Hubert Davis G · 6'5" 183 · 34
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	58%	30	27	7	3	20	0	4	26	18-23	78%	34-59	58%	4-8	50%

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Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE